2020 Rotoviz Projections
2020 Rotoviz Projections

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The RotoViz projection process

The above projections were created by Senior Fantasy Analyst, Dave Caban. Dave has played a significant role in the site’s projection process for a number of years — creating tools to assist with development of projections and also developing the published RotoViz projections. Dave spends a great amount of time considering league-wide, team-specific, and player specific trends and factors while creating his projections. 

Dave’s projections aim to estimate the most likely outcome for a player in a given season. Said differently, they represent his best estimate of a player’s most likely or frequently occurring outcome within his range of outcomes. All offensive skill positions are projected for every team. However, only players projected to score 85 or more PPR points are included above. 

With the exception of the Dolphins and Chargers, all projections assume that each team’s starting quarterback throws 100 percent of team passing attempts. Additionally, the projections assume that all players play 16 games in the 2020 season. For a select handful of players, such as Alshon Jeffery who has averaged less than 13 games played per season, market shares have been reduced as 16 games played would be the player’s exception and not their norm.  

The RotoViz methodology for creating projections is as follows:

Step 1: Estimate team-level play volume and allocate between rushing/passing attempts

Step 2: Allocate percentages of rushing/passing attempts to offensive players.

Step 3: Consider each player’s historical results, changes in situation, positional benchmarks, and other predictive factors in order to develop player specific efficiency estimates.

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