revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Tight End Similarity Scores… Boom!
Image via Football Schedule/Flickr
Image via Football Schedule/Flickr

Tight end is a position that has created some challenges in recent years if forecasting via Similarity Scores is what we want to do.  There are fewer tight ends than wide receivers or running backs, and the emergence of guys like Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham has meant that we have multiple tight ends per year that we’re trying to match up with historical seasons from Tony Gonzalez and Antonio Gates.

As usual, the Similarity Scores are going to have the toughest time with extreme outliers like Rob Gronkowski.  If you’re forecasting the future based on a similar past, what do you do when nothing in the past looks like the thing you’re trying to forecast.  Gronkowski is just in another world in terms of the consistent efficiency that he’s able to display.  His targets generate a full fantasy point above average when compared to the average tight end!  So the Similarity Scores below might not be that great at forecasting Gronk for 2013.  I have some other thoughts as to how we can get at that projection, but that will have to be its own post.  Until then, feel free to play around with creating a custom Similarity Score (and projection) by including or throwing out individual games with the app below.

recent and related

In case you missed it

Dynasty Hit Rates: 2016 Draft Class

  If you’re just reading this series for the first time, this is an investigation of the actual hit rates of previous Dynasty rookie classes. Starting with 2010, there’s been some very productive classes and some more scattered with hits. The 2016 class is one of the latter. That doesn’t

Read More

Rapid Reaction: First Round Opportunity Outlook

  As far as first rounds go from a fantasy perspective, no need to sugar coat it, this was a snoozer for the first half of it. We knew going in the back third of the round was where we were most likely to see some fantasy football related fireworks,

Read More

RotoViz NFL Draft Live Reactions — Day 2

  The RotoViz Slack chat is the place to be when it comes to in-depth, instant, and astute analysis of developing NFL news and events. For years, it’s been the first place I turned when I wanted intelligent, measured reactions anytime anything goes down. And while that’s great if you’re

Read More

Rapid Reaction: Second Round Opportunity Outlook

  Glad to be back again to sift through the opportunity each player drafted tonight will likely see. We will have a lot more fantasy breakdowns Friday than Saturday, so diving right on in. The first round breakdown is available here. Deebo Samuel 36th overall, San Francisco 49ers Here’s how

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.