The 2015 Agility All-stars

image credit to Patrick Mansell
image credit to Patrick Mansell


I’ll be honest and say that I probably couldn’t ever be a film guy because I don’t have any stomach for the part of prospect evaluation where you have to start with a list of prospects and then watch all of their tape, reserving judgment until you’ve seen a large enough sample for it to be meaningful. The college football landscape is vast and when you consider that sometimes NFL stars aren’t even stars on their college teams, it’s a pretty intimidating task. I’m inherently lazy, which is why I like to let datamining do some of the work for me. I’m always doing some kind of value screen, either with the Box Score Scout, or in a spreadsheet, or using the Sim Score apps.

Today I figured I would post the result of one of those screens where I sorted the 2015 running backs by their weight adjusted agility. Actually, this is weight adjusted three cone. Three cone already comprises most of the Agility Score anyway as it is the larger number of the inputs. But also when you consider that a problem inherent in Agility Scores is missing data, I figured paring things down would be good.

To arrive at the agility numbers below (Scaled Agility) I did the following steps:

  • created a regression to predict three cone from weight
  • calculated the amount above or below the regression line for each prospect
  • scaled that number from 0 to 100 for all prospects in my database

To save you the trouble of having to look at this sheet and then having to look at another sheet with Speed Scores, I also scaled speed scores from 0-100. I did that so that it would exist on a range that would be similar to the agility numbers you’re looking at. Note that a player had to have participated in the three cone in order to show up on this list.

Based on this work and a request from the message board I should have a Javorious “Buck” Allen article coming soon as well.

NAME POS SCHOOL YEAR HT WT FORTY SHUTTLE CONE WORKOUT BMI Scaled Speed Scaled Agility
AKEEM HUNT RB PURDUE 2015 69.8 189 4.4 4.07 6.71 PD 27.3 59 78
MALCOLM AGNEW RB SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 2015 69.1 202 4.61 3.9 6.75 PD 29.7 41 77
DAVID JOHNSON RB NORTHERN IOWA 2015 72.6 224 4.5 4.27 6.82 C 29.9 71 76
MATT JONES RB FLORIDA 2015 74.4 231 4.61 4.44 6.84 PD 29.3 61 76
AMEER ABDULLAH RB NEBRASKA 2015 68.8 205 4.6 3.95 6.79 C 30.4 45 75
CAM MCDANIEL RB NOTRE DAME 2015 69.4 185 4.55 4.15 6.76 PD 27 36 74
MALCOLM BROWN RB TEXAS 2015 71.4 224 4.62 4.15 6.86 C 30.9 55 73
TRAVON VAN RB MONTANA 2015 69.9 195 4.54 4.19 6.81 PD 28.1 45 72
DREAMIUS SMITH RB WEST VIRGINIA 2015 70.6 223 4.48 4.05 6.9 PD 31.5 74 71
KENNY WILLIAMS RB TEXAS TECH 2015 69.4 225 4.74 4.34 6.9 PD 32.8 41 71
TREY WILLIAMS RB TEXAS A M 2015 67.5 195 4.49 4.12 6.84 C 30.1 52 70
DUKE JOHNSON RB MIAMI FL 2015 69.1 207 4.51 4.16 6.88 PD 30.5 58 69
RAHEEM MOSTERT RB PURDUE 2015 70.4 195 4.38 4.3 6.9 PD 27.7 67 66
JAVORIUS ALLEN RB SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 2015 72.5 221 4.53 4.28 6.96 C 29.6 65 66
SYNJYN DAYS RB GEORGIA TECH 2015 72.6 230 4.66 4.31 6.99 PD 30.7 55 66
CENTARIUS DONALD RB LOUISIANA MONROE 2015 72.2 223 4.69 4.24 6.97 PD 30.1 45 66
TERRY BAGGETT RB ARMY 2015 71.4 210 4.69 4.45 6.94 PD 29 38 66
BJ CATALON RB TEXAS CHRISTIAN 2015 67.4 186 4.57 4.15 6.9 C 28.8 35 65
DAVID COBB RB MINNESOTA 2015 70.9 229 4.73 4.55 7.01 PD 32 44 64
DESMOND MARTIN RB WAYNE STATE MI 2015 71.6 221 4.73 4.47 7 PD 30.3 39 64
TONY CREECY RB NORTH CAROLINA STATE 2015 70.4 204 4.75 4.35 6.95 PD 28.9 27 64
TERRENCE FRANKS RB TEXAS STATE 2015 69 203 4.5 4.26 6.97 PD 30 56 63
MIKE DAVIS RB SOUTH CAROLINA 2015 69.1 217 4.61 4.18 7 C 31.9 52 63
AARON WIMBERLY RB IOWA STATE 2015 68.6 179 4.54 4.43 6.91 PD 26.7 33 63
KENNETH HARPER RB TEMPLE PA 2015 70.2 232 4.64 4.34 7.06 PD 33.1 58 62
COREY GRANT RB AUBURN 2015 68.9 201 4.28 4.08 7 PD 29.8 88 61
JAWON CHISHOLM RB AKRON 2015 72.8 206 4.53 4.4 7.01 PD 27.3 55 61
MARCUS MASON RB WASHINGTON STATE 2015 68 183 4.67 4.25 6.95 PD 27.8 23 61
MELVIN GORDON RB WISCONSIN 2015 72.6 215 4.52 4.07 7.04 C 28.7 62 60
DOMINIQUE BROWN RB LOUISVILLE 2015 73.9 234 4.63 4.2 7.09 PD 30.1 61 60
KESHAUDAS SPENCE RB SACRED HEART 2015 69.5 238 4.78 4.27 7.12 PD 34.6 44 59
BRANDON HAYES RB MEMPHIS 2015 68.5 198 4.56 4.37 7.04 PD 29.7 45 58
MACK BROWN RB FLORIDA 2015 70.8 206 4.61 4.15 7.05 PD 28.9 44 58
TERRIS JONES GRIGSBY RB ARIZONA 2015 66.9 198 4.66 4.46 7.04 PD 31.1 33 58
JAY AJAYI RB BOISE STATE 2015 71.8 221 4.57 4.1 7.1 C 30.1 59 57
GUS JOHNSON RB STEPHEN F AUSTIN STATE 2015 69.6 215 4.7 4.13 7.09 C 31.2 39 57
THOMAS RAWLS RB CENTRAL MICHIGAN 2015 69 215 4.46 4.37 7.1 PD 31.7 71 56
MARLIN LANE RB TENNESSEE 2015 71.6 218 4.69 4.2 7.12 PD 29.9 42 56
JOSH QUEZADA RB FRESNO STATE 2015 70.8 215 4.85 4.33 7.1 PD 30.2 24 56
KARLOS WILLIAMS RB FLORIDA STATE 2015 72.8 230 4.48 4.46 7.16 C 30.5 79 55
ALONZO HARRIS RB LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE 2015 73 237 4.66 4.51 7.18 PD 31.3 59 55
JAHWAN EDWARDS RB BALL STATE 2015 69.5 220 4.64 4.38 7.13 PD 32 50 55
CAMERON ARTIS PAYNE RB AUBURN 2015 69.8 212 4.53 NA 7.13 C 30.6 59 54
ABOU TOURE RB TENNESSEE MARTIN 2015 73.8 231 4.7 4.6 7.18 PD 29.8 50 54
KESHAWN HILL RB SAM HOUSTON STATE 2015 69.8 211 4.6 4.41 7.12 PD 30.4 48 54
REGGIE WHATLEY RB MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 2015 66 178 4.46 4.39 7.05 PD 28.7 42 54
AKEEM DANIELS RB NORTHERN ILLINOIS 2015 66.9 190 4.58 4.08 7.07 PD 29.8 36 54
KENNY HILLIARD RB LSU 2015 71.6 226 4.83 4.4 7.17 C 31 32 54
JOHN CROCKETT RB NORTH DAKOTA STATE 2015 71.8 217 4.62 4.25 7.15 C 29.6 50 53
TJ YELDON RB ALABAMA 2015 73.2 226 4.61 4.22 7.19 C 29.7 58 52
MARCUS MURPHY RB MISSOURI 2015 68.6 198 4.58 4.4 7.13 PD 29.6 42 52
NICK HILL RB MICHIGAN STATE 2015 65.8 175 4.49 4.21 7.07 PD 28.4 36 52
BRANDON WEGHER RB MORNINGSIDE 2015 70.4 213 4.51 4.43 7.18 PD 30.2 62 51
ANTHONY TAYLOR RB ASHLAND 2015 70.5 220 4.67 4.41 7.2 PD 31.1 47 51
ORVILLE REYNOLDS RB WAKE FOREST 2015 67.6 171 4.4 4.17 7.07 PD 26.3 44 51
DONOVONN YOUNG RB ILLINOIS 2015 71.2 219 4.85 4.26 7.19 PD 30.4 26 51
KEON WILLIAMS RB TENNESSEE CHATTANOOGA 2015 72 238 4.8 4.58 7.25 PD 32.3 42 50
QUINCY FORTE RB EASTERN WASHINGTON 2015 70 189 4.78 4.44 7.13 PD 27.1 15 50
DEANTRE LEWIS RB ARIZONA STATE 2015 70 188 4.6 4.34 7.15 PD 27 33 49
JOSH ROBINSON RB MISSISSIPPI STATE 2015 67.9 217 4.62 4.58 7.24 PD 33.1 50 48
JOE BERGERON RB TEXAS A M COMMERCE 2015 72.1 224 4.73 4.34 7.25 PD 30.3 42 48
BILL BELTON RB PENN STATE 2015 68.9 199 4.62 4.43 7.19 PD 29.5 38 48
BRAYLON HEARD RB KENTUCKY 2015 69.6 198 4.63 4.4 7.19 C 28.7 36 48
JEREMY LANGFORD RB MICHIGAN STATE 2015 71.6 208 4.42 4.32 7.22 C 28.5 71 47
TERRON WARD RB OREGON STATE 2015 65.9 197 4.56 4.29 7.2 PD 31.9 44 47
DEE HART RB COLORADO STATE 2015 67.5 199 4.8 4.38 7.2 C 30.7 20 47
KEN MALCOME RB SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 2015 70.8 217 4.88 4.62 7.26 PD 30.4 23 46
JESSE CALLIER RB WASHINGTON 2015 70.2 202 4.72 4.45 7.24 PD 28.8 29 45
JORDON JAMES RB UCLA 2015 68.5 195 4.45 4.39 7.24 PD 29.2 56 44
DJ HOWARD RB CLEMSON 2015 70.9 200 4.66 4.57 7.25 PD 28 35 44
BRONSON HILL RB EASTERN MICHIGAN 2015 70.5 221 4.47 4.46 7.33 PD 31.3 74 42
JOE HILL RB UTAH STATE 2015 70.4 184 4.3 4.59 7.25 PD 26.1 70 42
RYAN BRUMFIELD RB EASTERN MICHIGAN 2015 68.8 184 4.68 4.35 7.24 PD 27.3 23 42
KEVIN PARKS RB VIRGINIA 2015 66.8 207 4.86 4.59 7.31 PD 32.6 18 41
RICKY SEALE RB STANFORD 2015 69 203 4.55 4.46 7.35 PD 30 50 38
PRINCE TYSON GULLEY RB SYRACUSE 2015 68 191 4.73 4.39 7.34 PD 29 21 37
TERRELL WATSON RB AZUSA PACIFIC 2015 72.6 236 4.55 4.49 7.48 PD 31.5 73 35
VENRIC MARK RB WEST TEXAS AM 2015 66.8 172 4.69 4.51 7.34 PD 27.1 14 34
DONNELL KIRKWOOD RB MINNESOTA 2015 67.6 217 4.74 4.44 7.46 PD 33.4 36 33
MALCOLM CYRUS RB ALABAMA STATE 2015 68.2 179 4.82 4.25 7.37 PD 27.1 6 33
DAVID GLASCO II RB TEXAS SAN ANTONIO 2015 70.2 209 4.76 4.6 7.47 PD 29.8 29 31
NATHAN JEFFERY RB TEXAS EL PASO 2015 71 208 4.68 4.78 7.55 PD 29 38 26
TREYVON GREEN RB NORTHWESTERN 2015 69.2 224 4.95 4.37 7.59 PD 32.9 20 26
DESMOND ROLAND RB OKLAHOMA STATE 2015 73.9 203 4.71 4.45 7.73 PD 26.1 30 13
BREON ALLEN RB EAST CAROLINA 2015 66.6 183 4.55 4.52 7.72 PD 29 35 11