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Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Texans Might Need a Bigger Boat: 4 ADP Risers, 4 Fallers, and the Buying Opportunity For Each in the Aftermath of the Stefon Diggs Trade

Following the Houston Texans’ sudden acquisition of Stefon Diggs from the Buffalo Bills for a second-round pick in the 2025 draft, fantasy managers were left scrambling to assess the shifting values of the fantasy assets on both sides of the deal. At the time Diggs was acquired, all three of the Texans’ top wideouts — Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, and Tank Dell — were being…...

The Giants Are Making Moves to Replace Saquon Barkley, But Can Any Offensive Additions Elevate Daniel Jones?

Running back Devin Singletary will depart Houston and join the New York Giants after agreeing to a free-agent contract last month. The deal has been announced as a three-year $16.5 million contract worth up to $19.5 million, with $9.5 million in guaranteed money and a potential out after the 2025 season. This represents one of the more significant offseason moves for the Giants, who have…...

The Texans Might Need a Bigger Boat: 4 ADP Risers, 4 Fallers, and the Buying Opportunity For Each in the Aftermath of the Stefon Diggs Trade

Following the Houston Texans’ sudden acquisition of Stefon Diggs from the Buffalo Bills for a second-round pick in the 2025 draft, fantasy managers were left scrambling to assess the shifting values of the fantasy assets on both sides of the deal. At the time Diggs was acquired, all three of the Texans’ top wideouts — Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, and Tank Dell — were being…...

The Giants Are Making Moves to Replace Saquon Barkley, But Can Any Offensive Additions Elevate Daniel Jones?

Running back Devin Singletary will depart Houston and join the New York Giants after agreeing to a free-agent contract last month. The deal has been announced as a three-year $16.5 million contract worth up to $19.5 million, with $9.5 million in guaranteed money and a potential out after the 2025 season. This represents one of the more significant offseason moves for the Giants, who have…...

Dynasty

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

Dynasty Spotlight: How to Value Bijan Robinson with a New Staff and Quarterback After a Slightly Underwhelming Rookie Campaign

Welcome to Dynasty Spotlight. The purpose of this series is to put one veteran dynasty commodity under the microscope to analyze how he is viewed on the market, how this compares to his abilities as a player based on predictive stats, and possibly make recommendations on whether we should be spending or selling in the current marketplace. The subject of this edition is Atlanta Falcons’ RB Bijan…...

Is This 2024 Draft Slider About to Follow in Terry McLaurin’s Footsteps?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2024 draft prospects sleeper series with an intriguing wide receiver who goes late in pre-draft best ball contests. Terry McLaurin burst onto the NFL stage as a rookie. During the 2019 season he flashed serious vertical ability, and while he’s never fully emerged as a star — perhaps due to a series of poor quarterbacks pulling the trigger — McLaurin has…...

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

Dynasty Spotlight: How to Value Bijan Robinson with a New Staff and Quarterback After a Slightly Underwhelming Rookie Campaign

Welcome to Dynasty Spotlight. The purpose of this series is to put one veteran dynasty commodity under the microscope to analyze how he is viewed on the market, how this compares to his abilities as a player based on predictive stats, and possibly make recommendations on whether we should be spending or selling in the current marketplace. The subject of this edition is Atlanta Falcons’ RB Bijan…...

Is This 2024 Draft Slider About to Follow in Terry McLaurin’s Footsteps?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2024 draft prospects sleeper series with an intriguing wide receiver who goes late in pre-draft best ball contests. Terry McLaurin burst onto the NFL stage as a rookie. During the 2019 season he flashed serious vertical ability, and while he’s never fully emerged as a star — perhaps due to a series of poor quarterbacks pulling the trigger — McLaurin has…...

Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Is This 2024 Draft Slider About to Follow in Terry McLaurin’s Footsteps?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2024 draft prospects sleeper series with an intriguing wide receiver who goes late in pre-draft best ball contests. Terry McLaurin burst onto the NFL stage as a rookie. During the 2019 season he flashed serious vertical ability, and while he’s never fully emerged as a star — perhaps due to a series of poor quarterbacks pulling the trigger — McLaurin has…...

The Texans Might Need a Bigger Boat: 4 ADP Risers, 4 Fallers, and the Buying Opportunity For Each in the Aftermath of the Stefon Diggs Trade

Following the Houston Texans’ sudden acquisition of Stefon Diggs from the Buffalo Bills for a second-round pick in the 2025 draft, fantasy managers were left scrambling to assess the shifting values of the fantasy assets on both sides of the deal. At the time Diggs was acquired, all three of the Texans’ top wideouts — Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, and Tank Dell — were being…...

Should We Expect Jerry Jeudy to Bounce Back in Cleveland, and Who Will Pick Up the Pieces in Denver?

The Denver Broncos have agreed to send Jerry Jeudy to the Cleveland Browns in return for a pair of Day 3 picks in the 2024 draft. After reportedly seeking a second-round pick in return for Jeudy last year, the Broncos are receiving a fifth-round pick (135th overall) and a sixth-round pick (202nd) a year later. With both teams involved heading in opposite directions from an…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

3 Young Wide Receivers Are Poised to Take Over the Top Spots in Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – WR Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm. I will…...

2 Upcoming Stars Are Ready to Take Over the Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – Running Back Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm as not…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

3 Young Wide Receivers Are Poised to Take Over the Top Spots in Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – WR Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm. I will…...

2 Upcoming Stars Are Ready to Take Over the Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – Running Back Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm as not…...

In-Season

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 3 – Weeks 9-12

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

The Gauntlet Returns: How to Navigate Underdog’s Divisional Round ADP

Shawn Siegele explores the nuances of building Underdog playoff rosters now that we’re down to eight teams as we enter the Divisional Round. Wild Card weekend lived up to its branding and delivered in a way that regular season football generally did not in 2023. As Colm and I broke down on Overtime yesterday, the initial wave of playoff games followed our expected script but…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 3 – Weeks 9-12

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

The Gauntlet Returns: How to Navigate Underdog’s Divisional Round ADP

Shawn Siegele explores the nuances of building Underdog playoff rosters now that we’re down to eight teams as we enter the Divisional Round. Wild Card weekend lived up to its branding and delivered in a way that regular season football generally did not in 2023. As Colm and I broke down on Overtime yesterday, the initial wave of playoff games followed our expected script but…...

RotoViz Study Hall

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Since the inception of RotoViz in 2013, the site has become famous for its groundbreaking content, evidence-based approach, and contrarian point of view. Along the way, it has contributed important discoveries, developed league-winning approaches, and made fantasy gamers smarter.

Visit the RotoViz Study Hall to read infamous pieces, learn the most important lessons the site has produced, gain a stronger appreciation for the data points that actually matter, and take the first step toward becoming a self-reliant fantasy manager.

Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, has a new book out, and, if anything, it’s probably even more potent (if also self-contradictory in many places). The book is called Antifragile and this is his definition of the term: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure. Yet in spite of the…...

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