We know the course, we know the main players. There’s not really much to talk about as far as “intros” go this week. There’s something about this week that’s comforting. It was great to see Augusta in the late Fall, but nothing compares with an April nap while watching the Masters! Checking the Chalk Jordan Spieth ($9,400) seems to be back. Even during his slump,

The WGC Dell Technologies Match Play event is one of the best weeks of the DFS and golf betting year. It presents an entirely different puzzle than a typical week and there are going to be a significant chunk of lineups that are doomed from the start.  Bracketology This week’s tournament features sixteen groups of four golfers to start. Each golfer in that “pod” plays

We’re back in Florida this week for The Honda Classic. This tournament is played at PGA National’s Champion Course in Palm Beach Gardens. It’s a par 70 that plays about 7,125 yards. The Honda Classic is typically a carnage-filled affair. With 15 holes having water in play and the field having to navigate 67 bunkers, we’re hoping that holds true so we can put our

We’re closing out this iteration of the game theory series with the bargain range. Golfers that are priced from $7,400 to $6,500 rarely approach the top of the leaderboard. Only 0.2% of the golfers in this range go on to win the tournament. That’s not really what we’re searching for from this range. A top-15 finish is an incredible outcome here as only 10% of

At this point, we’ve hit the top tier and the mid-range golfers. It’s important to get those decisions correct because the top of the salary scale has the most win equity. To be honest, getting a winner or even a top-five finish from the $8,400 – $7,500 range is a pretty big accomplishment.  Over the course of our sample,[1]Dating back to the start of 2018.

The famous island green, the “Fifth Major”, a star-studded field. What could be better than The PLAYERS week?[1]Besides the majors and Ryder Cup. The course, as always, is TPC Sawgrass. It plays as a 7,200-plus yard par 71. As the field makes its way around the track, they’ll be forced to navigate their way around 88 bunkers and 17 water hazards. There have been some

In my opinion, the $8,500 – $9,900 range is make or break for most PGA DFS lineups. While the guys at the top provide a ton of safety, this range has a lot of golfers that move in and out and there’s always some bad chalk. We know that we aren’t particularly good at picking golfers from this range. I went through this range’s performance

As I said in the introduction to the update on the game theory series, the five-figure salary range is where the cutoff should be when making roster construction decisions. When you are making the decision to build a balanced lineup or a stars and scrubs lineup, you have to decide if you’re rostering anyone from the top of the salary scale or not.  There are

We’re heading to the familiar confines of Bay Hill this week after a rare unfamiliar course on Tour last week. Bay Hill is a par 72 that plays right around 7,380 yards. There are eight water hazards and 84 bunkers that the field will have to deal with as they make their way through the week. What to do With the Stud Range It looks

Last summer, I did a series on game theory considerations for PGA DFS. I view these decisions in the same light that I view structural drafting in best ball. There’s no one magic bullet to solve all of your issues and win every league you join. If you understand the way the game is played, though, you can set yourself up to capture tiny edges