One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as … Continue reading Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Edition