Shawn Siegele explains why the loaded 2024 quarterback class could feature a consolation prize that pays off in a huge way and at a fraction of the price.  Everybody knows that Bo Nix is entering the NFL as an elderly prospect who just spent his final season throwing underneath relentlessly. He looks like the type of pure system QB who usually fails at the professional…...

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

Welcome to Dynasty Spotlight. The purpose of this series is to put one veteran dynasty commodity under the microscope to analyze how he is viewed on the market, how this compares to his abilities as a player based on predictive stats, and possibly make recommendations on whether we should be spending or selling in the current marketplace. The subject of this edition is Atlanta Falcons’ RB Bijan…...

Dave Caban uses his RB Breakaway Score metric to evaluate the 2024 rookie RB class and find the most explosive players in the class. It’s hard not to love explosive running backs — players who can take a handoff or a screen, find a hole, juke past a linebacker, and race to the end zone. These are the type of plays that circle through our…...

Welcome to Dynasty Spotlight. The purpose of this series is to put one veteran dynasty commodity under the microscope to analyze how he is viewed on the market, how this compares to his abilities as a player based on predictive stats, and possibly make recommendations on whether we should be spending or selling in the current marketplace. The subject of this edition is Cincinnati Bengals’…...

Heading into the 2021 draft, Ja’Marr Chase was lauded by many as one of the best wide receiver prospects to enter the NFL in a decade. He was the highest-ranked prospect in our Rookie Guide that season and sat inside our top-20 dynasty rankings before the NFL Draft. Why were we, and many others, so optimistic about his future? It was pretty simple. He projected…...

Playing quarterback in the NFL is hard. Doing it well might be one of the most difficult things in all of sports. Predicting the players that will do so could be an equally challenging task. What can fantasy managers do to combat this and make the most of their rookie draft picks? Dave Caban reviews the relationship between collegiate production and NFL fantasy scoring to…...

Shawn Siegele explores his projections for the first two rounds of 2024 Superflex rookie drafts. The combine was an absolute blast as always. Although arguably overstated and frequently dangerous, it fills out our understanding of prospect athleticism and occasionally delivers record-breaking performances.  Blair Andrews and Neil Dutton have broken down the three positions where player testing has the most relevance for fantasy projection. Records…...

The Underwear Olympics are over for another season, with the 2024 NFL scouting combine in the rearview mirror. The prospects have been prodded, poked, and posed endless questions. It’s been great fun. But what lessons have we learned about some of the prospects as draft season progresses to its next stage? I’ve had a look at six tight ends who all had different experiences over…...

Freak scores have long been a key metric we use to help predict wide receiver touchdown-scoring potential. Big and fast WRs have several key advantages over their smaller, slower counterparts that tend to lead to an increase in touchdown production at the NFL level, and thus an increase in fantasy upside. In the last couple years, we’ve also been able to apply this concept to…...

The 2024 class of wide receivers has been hyped as one of the best in recent memory. The combine gave many of the top names in the class a chance to show that the hype is deserved. Although we didn’t get to see the truly elite prospects compete, the 2024 combine was certainly not without fireworks. But now that the dust has settled, we need…...

Although many of the top prospects in this year’s draft are opting out of participating at the combine, for many under-the-radar draft hopefuls, the annual athletic testing still makes a big difference. Many prospects are in a position to augment their prospect profiles by revealing athleticism that didn’t show up in the box score. Many others will try to confirm that the numbers we rely…...

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of forced missed tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top RB prospects in the 2024 class. We’re about to release the first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, including data from the Box Score Scout…...

In dynasty, each player has two values: a production value — how much that player earns for your lineup this game this season for this championship — and a market value: how much a player could yield in a transaction. Those values don’t always match. Market values weigh potential heavily, and in football, potential exists in the young. Hope exists in the unseen. Excitement looms…...