Palmetto Championship at Congaree: PGA DFS Breakdown

The Palmetto Championship is being held at a course that we’ve never seen before. Congaree Golf Club is down in South Carolina and is a par 71 track. As par 71s go, it’s definitely on the longer side measuring in at 7,655 yards. Greens are about average size with bermudagrass and there is water in play on 10 holes. With no data from the actual

Palmetto Championship at Congaree: PGA DFS Breakdown

The Palmetto Championship is being held at a course that we’ve never seen before. Congaree Golf Club is down in South Carolina and is a par 71 track. As par 71s go, it’s definitely on the longer side measuring in at 7,655 yards. Greens are about average size with bermudagrass and there is water in play on 10 holes. With no data from the actual

Palmetto Championship at Congaree: PGA DFS Breakdown

The Palmetto Championship is being held at a course that we’ve never seen before. Congaree Golf Club is down in South Carolina and is a par 71 track. As par 71s go, it’s definitely on the longer side measuring in at 7,655 yards. Greens are about average size with bermudagrass and there is water in play on 10 holes. With no data from the actual

Rediscovering Muirfield Village: the Memorial Tournament PGA DFS Breakdown

We’re heading to Muirfield Village Golf Club for the Memorial Tournament this week. A lot will be made about all of the “radical” changes made to the course. While there have been plenty of holes that will look different to what we’re used to seeing at Muirfield, I don’t believe that there’s anything – other than guessing – that can be done to see how

Quantifying Volatility in PGA DFS Part 3: The Studs

From a top-down perspective, I’ve quantified a golfer’s baseline skill with my PRK Score. Last year, I backtested it through the 1995 PGA Season and it’s been pretty successful. The PRK is one of the main inputs in my simulator but there also has to be a volatility component. Otherwise, the simulator would just go straight chalk and we wouldn’t really glean anything from the

Quantifying Volatility in PGA DFS Part 2: Golfers with a 70 PRK Score and Below

From a top-down perspective, I’ve quantified a golfer’s baseline skill with my PRK Score. Last year, I backtested it through the 1995 PGA Season and it’s been pretty successful. The PRK is one of the main inputs in my simulator but there also has to be a volatility component. Otherwise, the simulator would just go straight chalk and we wouldn’t really glean anything from the

Quantifying Volatility in PGA DFS, Part 1: Overview

Golf is volatile. There’s so much variance in golf. GoLOLf. All these common things are said about golf on a weekly basis. Most of the people I know in the fantasy or gambling space question why I bother trying to predict golf. It’s a valid question. My main reason for analyzing golf is that I grew up playing and watching the sport and it truly

Searching for the Perfect Lineup: Charles Schwab Challenge PGA DFS Breakdown

The Charles Schwab Challenge is being held at Colonial Country Club once again this year. In fact, they’ve played this track every year since 1941. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,200 yards. Colonial has smaller than average green sizes, 84 bunkers, and four water hazards. It’s worth noting that we have a smaller field size this week, as well, with

Embracing Volatility at Kiawah Island: PGA Championship DFS Breakdown

The second major of the year is here, and the tour is heading back to The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island for this year’s PGA Championship. As usual, we’re in a yardage arms race so the scorecard will read over 7,800 yards. PGA Championships have slowly morphed more into U.S. Open setups with their length. It’s worth noting, obviously, that the yardage number on the

Into the Unknown at TPC Craig Ranch: Byron Nelson PGA DFS Preview

We’re heading back to Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson. It’s a brand new course that we haven’t seen on the PGA Tour before. It’s a par 72 that plays around 7,400 yards. How it will play is anybody’s guess … I’m firmly in the camp of betting/rostering talent this week. Look, people are going to look at the scorecard and GPS to try and

A Trip To Quail Hollow: Wells Fargo Championship PGA DFS Breakdown

After an exciting tournament down in Florida, the tour heads up to North Carolina. It’s a familiar course in the Quail Hollow Club. The course is a par 71 that plays just over 7,550 yards. Greens are slightly above average in size and the field will have to contend with four water hazards and 61 bunkers as they make their way around the track. Checking

Embracing the Carnage at the Valspar Championship: PGA DFS Breakdown

After a mini-vacation, we’re back with the Valspar Championship this week. The track, as always, is the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort in Palm Harbor, Florida. It’s a long-ish par 71 coming in at 7,340 yards. That doesn’t mean that it’s bombs away, though, as many of the holes force a club less than driver off the tee. There are nine holes with water in

A Trip to Harbour Town: RBC Heritage PGA DFS Breakdown

The Tour heads over to the RBC Heritage this week for a surprisingly strong field the week after a major. The course is a familiar one in Harbour Town Golf Links. It’s a 7,100-yard par 71. The greens are small and there’s not a premium on distance, which means this is a course unlike many others that tour golfers will face throughout the season. Checking

Rediscovering Muirfield Village: the Memorial Tournament PGA DFS Breakdown

We’re heading to Muirfield Village Golf Club for the Memorial Tournament this week. A lot will be made about all of the “radical” changes made to the course. While there have been plenty of holes that will look different to what we’re used to seeing at Muirfield, I don’t believe that there’s anything – other than guessing – that can be done to see how

Quantifying Volatility in PGA DFS Part 3: The Studs

From a top-down perspective, I’ve quantified a golfer’s baseline skill with my PRK Score. Last year, I backtested it through the 1995 PGA Season and it’s been pretty successful. The PRK is one of the main inputs in my simulator but there also has to be a volatility component. Otherwise, the simulator would just go straight chalk and we wouldn’t really glean anything from the

Quantifying Volatility in PGA DFS Part 2: Golfers with a 70 PRK Score and Below

From a top-down perspective, I’ve quantified a golfer’s baseline skill with my PRK Score. Last year, I backtested it through the 1995 PGA Season and it’s been pretty successful. The PRK is one of the main inputs in my simulator but there also has to be a volatility component. Otherwise, the simulator would just go straight chalk and we wouldn’t really glean anything from the

Quantifying Volatility in PGA DFS, Part 1: Overview

Golf is volatile. There’s so much variance in golf. GoLOLf. All these common things are said about golf on a weekly basis. Most of the people I know in the fantasy or gambling space question why I bother trying to predict golf. It’s a valid question. My main reason for analyzing golf is that I grew up playing and watching the sport and it truly

Searching for the Perfect Lineup: Charles Schwab Challenge PGA DFS Breakdown

The Charles Schwab Challenge is being held at Colonial Country Club once again this year. In fact, they’ve played this track every year since 1941. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,200 yards. Colonial has smaller than average green sizes, 84 bunkers, and four water hazards. It’s worth noting that we have a smaller field size this week, as well, with

Embracing Volatility at Kiawah Island: PGA Championship DFS Breakdown

The second major of the year is here, and the tour is heading back to The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island for this year’s PGA Championship. As usual, we’re in a yardage arms race so the scorecard will read over 7,800 yards. PGA Championships have slowly morphed more into U.S. Open setups with their length. It’s worth noting, obviously, that the yardage number on the

Into the Unknown at TPC Craig Ranch: Byron Nelson PGA DFS Preview

We’re heading back to Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson. It’s a brand new course that we haven’t seen on the PGA Tour before. It’s a par 72 that plays around 7,400 yards. How it will play is anybody’s guess … I’m firmly in the camp of betting/rostering talent this week. Look, people are going to look at the scorecard and GPS to try and

A Trip To Quail Hollow: Wells Fargo Championship PGA DFS Breakdown

After an exciting tournament down in Florida, the tour heads up to North Carolina. It’s a familiar course in the Quail Hollow Club. The course is a par 71 that plays just over 7,550 yards. Greens are slightly above average in size and the field will have to contend with four water hazards and 61 bunkers as they make their way around the track. Checking

Embracing the Carnage at the Valspar Championship: PGA DFS Breakdown

After a mini-vacation, we’re back with the Valspar Championship this week. The track, as always, is the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort in Palm Harbor, Florida. It’s a long-ish par 71 coming in at 7,340 yards. That doesn’t mean that it’s bombs away, though, as many of the holes force a club less than driver off the tee. There are nine holes with water in

A Trip to Harbour Town: RBC Heritage PGA DFS Breakdown

The Tour heads over to the RBC Heritage this week for a surprisingly strong field the week after a major. The course is a familiar one in Harbour Town Golf Links. It’s a 7,100-yard par 71. The greens are small and there’s not a premium on distance, which means this is a course unlike many others that tour golfers will face throughout the season. Checking

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