The Continuation of This RB Trend Could Lead Us to Some Late-Round League Winners: Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 6

Kevin Szafraniec
June 2, 2026

Kevin Szafraniec applies the historical team trends he discovered by comparing running back ADP and their PPR finishes to the 2026 best ball environment.

In Part 5 of this series, I asked the question: How effective is the fantasy community at predicting running back depth charts?

To answer this, we compared ADP data from the past six years against how RBs ranked among their teammates in terms of total PPR points and PPR/GM at the end of the year. For the final installment of this series, we’ll discuss how these historical trends relate to NFL backfields in the current ADP landscape.

In this article, we will be focusing on the FFPC slim format, which features 20-round drafts, tight-end premium scoring (1.5 points per TE reception and 1.0 PPR for all other positions), and starting lineups consisting of one quarterback, two running backs, two wide receivers, one tight end, and two standard flex spots.

Are you ready to battle for your share of the 2026 FFPC Best Ball Tournament’s $1.64M prize pool? New users get $25 off their first FFPC team of $35 or more by using promo code 25ROTOVIZ or by following this link!

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Kevin Szafraniec

Lead Writer and Full-time Cat Dad. Sneakerhead, Record Collector, Beatmaker, Lord of the Rings Superfan, and Jeopardy Enthusiast in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

How Good Are We at Drafting Running Backs? Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 5

Kevin Szafraniec June 1, 2026

Kevin Szafraniec analyzes the past six years of best ball ADP data in the Win Rate Explorer and compares it against running back PPR scoring to find out how accurately drafters are predicting team depth charts prior to the season. While I was researching best ball stacks recently, a few interesting trends emerged that caused me to question how accurately preseason positional ADPs align with…...

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Rookie Wide Receivers Are a True Wild Card for NFL Depth Charts: Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 4

Kevin Szafraniec May 28, 2026

Kevin Szafraniec applies the historical team trends he discovered by comparing wide receiver ADP and their PPR finishes to the 2026 best ball environment. In Part 1 of this series, I asked the question: How effective is the fantasy community at predicting wide receiver depth charts? To answer this question, we compared ADP data from the past six years against how WRs ranked among their…...

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These 9 WR2s Are in Danger of Tumbling Down Their Depth Charts: Challenging the Wisdom of the Crowds, Part 3

Kevin Szafraniec May 27, 2026

Kevin Szafraniec applies historical ADP trends to the 2026 best ball landscape in an effort to predict which team WR2s could end up tumbling down depth charts this season. In Part 1 of this series, I asked the question: How effective is the fantasy community at predicting wide receiver depth charts? To answer this question, we compared ADP data from the past six years against how WRs ranked…...