Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being picked in the top six rounds. Two of those WRs come with late fourth-round ADPs: Courtland Sutton and Calvin Ridley. Sutton, one of last year’s top values, broke out in a big way in 2019,…...

It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since the draft. These players could offer some value at their now very low draft spots. Ryan Fitzpatrick (40.3 spot drop since the end of the NFL Draft) The Miami Dolphins spent one of their three…...

The New York Jets are eagerly looking forward to what they can get out of tight end Chris Herndon in 2020. According to Connor Hughes of The Athletic, “to say the Jets can’t wait to get (him) back in their lineup is a vast understatement.” Hughes doubled down on this sentiment on Tuesday, remarking that they “had sky-high expectations” for him in 2019. But suspension and injury limited Herndon to just 18 snaps last season. Herndon could present an intriguing late-round option at the TE spot in 2020 if he is back to full health. Coming Out of College An…...

The NFL recently released the 2020 schedule, giving fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face and as an added bonus, identify a division whose WRs oppose significantly easy schedules. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a reminder, our SoS App employs a different approach than you might be used to. Rankings are calculated on a positional basis and rather than use total points allowed to determine the difficulty of a team’s…...

Yesterday, I wrote an article that used best ball win rate data to examine the impact of efficiency for wide receivers. It built off of what Blair Andrews did in The Wrong Read No. 59, which showed that WRs who post a positive Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE) tend to see more volume and continue to be efficient in the following season. That’s certainly good to know, but it’s also important to include ADP in the conversation; in other words, it doesn’t matter if a player scores more fantasy points than the previous season if their ADP implies a larger increase…...

A.J. Brown was special last year. Over the last two decades, Odell Beckham Jr. is the only rookie wide receiver to post more receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) than Brown had in 2019. Brown accumulated 1,051 yards on just 84 targets, leading the NFL in yards per target in the process.1 Since 1992, he is the only player to finish with over 1,000 yards on so few targets. He did that as a rookie. Understandably, there is considerable excitement about where Brown’s career could go from here. He’s currently going off the board as the WR14 (37.6 overall) in…...

Before the NFL Draft, I wrote about why pass-catching is the key to identifying late-round running back breakouts. The evidence is pretty glaring, especially considering it’s not too difficult to predict which RBs will catch passes (as shown in the first article). There weren’t many league-winning RBs picked late in drafts last season, but you can safely expect that to rebound this year. Picking the right RB in the double-digit rounds can be the difference between winning your championship and not even finishing in the money – just ask anyone who had Alvin Kamara in 2017 how much of an impact…...

The NFL released the 2020 schedule last week, giving sports fans worldwide something to look forward to and fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a reminder, our SoS App employs a different approach than you might be used to. Rankings are calculated on a positional basis and rather than use total points allowed to determine the difficulty of a team’s opponents, the tool works…...

The NFL released the 2020 schedule Thursday evening, giving sports fans worldwide something to look forward to and fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a reminder, our SoS App employs a different approach than you might be used to. Rankings are calculated on a positional basis and rather than use total points allowed to determine the difficulty of a team’s opponents, the tool works…...