Has the Second-Year Receiver Advantage Been Squeezed Out of Existence?

RotoViz has always championed drafting young, explosive wide receivers. This is particularly true with regards to second-year players, which we’ve often called the biggest edge in fantasy. This cadre of players sees the biggest jump in targets from one year to the next. In recent years however, the cost of these players has started to rise. But it’s also important to remember that recent classes…...

Has the Second-Year Receiver Advantage Been Squeezed Out of Existence?

RotoViz has always championed drafting young, explosive wide receivers. This is particularly true with regards to second-year players, which we’ve often called the biggest edge in fantasy. This cadre of players sees the biggest jump in targets from one year to the next. In recent years however, the cost of these players has started to rise. But it’s also important to remember that recent classes…...

Free Agency

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

DeVante Parker Joins a Patriots Team In Dire Need of Wide Receiver Help, But Is It a Good Fit?

The Patriots receiver corps has been lacking in recent years. In an attempt to bolster it, they’ve traded a 2023 third-round pick in return for DeVante Parker and a 2022 fifth. This makes sense for the Dolphins too after a blockbuster trade for Tyreek Hill gives them some major upside but meant fewer opportunities for Parker. But how much of an upgrade is this for…...

The Packers’ Receiving Corp Gets Thrown Wide Open, But Who is Set to Benefit?

The breakup of Davante Adams and the Aaron Rodgers-led Green Bay Packers is a seismic shift in the fantasy football landscape with significant reverberations for the outlooks of both the Packers and the Raiders. Michael Hitchcock did a great job teasing out how the move impacts Adams’ value and the pieces around him. In this article, I’ll be talking about how things might shakeout for the Packers…....

Tyreek Hill Gets a Downgrade at QB But Could Propel Miami to the Elite Ranks

In what has been an absolutely wild offseason, the Dolphins kept the party going by trading a bevy of picks in return for Tyreek Hill. Shawn Siegele examined how the Chiefs’ offense might operate going forward, and I get to tackle the fun side with Hill. For real life football, this is a questionable use of draft capital and salary by Miami. Hill is 28…...

JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling the Perfect Pieces in Kansas City?

The Chiefs have reportedly signed JuJu Smith-Schuster to a one-year, $10.75 million contract. And all is right with the world. The Chiefs have also replaced Tyreek Hill with Marquez Valdes-Scantling, so um, not so much. When the news broke yesterday, I was 2,000 words into a Smith-Schuster piece that waxed philosophic about a 48-year stretch where the Chiefs were 4-16 in the playoffs, including seven…...

The Packers’ Receiving Corp Gets Thrown Wide Open, But Who is Set to Benefit?

The breakup of Davante Adams and the Aaron Rodgers-led Green Bay Packers is a seismic shift in the fantasy football landscape with significant reverberations for the outlooks of both the Packers and the Raiders. Michael Hitchcock did a great job teasing out how the move impacts Adams’ value and the pieces around him. In this article, I’ll be talking about how things might shakeout for the Packers…....

Tyreek Hill Gets a Downgrade at QB But Could Propel Miami to the Elite Ranks

In what has been an absolutely wild offseason, the Dolphins kept the party going by trading a bevy of picks in return for Tyreek Hill. Shawn Siegele examined how the Chiefs’ offense might operate going forward, and I get to tackle the fun side with Hill. For real life football, this is a questionable use of draft capital and salary by Miami. Hill is 28…...

JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling the Perfect Pieces in Kansas City?

The Chiefs have reportedly signed JuJu Smith-Schuster to a one-year, $10.75 million contract. And all is right with the world. The Chiefs have also replaced Tyreek Hill with Marquez Valdes-Scantling, so um, not so much. When the news broke yesterday, I was 2,000 words into a Smith-Schuster piece that waxed philosophic about a 48-year stretch where the Chiefs were 4-16 in the playoffs, including seven…...

James Washington’s Stock Rises In Dallas, Plus Boston Scott’s Return To Philly and More Signings

The NFL offseason news keeps popping up on our timelines, yet it was possible to miss a few under-the-radar signings by James Washington, Boston Scott, and Ameer Abdullah. Washington joins the Cowboys, while Scott re-joined the Eagles. Meanwhile, the once elite prospect in Abdullah joins his sixth team — the Las Vegas Raiders — entering his fifth season. We’ll dive into the advanced metrics and…...

Best Ball and Redraft

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Mind the Gap: 3 Backfields with Buying Opportunities

Last summer, I looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued backs based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where there is…...

2 Deep Sleepers to Target at Wide Receiver in Your 2022 Best Ball Drafts

Meng Song discusses two deep sleepers at wide receiver and explains why they have the weekly upside you need to win your best ball contests. Names like Tim Patrick and DeVante Parker are oft-discussed wide receivers as values in the double-digit rounds, as both players have opportunities to potentially see high target shares in 2022. But let’s dive further and discuss a couple of deep…...

How to Finish a Hyperfragile Draft Strong

I recently wrote about Hyperfragile drafts in Bestball Mania and how to draft them optimally. It can be an exciting way to draft, but it is usually not implemented very well and the results reflect it. RB3 BEFORE ROUND 5, FIVE OR FEWER RBS Fortunately, the errors are easy to correct and result in a contrarian monster. Doing this research made me extremely excited about…...

Can Kyle Pitts Pay Off His ADP? Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Football Multiverse

The idea of the multiverse is fascinating to me. You change one small thing in one timeline and it breaks off and affects things down the road in profound ways. In the Marvel Cinematic Universe, that has Earth-shattering, Thanos-snapping implications. In fantasy football, it’s just my fancy way of saying that a range of outcomes exists. My goal for this series is to pick a…...

Mind the Gap: 3 Backfields with Buying Opportunities

Last summer, I looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued backs based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where there is…...

2 Deep Sleepers to Target at Wide Receiver in Your 2022 Best Ball Drafts

Meng Song discusses two deep sleepers at wide receiver and explains why they have the weekly upside you need to win your best ball contests. Names like Tim Patrick and DeVante Parker are oft-discussed wide receivers as values in the double-digit rounds, as both players have opportunities to potentially see high target shares in 2022. But let’s dive further and discuss a couple of deep…...

How to Finish a Hyperfragile Draft Strong

I recently wrote about Hyperfragile drafts in Bestball Mania and how to draft them optimally. It can be an exciting way to draft, but it is usually not implemented very well and the results reflect it. RB3 BEFORE ROUND 5, FIVE OR FEWER RBS Fortunately, the errors are easy to correct and result in a contrarian monster. Doing this research made me extremely excited about…...

Can Kyle Pitts Pay Off His ADP? Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Football Multiverse

The idea of the multiverse is fascinating to me. You change one small thing in one timeline and it breaks off and affects things down the road in profound ways. In the Marvel Cinematic Universe, that has Earth-shattering, Thanos-snapping implications. In fantasy football, it’s just my fancy way of saying that a range of outcomes exists. My goal for this series is to pick a…...

Dynasty

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

In Defense of Ageism: Why Drake London Is the Top Rookie Wide Receiver in 2022 (and Why It Could Also Be Jameson Williams)

Earlier this offseason I made an appearance on Ship Chasing to participate in a rookie mock draft. I had the second pick and took Drake London, explaining that I was breaking the tie between him and Treylon Burks in favor of London because he is more than a year younger than Burks. The responses in the comments included joking accusations of ageism. All I can…...

Dynasty Superflex Workshop: Perpetual Reloading – Blockbuster Trade Tactics

Shawn Siegele explores the dynamics of a blockbuster superflex trade and looks at three scenarios where you can craft huge win-win moves that shake the foundations of your league. In the Dynasty Workshop, we explore how to create a Permanent Championship Window through a process I call Perpetual Reloading. We’ve been working through these lessons in real leagues from the RotoViz TriFlex format at the…...

Dynasty Workshop: Permanent Championship Window – Rookie Draft Trades Edition

Shawn Siegele breaks down the trades from a RotoViz TriFlex rookie draft and explains how the right rookie draft tactics can help you create a permanent championship window in dynasty. Rookie draft tactics and dynasty trade tactics are both part of my Dynasty Workshop: The Permanent Championship Window, and they intersect during this glorious month of wall-to-wall rookie drafts. In today’s exercise, I’ll go through…...

In Defense of Ageism: Why Drake London Is the Top Rookie Wide Receiver in 2022 (and Why It Could Also Be Jameson Williams)

Earlier this offseason I made an appearance on Ship Chasing to participate in a rookie mock draft. I had the second pick and took Drake London, explaining that I was breaking the tie between him and Treylon Burks in favor of London because he is more than a year younger than Burks. The responses in the comments included joking accusations of ageism. All I can…...

Dynasty Superflex Workshop: Perpetual Reloading – Blockbuster Trade Tactics

Shawn Siegele explores the dynamics of a blockbuster superflex trade and looks at three scenarios where you can craft huge win-win moves that shake the foundations of your league. In the Dynasty Workshop, we explore how to create a Permanent Championship Window through a process I call Perpetual Reloading. We’ve been working through these lessons in real leagues from the RotoViz TriFlex format at the…...

Dynasty Workshop: Permanent Championship Window – Rookie Draft Trades Edition

Shawn Siegele breaks down the trades from a RotoViz TriFlex rookie draft and explains how the right rookie draft tactics can help you create a permanent championship window in dynasty. Rookie draft tactics and dynasty trade tactics are both part of my Dynasty Workshop: The Permanent Championship Window, and they intersect during this glorious month of wall-to-wall rookie drafts. In today’s exercise, I’ll go through…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Best True Freshman Wide Receiver of All Time Headlines a Talented 2024 Draft Class

The 2021 college football season is complete. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie Mock Draft, and you…...

The Next Great NFL Draft Class May Be Just Around the Corner in 2023

The 2021 college football season is just about wrapped up. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie…...

Devy Fantasy Football Trade Targets: Wide Receivers

Welcome, fellow devy fantasy football nerds to the Devy Fantasy Football Trade Targets Series! It’s that time of year again. The sweet spot where college football and NFL prospect resumes are still incomplete, the fantasy football playoffs are right around the corner, and the masses haven’t quite shifted their attention to future NFL Drafts just yet. It’s the calm before the storm where you can…...

The Best True Freshman Wide Receiver of All Time Headlines a Talented 2024 Draft Class

The 2021 college football season is complete. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie Mock Draft, and you…...

The Next Great NFL Draft Class May Be Just Around the Corner in 2023

The 2021 college football season is just about wrapped up. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie…...

Devy Fantasy Football Trade Targets: Wide Receivers

Welcome, fellow devy fantasy football nerds to the Devy Fantasy Football Trade Targets Series! It’s that time of year again. The sweet spot where college football and NFL prospect resumes are still incomplete, the fantasy football playoffs are right around the corner, and the masses haven’t quite shifted their attention to future NFL Drafts just yet. It’s the calm before the storm where you can…...

CFB

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Best True Freshman Wide Receiver of All Time Headlines a Talented 2024 Draft Class

The 2021 college football season is complete. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie Mock Draft, and you…...

The Next Great NFL Draft Class May Be Just Around the Corner in 2023

The 2021 college football season is just about wrapped up. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie…...

Top 100 Rookies for Fantasy Football in the 2022 NFL Draft: 1-20

Hello and welcome to the fifth and final installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series, 2022 edition! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes. So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game…...

The Best True Freshman Wide Receiver of All Time Headlines a Talented 2024 Draft Class

The 2021 college football season is complete. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie Mock Draft, and you…...

The Next Great NFL Draft Class May Be Just Around the Corner in 2023

The 2021 college football season is just about wrapped up. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie…...

Top 100 Rookies for Fantasy Football in the 2022 NFL Draft: 1-20

Hello and welcome to the fifth and final installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series, 2022 edition! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes. So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game…...

RotoViz Study Hall

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Since the inception of RotoViz in 2013, the site has become famous for it’s ground breaking content, evidence based approach, and contrarian point of view. Along the way, its contributed important discoveries, developed league-winning approaches, and made fantasy gamers smarter.

Visit the RotoViz Study Hall to read infamous pieces, learn the most important lessons the site has produced, gain a stronger appreciation for the data points that actually matter, and take the first step toward becoming a self-reliant fantasy manager.

Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, has a new book out, and, if anything, it’s probably even more potent (if also self-contradictory in many places). The book is called Antifragile and this is his definition of the term: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure. Yet in spite of the…...

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.