Michael Dubner

RotoViz Featured Writer. Emphasis on NFL DFS and Best Ball.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Quarterback ADP Gold Rush: QBs Are Being Drafted Earlier Than Ever

Late-Round Quarterback has been a staple of value-based drafting strategy for nearly a decade. Are we seeing the tides turn as many are advocating for drafting early-round dual-threat QBs? The two primary ways to measure the success of fantasy football draft picks are production and value, with production largely measured by fantasy points and value accounting for the cost to acquire (aka draft capital). Earlier…...

Davante Adams Superfoods: 2020’s Functional Fantasy Points King

Michael Dubner continues his 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, this time using Functional Fantasy Points to reveal the WRs who contributed the most fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position on a weekly basis. FFP accounts for the volatility that we care…...

Jalen Reagor Infamously Headlines 2020’s Empty Calorie Fantasy Scorers List

In this 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, Michael Dubner uses Functional Fantasy Points to expose the WRs who contributed the fewest fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position calculated on a weekly basis. Essentially, FFP measures the number of points a player…...

Late-Breaking News and GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 16

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 15

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 14

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 13

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 11

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

Walking Through The DFS Lineup Optimizer – NFL FanDuel Week 10

I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that I’m targeting on the FanDuel main slate in Week 10. This week’s article will have a different format than we’ve been using. Below I will walk through an example of how I use the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer. It is important to remember that no optimizer…...

If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 9

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 8

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 7 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 6 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 5 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 4 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

Falcons WR Duo, Laviska Shenault, And Revisiting RotoViz’s 2020 Bold Predictions

Just before the start of the 2020 NFL season, the RotoViz staff put together their hottest, fire-iest (?), boldest predictions that will lead us to fantasy championships.  So far, some of these #takes seem like hits, while other staff wish they could have a mulligan. Three weeks into the season we have to decide if we’re being shown the new reality or a small sample…...

FanDuel NFL Week 3 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. The RotoViz tools help us escape this groupthink and find unique — yet plus-EV…...

FanDuel NFL Week 2 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. The RotoViz tools help us escape this groupthink and find unique — yet plus-EV…...

NFL FanDuel Week 1: Salary vs. Auction Price

Welcome back to my weekly FanDuel series on RotoViz. It feels good to be back! I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that many will overlook. In a world of groupthink and biases, the RotoViz Lineup Optimizer helps us find unique and objectively strong plays required to take down a GPP. However, we’ll give…...

Quarterback ADP Gold Rush: QBs Are Being Drafted Earlier Than Ever

Late-Round Quarterback has been a staple of value-based drafting strategy for nearly a decade. Are we seeing the tides turn as many are advocating for drafting early-round dual-threat QBs? The two primary ways to measure the success of fantasy football draft picks are production and value, with production largely measured by fantasy points and value accounting for the cost to acquire (aka draft capital). Earlier…...

Davante Adams Superfoods: 2020’s Functional Fantasy Points King

Michael Dubner continues his 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, this time using Functional Fantasy Points to reveal the WRs who contributed the most fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position on a weekly basis. FFP accounts for the volatility that we care…...

Jalen Reagor Infamously Headlines 2020’s Empty Calorie Fantasy Scorers List

In this 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, Michael Dubner uses Functional Fantasy Points to expose the WRs who contributed the fewest fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position calculated on a weekly basis. Essentially, FFP measures the number of points a player…...

Late-Breaking News and GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 16

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 15

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 14

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 13

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 11

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

Walking Through The DFS Lineup Optimizer – NFL FanDuel Week 10

I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that I’m targeting on the FanDuel main slate in Week 10. This week’s article will have a different format than we’ve been using. Below I will walk through an example of how I use the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer. It is important to remember that no optimizer…...

If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 9

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 8

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 7 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 6 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 5 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 4 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

Falcons WR Duo, Laviska Shenault, And Revisiting RotoViz’s 2020 Bold Predictions

Just before the start of the 2020 NFL season, the RotoViz staff put together their hottest, fire-iest (?), boldest predictions that will lead us to fantasy championships.  So far, some of these #takes seem like hits, while other staff wish they could have a mulligan. Three weeks into the season we have to decide if we’re being shown the new reality or a small sample…...

FanDuel NFL Week 3 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. The RotoViz tools help us escape this groupthink and find unique — yet plus-EV…...

FanDuel NFL Week 2 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. The RotoViz tools help us escape this groupthink and find unique — yet plus-EV…...

NFL FanDuel Week 1: Salary vs. Auction Price

Welcome back to my weekly FanDuel series on RotoViz. It feels good to be back! I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that many will overlook. In a world of groupthink and biases, the RotoViz Lineup Optimizer helps us find unique and objectively strong plays required to take down a GPP. However, we’ll give…...

Quarterback ADP Gold Rush: QBs Are Being Drafted Earlier Than Ever

Late-Round Quarterback has been a staple of value-based drafting strategy for nearly a decade. Are we seeing the tides turn as many are advocating for drafting early-round dual-threat QBs? The two primary ways to measure the success of fantasy football draft picks are production and value, with production largely measured by fantasy points and value accounting for the cost to acquire (aka draft capital). Earlier…...

Davante Adams Superfoods: 2020’s Functional Fantasy Points King

Michael Dubner continues his 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, this time using Functional Fantasy Points to reveal the WRs who contributed the most fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position on a weekly basis. FFP accounts for the volatility that we care…...

Jalen Reagor Infamously Headlines 2020’s Empty Calorie Fantasy Scorers List

In this 2020 NFL Best Ball Review, Michael Dubner uses Functional Fantasy Points to expose the WRs who contributed the fewest fantasy football points to starting rosters.  Last offseason I debuted the concept of Functional Fantasy Points (FFP), which are the fantasy points a player scores above baseline at their position calculated on a weekly basis. Essentially, FFP measures the number of points a player…...

Late-Breaking News and GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 16

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 15

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 14

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 13

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 11

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

Walking Through The DFS Lineup Optimizer – NFL FanDuel Week 10

I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that I’m targeting on the FanDuel main slate in Week 10. This week’s article will have a different format than we’ve been using. Below I will walk through an example of how I use the RotoViz DFS Lineup Optimizer. It is important to remember that no optimizer…...

If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 9

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

If This, Then That: GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 8

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 7 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 6 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 5 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

FanDuel NFL Week 4 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

Falcons WR Duo, Laviska Shenault, And Revisiting RotoViz’s 2020 Bold Predictions

Just before the start of the 2020 NFL season, the RotoViz staff put together their hottest, fire-iest (?), boldest predictions that will lead us to fantasy championships.  So far, some of these #takes seem like hits, while other staff wish they could have a mulligan. Three weeks into the season we have to decide if we’re being shown the new reality or a small sample…...

FanDuel NFL Week 3 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. The RotoViz tools help us escape this groupthink and find unique — yet plus-EV…...

FanDuel NFL Week 2 GPP Roster Construction: If This, Then That

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. The RotoViz tools help us escape this groupthink and find unique — yet plus-EV…...

NFL FanDuel Week 1: Salary vs. Auction Price

Welcome back to my weekly FanDuel series on RotoViz. It feels good to be back! I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that many will overlook. In a world of groupthink and biases, the RotoViz Lineup Optimizer helps us find unique and objectively strong plays required to take down a GPP. However, we’ll give…...

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