Analysis

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Dynasty Trade Targets 2024: Diontae Johnson is Poised for a Massive Rebound

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2024, Curtis Patrick reviews players he’s trying to acquire in his own leagues. In this article, he compels readers to add Diontae Johnson before he reemerges as a fantasy threat. In 2023, Diontae Johnson posted a career-low 87 targets, converted a career-low 51 receptions, generated a career-low 152.7 PPR, and appeared in a career-low 13 games. Recommending wide receivers fresh off…...

How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament

NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...

Dynasty Trade Diary No. 8 – Building a Team Around De’Von Achane and Drake London

Curtis Patrick shares his latest dynasty trades involving Tyreek Hill, Drake London, Keenan Allen, De’Von Achane, Jerry Jeudy, and more. Can he convert these moves into the third title chance in five years for this high-stakes roster? Newton’s First Law of Motion (simplified): an object at rest stays at rest and an object in motion stays in motion. What are you doing to set your…...

Is Quentin Johnston the Next Davante Adams, or the Next Stephen Hill?

Player development is not linear. It is important to remember this. Not every player is going to burst out of the blocks as a rookie and become a superstar. Similarly, not every slow starter in the NFL is destined for a career of frustrated hopes and dreams. The 2014 rookie wide receiver class spoiled it for everyone, with the playmakers that emerged from that group…...

Bijan Robinson’s Rookie Season Looked a Bit Like Trent Richardson’s, But There Is No Need to Panic Yet

Bijan Robinson came into the NFL heralded as the best running back prospect since Saquon Barkley. His landing with the Atlanta Falcons, and Arthur Smith’s skills in utilizing the ground game in his offense, made mouths water at the prospect of what his first season in the league could be like. It’s fair to say that the early returns were . . . underwhelming. But…...

Should the Bears Draft Caleb Williams and Trade Justin Fields? A Look at the Financial Advantage of a Rookie QB Contract Through a RotoViz Lens

Now that an NFL champion has been crowned all eyes turn to free agency in March, and the draft in late April before NFL media outlets corporately begin the Great Summer Filibuster. The most focused scrutiny has already been steadily affixed to the Chicago Bears and what they might do this April. Despite finishing the season with a 7-10 record, they have the NFL’s top…...

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 5: What I’ve Learned, and How I’ll Be Better (Until I Forget Again)

We’re here. Part five. The end of the road. I’ve now laid out all the calls I’ve made in 2023 that could be construed in any way as an affirmation or declaration. The next step in my process is to go over each one and consider what made the call go right, wrong, or somewhere in between. After passing through them all, I’m left with…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 4 – Weeks 13-16

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

Did Zero RB Work in 2023? Part 1: A Brief Analysis of Some of the Best Drafts of the Year – The Wrong Read

2023 was a strange season in at least one way. It was the first time that the Win the Flex tool didn’t unapologetically recommend a Zero-RB strategy. As wide receivers got pushed up draft boards and running backs got pushed down, it looked as though value would coalesce around early RBs. In such a season, it may seem that Zero RB is sub-optimal. When it’s…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 3 – Weeks 9-12

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 2 – Weeks 5-8

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 1 – Preseason and Weeks 1-4

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” — Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

How to Predict the Future: Why Fantasy Wide Receiver Evaluation Is Easier Than You Think, and Why So Many Get It Wrong

About two years ago I performed a deep dive into some of the advanced wide receiver metrics we had recently added to the site. The advanced metrics from Sports Info Solutions gave us a lot of predictive power and nuance, and helped to explain why some of the longstanding metrics we’ve used for years continue to be among the best for fantasy managers. With now…...

Are NFL Running Backs Underpaid? Unraveling True Value at a Controversial Position

Fantasy football discussions are often marred by misinformation and skewed comparisons. A recent viral tweet comparing the average salaries of NFL kickers to those of running backs is a prime example. Can someone please explain this? pic.twitter.com/e9XgywpOF9 — Dez Bryant (@DezBryant) July 18, 2023 This tweet exploded as part of the current discourse over a potential NFL running back holdout. It was shared by seemingly…...

A Contrarian Path to Supercharged Elite TE Builds: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 1

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. First up, how should we approach the tight end position? Last year I wrote a short series about the FFPC…...

Dynasty Trade Diary No. 7 – Using the Rookie Draft Trade Window to Win a Title in 2023

Curtis Patrick demonstrates strategies to unlock the most upside out of your rookie picks to set your roster up for a title in 2023. Dynasty Trade Diary No. 7 – Using the Rookie Draft Trade Window to Win a Title in 2023 Entry No. 7 Today’s entry covers a huge dynasty trade I made in a FFPC dynasty league to set my roster up for a…...

2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings – Where Do the Top Rookies Fit in?

Curtis Patrick reviews where the top rookies fit into his updated 2023 dynasty fantasy football rankings. 2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings – Where Do the Top Rookies Fit in? The dust has settled following the break neck pace of the three day NFL Draft extravaganza last weekend. It was as fun to follow as any draft in recent memory. From the big trades, to surprise…...

Dynasty Trade Diary No. 6 – Selling Non-Elite Running Backs for Future Superstar Wide Receivers

Curtis Patrick breaks down why he traded Najee Harris for a second year wide receiver in a high stakes dynasty league. Dynasty Trade Diary No. 6 – Selling Non-Elite Running Backs for Future Superstar Wide Receivers Entry No. 6 Today’s entry covers a blockbuster dynasty trade I made on February 10, 2023, involving Najee Harris in a $250 FFPC superflex dynasty league. League: FFPC $250…...

Dynasty Trade Diary No. 5 – A Blockbuster Pivot in the Elite QB Tier

In Dynasty Trade Diary No. 5, Curtis Patrick breaks down his blockbuster trade of Josh Allen in a FFPC Superflex Dynasty League. Dynasty Trade Diary No. 5 – Pivoting in the Elite QB Tier Entry No. 5 Today’s entry covers a blockbuster dynasty trade I made on February 3, 2023, involving Josh Allen in a $250 FFPC superflex dynasty league. League: FFPC Superflex Best Ball…...

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