To Catch a Falling Knife: Should We Be Taking Shots on 2025’s 13 Biggest Preseason Fallers?
Image Credit: Ken Murray/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Brian Robinson.

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down the circumstances that have led to the preseason’s biggest drops in ADP and explains whether fantasy managers should still be looking to add each player to redraft rosters at their current price.

Earlier in the week, we looked at the preseason’s biggest ADP risers and broke down the cases for buying and selling each. Now it is time to head to the other end of the spectrum and do the same for the players who have seen the biggest decreases in price since the beginning of August.

Whether it be due to injury, added competition, or the possibility of moving on to a new team, a falling ADP can present fantasy managers a buying window when uncertainty or misfortune leads to an overcorrection in price. However, there is almost always valid reasoning behind ADP shifts, opening up the potential to take a big loss if we decide to bet on the wrong situations.

For this exercise, I’ll be pulling ADP information from the FFPC’s Main Event and Big Gorilla going back to the beginning of August.

The FFPC offers fantasy managers two separate chances to bring home a $1 million grand prize in the Main Event and Big Gorilla! New users can save $25 off their first team with the code 25ROTOVIZ or by following this link!

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Kevin Szafraniec

Full-time Cat Dad, Sneakerhead, Record Collector, LOTR Fanboy, and Jeopardy Enthusiast. Fantasy football writer and beatmaker in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

The RotoViz Week in Review: When One Season Ends, Another One Begins

Kevin Szafraniec highlights some of the biggest NFL storylines of the week, as seen through the eyes of RotoViz’s staff and our industry-leading suite of tools. The 2026 RotoViz Rookie Draft Guide is now available for pre-order! Jam-packed with comprehensive player profiles, advanced stats, player comps, strategies, and rankings from the RotoViz staff, it is a must-have for every fantasy manager who wants to crush…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2026 Quarterback Free Agency Preview: Desperate Times Call For Desperate Measures

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down 2026’s impending free agent quarterback class in addition to discussing a handful of other signal callers who could become available this offseason. Quarterback is the most important position in professional sports. For NFL teams that don’t have a viable starting QB on their roster, the search to find one should always be their top priority. With the 2026 NFL draft class…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Week 18 Monday Review: 16 Actionable Insights From Fantasy’s Forgotten Week

Kevin Szafraniec discusses the biggest storylines of Week 18 with the help of RotoViz’s industry-leading suite of tools, most notably the Monday Review Tool. After spending a year immersed in fantasy football, it’s understandable that most fantasy managers want to take a break from the NFL in Week 18. Sure, there are always a few matchups with real-world playoff implications. But for the most part,…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The RotoViz Week in Review: When One Season Ends, Another One Begins

Kevin Szafraniec highlights some of the biggest NFL storylines of the week, as seen through the eyes of RotoViz’s staff and our industry-leading suite of tools. The 2026 RotoViz Rookie Draft Guide is now available for pre-order! Jam-packed with comprehensive player profiles, advanced stats, player comps, strategies, and rankings from the RotoViz staff, it is a must-have for every fantasy manager who wants to crush…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2026 Quarterback Free Agency Preview: Desperate Times Call For Desperate Measures

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down 2026’s impending free agent quarterback class in addition to discussing a handful of other signal callers who could become available this offseason. Quarterback is the most important position in professional sports. For NFL teams that don’t have a viable starting QB on their roster, the search to find one should always be their top priority. With the 2026 NFL draft class…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Week 18 Monday Review: 16 Actionable Insights From Fantasy’s Forgotten Week

Kevin Szafraniec discusses the biggest storylines of Week 18 with the help of RotoViz’s industry-leading suite of tools, most notably the Monday Review Tool. After spending a year immersed in fantasy football, it’s understandable that most fantasy managers want to take a break from the NFL in Week 18. Sure, there are always a few matchups with real-world playoff implications. But for the most part,…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.