2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

Dynasty

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Theo Johnson is an Intriguing Prospect, but Will he be a Fantasy Factor in 2024?

After his offseason antics, Theo Johnson became a name to monitor among NFL draftniks and dynasty managers. His apparent lack of college production, allied to a fascinating athletic profile, made his NFL landing spot a point of interest. But what is the NFL getting in Johnson, and should fantasy managers be paying closer attention? Who is This Guy Anyway? Johnson does not, it must be…...

One, Both, or None? Should We Be Adding Patriots Rookie Wide Receivers Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker to Our Dynasty Rosters?

Looking all the way back to the turn of the century, the New England Patriots’ history of drafting wide receivers has not been pretty. Since 2000, only two wide receivers that the team has drafted — Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater — have made the Pro Bowl. Although he has been a staple at the NFL’s annual all-star game since 2011, Slater’s inclusion should come…...

One Myth and One Meaningful Trend: Where Quarterbacks Win and What It Actually Means

While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...

Dynasty Spotlight: Garrett Wilson’s Price Has More Red Flags Than You Realize, but Should You Worry?

There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...

Theo Johnson is an Intriguing Prospect, but Will he be a Fantasy Factor in 2024?

After his offseason antics, Theo Johnson became a name to monitor among NFL draftniks and dynasty managers. His apparent lack of college production, allied to a fascinating athletic profile, made his NFL landing spot a point of interest. But what is the NFL getting in Johnson, and should fantasy managers be paying closer attention? Who is This Guy Anyway? Johnson does not, it must be…...

One, Both, or None? Should We Be Adding Patriots Rookie Wide Receivers Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker to Our Dynasty Rosters?

Looking all the way back to the turn of the century, the New England Patriots’ history of drafting wide receivers has not been pretty. Since 2000, only two wide receivers that the team has drafted — Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater — have made the Pro Bowl. Although he has been a staple at the NFL’s annual all-star game since 2011, Slater’s inclusion should come…...

One Myth and One Meaningful Trend: Where Quarterbacks Win and What It Actually Means

While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...

Dynasty Spotlight: Garrett Wilson’s Price Has More Red Flags Than You Realize, but Should You Worry?

There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...

Redraft

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

2024 Projections: CeeDee Lamb’s Insane Upside in the Cowboys’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Can Jerry Jeudy Give Deshaun Watson and the Browns’ Passing Game A Spark?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cleveland Browns while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

2024 Projections: CeeDee Lamb’s Insane Upside in the Cowboys’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Can Jerry Jeudy Give Deshaun Watson and the Browns’ Passing Game A Spark?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cleveland Browns while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

A Dominant Veteran and Some Breakout Backs: 2 Big Gap Backfields and Offenses To Target

Last time we looked at small gap running backs and identified some undervalued veterans and young backs based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two big gap backfields, including a veteran joining a new high-powered offense and a breakout running back valued similarly to last season. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates…...

2024 Projections: CeeDee Lamb’s Insane Upside in the Cowboys’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Theo Johnson is an Intriguing Prospect, but Will he be a Fantasy Factor in 2024?

After his offseason antics, Theo Johnson became a name to monitor among NFL draftniks and dynasty managers. His apparent lack of college production, allied to a fascinating athletic profile, made his NFL landing spot a point of interest. But what is the NFL getting in Johnson, and should fantasy managers be paying closer attention? Who is This Guy Anyway? Johnson does not, it must be…...

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

A Dominant Veteran and Some Breakout Backs: 2 Big Gap Backfields and Offenses To Target

Last time we looked at small gap running backs and identified some undervalued veterans and young backs based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two big gap backfields, including a veteran joining a new high-powered offense and a breakout running back valued similarly to last season. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates…...

2024 Projections: CeeDee Lamb’s Insane Upside in the Cowboys’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Theo Johnson is an Intriguing Prospect, but Will he be a Fantasy Factor in 2024?

After his offseason antics, Theo Johnson became a name to monitor among NFL draftniks and dynasty managers. His apparent lack of college production, allied to a fascinating athletic profile, made his NFL landing spot a point of interest. But what is the NFL getting in Johnson, and should fantasy managers be paying closer attention? Who is This Guy Anyway? Johnson does not, it must be…...

RotoViz Study Hall

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Since the inception of RotoViz in 2013, the site has become famous for it’s ground breaking content, evidence based approach, and contrarian point of view. Along the way, its contributed important discoveries, developed league-winning approaches, and made fantasy gamers smarter.

Visit the RotoViz Study Hall to read infamous pieces, learn the most important lessons the site has produced, gain a stronger appreciation for the data points that actually matter, and take the first step toward becoming a self-reliant fantasy manager.

Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, has a new book out, and, if anything, it’s probably even more potent (if also self-contradictory in many places). The book is called Antifragile and this is his definition of the term: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure. Yet in spite of the…...

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