In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where there is an ADP gap of 98.5…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains why turnover on Detroit’s coaching staff could lead to a shift in how the Lions win games this season. But fantasy managers need not worry too much; Detroit’s superstars should continue to score fantasy points in bunches. Detroit head coach Dan Campbell and general manager Brad Holmes have transformed the Lions from a perennial punchline into one of the most explosive and…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains why Cincinnati’s unorthodox roster construction could result in even more outlandish fantasy scoring for Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and the rest of the gang in 2025. Over the years, Cincinnati’s front office has developed a reputation as being quirky, to put it nicely. Other ways to describe them would be “frugal,” “difficult,” or “downright cheap.” However, the team has been able to…...

Kevin Szafraniec lays out the changes the Rams have made to their roster this offseason and why Puka Nacua could be primed to become fantasy’s second overall WR1 to come out of Sean McVay’s offense in the past five years. Puka Nacua’s early-career trajectory has him on pace to become one of the greatest receivers of all time. As a fifth-round selection in the 2023…...

Kevin Szafraniec discusses which Titans being selected in the late rounds of fantasy drafts present league-winning upside in 2025, even if they are unable to help Tennessee make it out of the AFC South basement. Thankfully, victory on Sundays is not a requisite for fantasy success. Garbage-time statistics score the same for fantasy managers, as seemingly irrelevant plays in the grand scheme of the NFL…...

Thomas Emerick examines how the Bills dominated with almost no draft capital spend, and reveals which teams could have an advantage on the offensive line, thanks to returning three or more starters — a threshold that consistently helps teams rank among the league’s top offenses. There is not a single first-rounder on the Bills’ offensive line, yet they allowed the fewest sacks in the NFL…...

Kevin Szafraniec discusses whether Bryce Young’s emergence over the second half of the 2024 season was simply a flash in the pan or a sign of things to come for not only him but also the entire Panthers’ offense. Few first-overall picks have had as poor a rookie season as Bryce Young in 2023. The Carolina front office faced widespread scrutiny after trading a king’s…...

Kevin Szafraniec looks at the Chargers’ first season under Jim Harbaugh and outlines some hidden offensive trends that could lead to Justin Herbert and the passing game taking a step forward in 2025. From 2011 to 2014, Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman created a powerhouse in San Francisco, compiling a 44-19-1 regular-season record and making one Super Bowl appearance. However, it is not just what…...

In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where…...

Kevin Szafraniec details how the Packers have gone about building one of the most complete rosters in the entire league and why the NFL and fantasy managers alike will be taking notice in 2025. Many NFL organizations claim that they want to build through the draft, but few teams have followed through with the claim as diligently as the Green Bay Packers. Whether it be…...

Kevin Szafraniec outlines the widespread changes the Jets have made this offseason and explains why fantasy managers can expect the 2025 version of the Jets to be the polar opposite of what they saw from the franchise in 2024. Perhaps no team needed a reset this offseason more than the New York Jets. Whether it be the team’s ownership, front office, coaching staff, or players,…...

Kevin Szafraniec discusses whether any of Atlanta’s skill position players aside from Bijan Robinson and Drake London can become mainstays in starting lineups for fantasy managers in 2025. Is there a hidden gem lurking in Atlanta’s backfield? Although Arthur Smith’s tenure in Atlanta felt like it endured for a lifetime, it in fact only lasted for three years. During that span, Smith effectively neutered the…...

Kevin Szafraniec discusses the steps Jacksonville has taken this offseason to change the direction of their declining franchise. Will the new coaching staff help Trevor Lawrence deliver on his college potential and bring the rest of the Jaguars offense along with him? Following a National Championship win during his freshman season at Clemson, Trevor Lawrence was hit with the trendy yet misleading “generational prospect” label…....

Kevin Szafraniec details the growth the Cardinals franchise experienced in 2024 and why even better days could be ahead in 2025. Will Arizona’s continued ascent lead to Kyler Murray and his top offensive weapons outperforming their ADPs for fantasy managers this season? Arizona’s Kliff Kingsbury era ended in the most depressing way imaginable, as the Cardinals finished the 2022 season with a 4-13 record, in…...

Kevin Szafraniec examines the state of the Cleveland Browns franchise and discusses the players who could see an uptick in fantasy value as the team shifts back to Kevin Stefanski’s offensive blueprint. Down seasons are nothing new for the Cleveland Browns, but 2024 felt like a new low. Last season should represent the end of Cleveland’s Deshaun Watson era, with the quarterback unceremoniously ending his…...

Kevin Szafraniec details why things went wrong for Dallas in 2024 and what the front office has done this offseason to instill confidence that the Cowboys’ playmakers can return to glory for fantasy managers in 2025. Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a roster. This exhaustive 32-team outlook…...

Kevin Szafraniec outlines the changes that have occurred across the Eagles’ organization this offseason following their Super Bowl victory and whether savvy moves from the front office will be enough to guarantee continued success in a sometimes volatile Philadelphia locker room.  Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a…...

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down how Sean Payton’s vision is transforming the Broncos into legitimate AFC West contenders and reveals why Bo Nix’s rushing floor combined with an upgraded supporting cast positions him to leap into fantasy’s elite QB tier in 2025. Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a…...

Kevin Szafraniec details how the Texans offense went from one of the most exciting in the league to one of the most uninspiring in the matter of a year and how recent moves could turn things around in 2025. Fantasy championships aren’t won by chasing last year’s production – they’re secured by managers who understand how team-level changes create cascading effects throughout a roster. This…...