Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

A Dominant Veteran and Some Breakout Backs: 2 Big Gap Backfields and Offenses To Target

Last time we looked at small gap running backs and identified some undervalued veterans and young backs based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two big gap backfields, including a veteran joining a new high-powered offense and a breakout running back valued similarly to last season. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates…...

2024 Projections: CeeDee Lamb’s Insane Upside in the Cowboys’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Theo Johnson is an Intriguing Prospect, but Will he be a Fantasy Factor in 2024?

After his offseason antics, Theo Johnson became a name to monitor among NFL draftniks and dynasty managers. His apparent lack of college production, allied to a fascinating athletic profile, made his NFL landing spot a point of interest. But what is the NFL getting in Johnson, and should fantasy managers be paying closer attention? Who is This Guy Anyway? Johnson does not, it must be…...

2024 Projections: Can Jerry Jeudy Give Deshaun Watson and the Browns’ Passing Game A Spark?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cleveland Browns while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2023’s Best Player Hack Points at These 4 RBs as Potential Tournament Winners in 2024

After the Dolphins’ RBs broke fantasy football in 2023, Shawn Siegele profiles the running game poised to deliver similar results in 2024. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert both found their way onto last year’s Zero RB Candidates Countdown. The two Miami stars were so good that you had great success drafting them individually . . . or even together. And despite a dramatic shift in Achane’s…...

2024 Projections: Jonathon Brooks and Diontae Johnson Look to To Take Control of the Panthers’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Carolina Panthers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Brock Bowers Might be a Future Star at Tight End, But Does That Future Start in 2024?

I make it my business to limit how often I disagree with my colleagues here at RotoViz. These guys are some smart cookies, especially in their player breakdowns. But on at least one player, the great Kevin Szafraniec and I see things slightly differently. That player is rookie tight end Brock Bowers. Writing last month, Kevin opined: Even as part of a lackluster Raiders offense,…...

With So Many Intriguing Options For Jordan Love in Green Bay’s Passing Game, Which Packers Receivers Provide the Best Values at ADP?

An embarrassment of riches in the receiving game is never a bad problem to have for an NFL quarterback, but it can lead to some difficult decisions for fantasy managers. While there are some interesting situations playing out in both Houston and Chicago, perhaps the most crowded — and potentially most ambiguous — receiving corps in the league for 2024 may reside in Green Bay…....

This Contrarian Approach to FFPC Superflex Leagues Is Even Stronger in Scott Fish Bowl 14

Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...

Veterans and Young Running Backs: 2 Small Gap Backfields Offer Opportunities for a Variety of Strategic Approaches

Last time, we looked at small gap running backs on two teams with new offensive coordinators to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two more small gap running backs, including a veteran and a younger option. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs,…...

2024 Projections: King Henry Reigns in Baltimore and Zay Flowers Has WR1 Upside

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Kyle Pitts and Drake London Look to Take Flight Alongside Kirk Cousins

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Can Best Ball Simulations Unlock New Quarterback Strategies? Analyzing Millions of Simulated Teams In Search of a Contrarian Build

While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...

2024 Projections: Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey Benson Look to Ignite the Cardinals’ Offense

Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...

Is 2024 a Good Year for Zero RB? Why That’s the Wrong Question When Facing the Wide Receiver Avalanche

Wide receivers are flying off fantasy football draft boards earlier than ever, creating a “WR avalanche” that’s reshaping best ball. Michael Dubner dives deep into the new best ball WR avalanche landscape, explores why WRs are going earlier than ever, and reveals the best ways to navigate the WR avalanche so you don’t get buried. Should we lean into Zero RB to get ahead of…...

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

A Dominant Veteran and Some Breakout Backs: 2 Big Gap Backfields and Offenses To Target

Last time we looked at small gap running backs and identified some undervalued veterans and young backs based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two big gap backfields, including a veteran joining a new high-powered offense and a breakout running back valued similarly to last season. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates…...

2024 Projections: CeeDee Lamb’s Insane Upside in the Cowboys’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Theo Johnson is an Intriguing Prospect, but Will he be a Fantasy Factor in 2024?

After his offseason antics, Theo Johnson became a name to monitor among NFL draftniks and dynasty managers. His apparent lack of college production, allied to a fascinating athletic profile, made his NFL landing spot a point of interest. But what is the NFL getting in Johnson, and should fantasy managers be paying closer attention? Who is This Guy Anyway? Johnson does not, it must be…...

2024 Projections: Can Jerry Jeudy Give Deshaun Watson and the Browns’ Passing Game A Spark?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cleveland Browns while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2023’s Best Player Hack Points at These 4 RBs as Potential Tournament Winners in 2024

After the Dolphins’ RBs broke fantasy football in 2023, Shawn Siegele profiles the running game poised to deliver similar results in 2024. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert both found their way onto last year’s Zero RB Candidates Countdown. The two Miami stars were so good that you had great success drafting them individually . . . or even together. And despite a dramatic shift in Achane’s…...

2024 Projections: Jonathon Brooks and Diontae Johnson Look to To Take Control of the Panthers’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Carolina Panthers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Brock Bowers Might be a Future Star at Tight End, But Does That Future Start in 2024?

I make it my business to limit how often I disagree with my colleagues here at RotoViz. These guys are some smart cookies, especially in their player breakdowns. But on at least one player, the great Kevin Szafraniec and I see things slightly differently. That player is rookie tight end Brock Bowers. Writing last month, Kevin opined: Even as part of a lackluster Raiders offense,…...

With So Many Intriguing Options For Jordan Love in Green Bay’s Passing Game, Which Packers Receivers Provide the Best Values at ADP?

An embarrassment of riches in the receiving game is never a bad problem to have for an NFL quarterback, but it can lead to some difficult decisions for fantasy managers. While there are some interesting situations playing out in both Houston and Chicago, perhaps the most crowded — and potentially most ambiguous — receiving corps in the league for 2024 may reside in Green Bay…....

This Contrarian Approach to FFPC Superflex Leagues Is Even Stronger in Scott Fish Bowl 14

Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...

Veterans and Young Running Backs: 2 Small Gap Backfields Offer Opportunities for a Variety of Strategic Approaches

Last time, we looked at small gap running backs on two teams with new offensive coordinators to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two more small gap running backs, including a veteran and a younger option. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs,…...

2024 Projections: King Henry Reigns in Baltimore and Zay Flowers Has WR1 Upside

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Kyle Pitts and Drake London Look to Take Flight Alongside Kirk Cousins

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Can Best Ball Simulations Unlock New Quarterback Strategies? Analyzing Millions of Simulated Teams In Search of a Contrarian Build

While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...

2024 Projections: Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey Benson Look to Ignite the Cardinals’ Offense

Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...

Is 2024 a Good Year for Zero RB? Why That’s the Wrong Question When Facing the Wide Receiver Avalanche

Wide receivers are flying off fantasy football draft boards earlier than ever, creating a “WR avalanche” that’s reshaping best ball. Michael Dubner dives deep into the new best ball WR avalanche landscape, explores why WRs are going earlier than ever, and reveals the best ways to navigate the WR avalanche so you don’t get buried. Should we lean into Zero RB to get ahead of…...

2024’s Scariest RB Profile Is Ridiculously Expensive and Threatens Austin Ekeler-Level Damage

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

A Dominant Veteran and Some Breakout Backs: 2 Big Gap Backfields and Offenses To Target

Last time we looked at small gap running backs and identified some undervalued veterans and young backs based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two big gap backfields, including a veteran joining a new high-powered offense and a breakout running back valued similarly to last season. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates…...

2024 Projections: CeeDee Lamb’s Insane Upside in the Cowboys’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Theo Johnson is an Intriguing Prospect, but Will he be a Fantasy Factor in 2024?

After his offseason antics, Theo Johnson became a name to monitor among NFL draftniks and dynasty managers. His apparent lack of college production, allied to a fascinating athletic profile, made his NFL landing spot a point of interest. But what is the NFL getting in Johnson, and should fantasy managers be paying closer attention? Who is This Guy Anyway? Johnson does not, it must be…...

2024 Projections: Can Jerry Jeudy Give Deshaun Watson and the Browns’ Passing Game A Spark?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cleveland Browns while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2023’s Best Player Hack Points at These 4 RBs as Potential Tournament Winners in 2024

After the Dolphins’ RBs broke fantasy football in 2023, Shawn Siegele profiles the running game poised to deliver similar results in 2024. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert both found their way onto last year’s Zero RB Candidates Countdown. The two Miami stars were so good that you had great success drafting them individually . . . or even together. And despite a dramatic shift in Achane’s…...

2024 Projections: Jonathon Brooks and Diontae Johnson Look to To Take Control of the Panthers’ Offense

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Carolina Panthers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Brock Bowers Might be a Future Star at Tight End, But Does That Future Start in 2024?

I make it my business to limit how often I disagree with my colleagues here at RotoViz. These guys are some smart cookies, especially in their player breakdowns. But on at least one player, the great Kevin Szafraniec and I see things slightly differently. That player is rookie tight end Brock Bowers. Writing last month, Kevin opined: Even as part of a lackluster Raiders offense,…...

With So Many Intriguing Options For Jordan Love in Green Bay’s Passing Game, Which Packers Receivers Provide the Best Values at ADP?

An embarrassment of riches in the receiving game is never a bad problem to have for an NFL quarterback, but it can lead to some difficult decisions for fantasy managers. While there are some interesting situations playing out in both Houston and Chicago, perhaps the most crowded — and potentially most ambiguous — receiving corps in the league for 2024 may reside in Green Bay…....

This Contrarian Approach to FFPC Superflex Leagues Is Even Stronger in Scott Fish Bowl 14

Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...

Veterans and Young Running Backs: 2 Small Gap Backfields Offer Opportunities for a Variety of Strategic Approaches

Last time, we looked at small gap running backs on two teams with new offensive coordinators to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two more small gap running backs, including a veteran and a younger option. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs,…...

2024 Projections: King Henry Reigns in Baltimore and Zay Flowers Has WR1 Upside

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Kyle Pitts and Drake London Look to Take Flight Alongside Kirk Cousins

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Can Best Ball Simulations Unlock New Quarterback Strategies? Analyzing Millions of Simulated Teams In Search of a Contrarian Build

While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...

2024 Projections: Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey Benson Look to Ignite the Cardinals’ Offense

Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...

Is 2024 a Good Year for Zero RB? Why That’s the Wrong Question When Facing the Wide Receiver Avalanche

Wide receivers are flying off fantasy football draft boards earlier than ever, creating a “WR avalanche” that’s reshaping best ball. Michael Dubner dives deep into the new best ball WR avalanche landscape, explores why WRs are going earlier than ever, and reveals the best ways to navigate the WR avalanche so you don’t get buried. Should we lean into Zero RB to get ahead of…...

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