9 Late-Round Best Ball Targets Whose 2026 ADPs Have Experienced an Overcorrection: Making the Most of Recency Bias, Part 1
Image Credit: Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Tyjae Spears.

Kevin Szafraniec highlights nine players going in the late rounds of best ball drafts who disappointed in 2025 but whose current ADPs may be an overcorrection.

Everything in fantasy football is cost-related. Theoretically, any player can turn into an ADP value if their price drops low enough.

As is the case every year, 2026’s best ball environment has no shortage of players whose ADPs have fallen since last year. There is almost always a valid reason for a player’s cost to decline, be it injury, production, team environment, or any combination of the three. Still, the stigma of a bad season can stick with a player even as they tumble down the draft board, acting as a scarlet letter in fantasy circles.

Even so, we have to take circumstances into account and weigh new information against our lingering biases and emotions. Therefore, we will be taking a look at players whose ADPs have fallen a little too far in the current best ball landscape, which now presents us with an opportunity for inflated returns. For this exercise, we will start at the back of drafts and work our way forward. In Part 1, we will focus on Rounds 12 through 20 of the FFPC’s Best Ball Tournament ADP before moving on to the mid and early rounds in the final two installments of the series.

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The Obvious Letdowns

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Kevin Szafraniec

Lead Writer and Full-time Cat Dad. Sneakerhead, Record Collector, Beatmaker, Lord of the Rings Superfan, and Jeopardy Enthusiast in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

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