Bjorn Yang-Vaernet

Writer at RotoViz. Best ball enthusiast. Happy to interact more on Twitter @GoldenGate_FF

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Double-Digit Draft Slots Could be the Key to Countering the WR Avalanche

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet shares why he thinks double-digit best ball draft slots could have a big advantage again in 2023. Over a large enough sample size, best ball drafters should get every draft slot once in every 12 drafts. However, for drafters like myself, whose full-time job is not drafting best ball teams, I am at the mercy of the random number generator (RNG) program in…...

Stacking Kickers Provides a Massive Edge for the Non-Tournament Player: How to Win Standalone Best Ball Leagues

Daily fantasy drafters have been stacking NFL offenses for years. Best ball tournament stacking has exploded recently. But nearly all tournament formats leave out a position that offers a massive benefit when stacked. This is one area in which the cash game best ball player has a distinct edge. One look at the Stack Analysis tool in the RotoViz Win Rate Explorer shows us what…...

My Favorite Targets in Each Round: The August Edition Part 1 – Foundation Picks

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

This Cheap Underdog Hack Allows You to Create a Dominant Advantage at All Positions

Shawn Siegele explores the evidence for a cheap Underdog hack that helps you dominate all positions and pushes your advance rates through the roof. When Colm Kelly and I draft our RotoViz Overtime squads, we tend to emphasize Zero RB constructions that include Elite TE builds. The WR-heavy approach dominated 2022, and top TEs often give you a trump card through the playoffs even when…...

It’s Much Easier to Fade the Fantasy MVP Than You Might Think, But This Tactic Helps You Escape the Trap

Michael Dubner explains why you can very easily fade the fantasy MVP, and discusses the specific portfolio management technique that rescues you from the trap. RotoViz has long been ahead of the field in understanding the structural advantage Elite TEs offer in best ball, even in tournament formats. Although we used to get big seasons from Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, and Zach Ertz – and we…...

Missed Out on the Elite QBs? 3 QBs in the QB Window That Have Week 17 Winning Upside

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet examines three teams and their respective QBs that can be drafted in the QB Window (Rounds 6 to 13) and have legitimate tournament-winning upside in 2023. One of the more interesting dynamics in late-July/early-August best ball drafts is the game of chicken that drafters have when selecting elite QBs. After routinely going in Round 2, managers have started to see how far they…...

Good First Impressions: Rookie Tight Ends Winning Plaudits in Camp

Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

5 Priority Wide Receiver Targets Who Are Also Dominating Early in Training Camp

Shawn Siegele explains why these five WRs have been the foundation of his summer draft plans and why training camp developments are making them even better picks for your big redraft leagues this August. One consistent and justified refrain from our subscribers is that you want my 2023 Draft Plan early enough for most drafters to use it on the big day. While I’ll still…...

The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

Overcoming Inflation and Exploiting the New QB ADP Landscape: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 2

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. In the second installment he details his approach to handling the new QB ADP landscape. Part 1 on how make…...

What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

FFPC SuperFlex Best Ball: Outdueling Shawn and Blair with Insights from the Workshops and RCE

Erik Hove explains why a unique approach to FFPC Superflex tournaments provides a winning edge that can’t be achieved through normal draft stuctures. Underdog has the badge brigade. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Banana Stand live streams with Pete Overzet take it to the next level with fear-inducing WR avalanches. But nothing strikes fear in an RV-pilled, FFPC drafter like seeing a Blair Andrews/Shawn Siegele co-managed…...

How to Turn Elite-But-Lean WR Builds Into Deadly Tournament Rosters

Shawn Siegele recommends aggressive draft selections to execute a trendy Underdog BBMIV draft plan that’s perfect for 2023. In the 2023 Underdog Workshop, I’m using the Roster Construction Explorer and Advance Rate Explorer to create evidence-based draft plans to handle any slot and room. The 2023 Underdog Workshop Will the Best-Parts Plan allow you to blend dominant tactics from 2021 and 2022? The evidence for…...

Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

Late-Round Tight End Never Works — But It Might Work for Us: 7 Tight Ends in the Double-Digit Rounds to Help You Lean Into the WR Avalanche

Elite-tight-end builds — or even double-elite-TE builds — have long been a staple of winning roster construction principles at RotoViz. Even in Shawn Siegele’s foundational Zero-RB article, he mentions that his preferred construction in the first five rounds includes four WRs and a TE. Looking back at the win rates for elite TE builds shows that beginning your draft with a top TE provides a…...

Is All Stacking Beneficial? The Theory and Data on Late Stacks and Back Stacking in Best Ball

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet uses the RotoViz Best Ball Tools to explore whether drafters should be late stacking and back stacking in Underdog best ball tournaments Best ball has come a long way since Underdog arrived on the scene three years ago. In particular, what drafters consider “obvious” strategies today were debated in previous summers. A few of these strategies are: Getting ADP closing value Week 17…...

Combining Double-Anchor RB, WR Storm Tactics, ADP Value, and Tournament Upside in Best Ball Mania IV

Shawn Siegele breaks down all 18 picks from a Best Ball Mania IV draft on a team that balances ADP value, overall roster construction, and correlation plays. In the previous Underdog Workshop, we looked at how to blend league-winning traits from 2021 and 2022 while capitalizing on the unique ADP environment of 2023. That team featured a double-anchor at RB but combined upside WRs with…...

Double-Digit Draft Slots Could be the Key to Countering the WR Avalanche

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet shares why he thinks double-digit best ball draft slots could have a big advantage again in 2023. Over a large enough sample size, best ball drafters should get every draft slot once in every 12 drafts. However, for drafters like myself, whose full-time job is not drafting best ball teams, I am at the mercy of the random number generator (RNG) program in…...

Stacking Kickers Provides a Massive Edge for the Non-Tournament Player: How to Win Standalone Best Ball Leagues

Daily fantasy drafters have been stacking NFL offenses for years. Best ball tournament stacking has exploded recently. But nearly all tournament formats leave out a position that offers a massive benefit when stacked. This is one area in which the cash game best ball player has a distinct edge. One look at the Stack Analysis tool in the RotoViz Win Rate Explorer shows us what…...

My Favorite Targets in Each Round: The August Edition Part 1 – Foundation Picks

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

This Cheap Underdog Hack Allows You to Create a Dominant Advantage at All Positions

Shawn Siegele explores the evidence for a cheap Underdog hack that helps you dominate all positions and pushes your advance rates through the roof. When Colm Kelly and I draft our RotoViz Overtime squads, we tend to emphasize Zero RB constructions that include Elite TE builds. The WR-heavy approach dominated 2022, and top TEs often give you a trump card through the playoffs even when…...

It’s Much Easier to Fade the Fantasy MVP Than You Might Think, But This Tactic Helps You Escape the Trap

Michael Dubner explains why you can very easily fade the fantasy MVP, and discusses the specific portfolio management technique that rescues you from the trap. RotoViz has long been ahead of the field in understanding the structural advantage Elite TEs offer in best ball, even in tournament formats. Although we used to get big seasons from Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, and Zach Ertz – and we…...

Missed Out on the Elite QBs? 3 QBs in the QB Window That Have Week 17 Winning Upside

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet examines three teams and their respective QBs that can be drafted in the QB Window (Rounds 6 to 13) and have legitimate tournament-winning upside in 2023. One of the more interesting dynamics in late-July/early-August best ball drafts is the game of chicken that drafters have when selecting elite QBs. After routinely going in Round 2, managers have started to see how far they…...

Good First Impressions: Rookie Tight Ends Winning Plaudits in Camp

Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

5 Priority Wide Receiver Targets Who Are Also Dominating Early in Training Camp

Shawn Siegele explains why these five WRs have been the foundation of his summer draft plans and why training camp developments are making them even better picks for your big redraft leagues this August. One consistent and justified refrain from our subscribers is that you want my 2023 Draft Plan early enough for most drafters to use it on the big day. While I’ll still…...

The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

Overcoming Inflation and Exploiting the New QB ADP Landscape: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 2

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. In the second installment he details his approach to handling the new QB ADP landscape. Part 1 on how make…...

What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

FFPC SuperFlex Best Ball: Outdueling Shawn and Blair with Insights from the Workshops and RCE

Erik Hove explains why a unique approach to FFPC Superflex tournaments provides a winning edge that can’t be achieved through normal draft stuctures. Underdog has the badge brigade. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Banana Stand live streams with Pete Overzet take it to the next level with fear-inducing WR avalanches. But nothing strikes fear in an RV-pilled, FFPC drafter like seeing a Blair Andrews/Shawn Siegele co-managed…...

How to Turn Elite-But-Lean WR Builds Into Deadly Tournament Rosters

Shawn Siegele recommends aggressive draft selections to execute a trendy Underdog BBMIV draft plan that’s perfect for 2023. In the 2023 Underdog Workshop, I’m using the Roster Construction Explorer and Advance Rate Explorer to create evidence-based draft plans to handle any slot and room. The 2023 Underdog Workshop Will the Best-Parts Plan allow you to blend dominant tactics from 2021 and 2022? The evidence for…...

Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

Late-Round Tight End Never Works — But It Might Work for Us: 7 Tight Ends in the Double-Digit Rounds to Help You Lean Into the WR Avalanche

Elite-tight-end builds — or even double-elite-TE builds — have long been a staple of winning roster construction principles at RotoViz. Even in Shawn Siegele’s foundational Zero-RB article, he mentions that his preferred construction in the first five rounds includes four WRs and a TE. Looking back at the win rates for elite TE builds shows that beginning your draft with a top TE provides a…...

Is All Stacking Beneficial? The Theory and Data on Late Stacks and Back Stacking in Best Ball

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet uses the RotoViz Best Ball Tools to explore whether drafters should be late stacking and back stacking in Underdog best ball tournaments Best ball has come a long way since Underdog arrived on the scene three years ago. In particular, what drafters consider “obvious” strategies today were debated in previous summers. A few of these strategies are: Getting ADP closing value Week 17…...

Combining Double-Anchor RB, WR Storm Tactics, ADP Value, and Tournament Upside in Best Ball Mania IV

Shawn Siegele breaks down all 18 picks from a Best Ball Mania IV draft on a team that balances ADP value, overall roster construction, and correlation plays. In the previous Underdog Workshop, we looked at how to blend league-winning traits from 2021 and 2022 while capitalizing on the unique ADP environment of 2023. That team featured a double-anchor at RB but combined upside WRs with…...

Double-Digit Draft Slots Could be the Key to Countering the WR Avalanche

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet shares why he thinks double-digit best ball draft slots could have a big advantage again in 2023. Over a large enough sample size, best ball drafters should get every draft slot once in every 12 drafts. However, for drafters like myself, whose full-time job is not drafting best ball teams, I am at the mercy of the random number generator (RNG) program in…...

Stacking Kickers Provides a Massive Edge for the Non-Tournament Player: How to Win Standalone Best Ball Leagues

Daily fantasy drafters have been stacking NFL offenses for years. Best ball tournament stacking has exploded recently. But nearly all tournament formats leave out a position that offers a massive benefit when stacked. This is one area in which the cash game best ball player has a distinct edge. One look at the Stack Analysis tool in the RotoViz Win Rate Explorer shows us what…...

My Favorite Targets in Each Round: The August Edition Part 1 – Foundation Picks

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

This Cheap Underdog Hack Allows You to Create a Dominant Advantage at All Positions

Shawn Siegele explores the evidence for a cheap Underdog hack that helps you dominate all positions and pushes your advance rates through the roof. When Colm Kelly and I draft our RotoViz Overtime squads, we tend to emphasize Zero RB constructions that include Elite TE builds. The WR-heavy approach dominated 2022, and top TEs often give you a trump card through the playoffs even when…...

It’s Much Easier to Fade the Fantasy MVP Than You Might Think, But This Tactic Helps You Escape the Trap

Michael Dubner explains why you can very easily fade the fantasy MVP, and discusses the specific portfolio management technique that rescues you from the trap. RotoViz has long been ahead of the field in understanding the structural advantage Elite TEs offer in best ball, even in tournament formats. Although we used to get big seasons from Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, and Zach Ertz – and we…...

Missed Out on the Elite QBs? 3 QBs in the QB Window That Have Week 17 Winning Upside

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet examines three teams and their respective QBs that can be drafted in the QB Window (Rounds 6 to 13) and have legitimate tournament-winning upside in 2023. One of the more interesting dynamics in late-July/early-August best ball drafts is the game of chicken that drafters have when selecting elite QBs. After routinely going in Round 2, managers have started to see how far they…...

Good First Impressions: Rookie Tight Ends Winning Plaudits in Camp

Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

5 Priority Wide Receiver Targets Who Are Also Dominating Early in Training Camp

Shawn Siegele explains why these five WRs have been the foundation of his summer draft plans and why training camp developments are making them even better picks for your big redraft leagues this August. One consistent and justified refrain from our subscribers is that you want my 2023 Draft Plan early enough for most drafters to use it on the big day. While I’ll still…...

The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

Overcoming Inflation and Exploiting the New QB ADP Landscape: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 2

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. In the second installment he details his approach to handling the new QB ADP landscape. Part 1 on how make…...

What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

FFPC SuperFlex Best Ball: Outdueling Shawn and Blair with Insights from the Workshops and RCE

Erik Hove explains why a unique approach to FFPC Superflex tournaments provides a winning edge that can’t be achieved through normal draft stuctures. Underdog has the badge brigade. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Banana Stand live streams with Pete Overzet take it to the next level with fear-inducing WR avalanches. But nothing strikes fear in an RV-pilled, FFPC drafter like seeing a Blair Andrews/Shawn Siegele co-managed…...

How to Turn Elite-But-Lean WR Builds Into Deadly Tournament Rosters

Shawn Siegele recommends aggressive draft selections to execute a trendy Underdog BBMIV draft plan that’s perfect for 2023. In the 2023 Underdog Workshop, I’m using the Roster Construction Explorer and Advance Rate Explorer to create evidence-based draft plans to handle any slot and room. The 2023 Underdog Workshop Will the Best-Parts Plan allow you to blend dominant tactics from 2021 and 2022? The evidence for…...

Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

Late-Round Tight End Never Works — But It Might Work for Us: 7 Tight Ends in the Double-Digit Rounds to Help You Lean Into the WR Avalanche

Elite-tight-end builds — or even double-elite-TE builds — have long been a staple of winning roster construction principles at RotoViz. Even in Shawn Siegele’s foundational Zero-RB article, he mentions that his preferred construction in the first five rounds includes four WRs and a TE. Looking back at the win rates for elite TE builds shows that beginning your draft with a top TE provides a…...

Is All Stacking Beneficial? The Theory and Data on Late Stacks and Back Stacking in Best Ball

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet uses the RotoViz Best Ball Tools to explore whether drafters should be late stacking and back stacking in Underdog best ball tournaments Best ball has come a long way since Underdog arrived on the scene three years ago. In particular, what drafters consider “obvious” strategies today were debated in previous summers. A few of these strategies are: Getting ADP closing value Week 17…...

Combining Double-Anchor RB, WR Storm Tactics, ADP Value, and Tournament Upside in Best Ball Mania IV

Shawn Siegele breaks down all 18 picks from a Best Ball Mania IV draft on a team that balances ADP value, overall roster construction, and correlation plays. In the previous Underdog Workshop, we looked at how to blend league-winning traits from 2021 and 2022 while capitalizing on the unique ADP environment of 2023. That team featured a double-anchor at RB but combined upside WRs with…...

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