Injuries From 2025 Are Creating Buying Opportunities on Elite Talents in the Early Rounds of 2026 Drafts: Making the Most of Recency Bias, Part 3
Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Lamar Jackson.

Kevin Szafraniec highlights seven players going in the early rounds of best ball drafts who disappointed in 2025 but whose current ADPs may be an overcorrection.

Everything in fantasy football is cost-related. Theoretically, any player can turn into an ADP value if their price drops low enough.

As is the case every year, 2026’s best ball environment has no shortage of players whose ADPs have fallen since last year. There is almost always a valid reason for a player’s cost to decline, be it injury, production, team environment, or any combination of the three. Still, the stigma of a bad season can stick with a player even as they tumble down the draft board, acting as a scarlet letter in fantasy circles.

Even so, we have to take circumstances into account and weigh new information against our lingering biases and emotions. Therefore, we will be taking a look at players whose ADPs have fallen a little too far in the current best ball landscape, which now presents us with an opportunity for inflated returns. After covering the late rounds in Part 1 and the middle rounds in Part 2, we will finish things off by taking a look at Rounds 1 through 5 of the FFPC’s Best Ball Tournament ADP.

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Don’t Call It a Comeback

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Kevin Szafraniec

Lead Writer and Full-time Cat Dad. Sneakerhead, Record Collector, Beatmaker, Lord of the Rings Superfan, and Jeopardy Enthusiast in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

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Kevin Szafraniec continues his deep dive into the NFC South by identifying the best and worst picks on the New Orleans Saints’ roster in 2026 best ball drafts. Although Kellen Moore’s first season in New Orleans was a letdown when we look at the team’s 6-11 record, the Saints’ new coach did instill a sense of optimism for the team’s fantasy prospects moving forward. The…...

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Kevin Szafraniec explains whether fantasy managers should be buying or selling the biggest quarterback risers and fallers in FFPC redraft contests over the past two months. In the previous two iterations of this series, we focused on FFPC best ball ADP. With redraft season in full swing, we’ll now turn our attention to the biggest ADP risers and fallers from the FFPC’s Main Event and…...

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