Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 2: 2 WRs and 2 TEs Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team

On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...

Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 1: 4 Players Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

Shawn Siegele’s 27 Priority Targets for Summer FFPC Drafts

After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...

Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

Combining the Rankings and ADP Apps to Crush Your Drafts: The Must-Have Picks at 2 Key Positions

As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...

Jaylen Warren is Still Criminally Undervalued: Deciphering the Potential Outcomes for the 2024 Steelers Backfield

In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...

Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit

While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...

Is Week 17 All That Matters? Best Ball Mania 5 Is My Favorite Prize Structure Yet

Underdog’s Best Ball Mania 5 boasts a staggering $15,000,000 prize pool, promising to turn one lucky drafter into a millionaire and 19 others into six-figure winners. Michael Dubner breaks down the prize structure and how it impacts our drafting strategy. Two years ago, I collaborated with friend of RotoViz Peter Overzet on the viral “Week 17 is all that matters” video that became the meme…...

Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

The Times They Are A-Changin’: Will a New Coaching Staff Help Jaxon Smith-Njigba and the Seahawks’ Receivers Fly High in 2024?

POP QUIZ, HOTSHOT: Who was the Seattle Seahawks’ last head coach prior to Pete Carroll getting the job in 2010? THE ANSWER: Jim Mora Jr.? Yes, Mora Jr. had one forgettable (at least to me, apparently) 5-11 season as the head coach of the Seahawks following Mike Holmgren’s 10-year run in the Pacific Northwest. Maybe I’m the one getting old, but I find it hard…...

Is This 2024 Draft Slider About to Follow in Terry McLaurin’s Footsteps?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2024 draft prospects sleeper series with an intriguing wide receiver who goes late in pre-draft best ball contests. Terry McLaurin burst onto the NFL stage as a rookie. During the 2019 season he flashed serious vertical ability, and while he’s never fully emerged as a star — perhaps due to a series of poor quarterbacks pulling the trigger — McLaurin has…...

The Texans Might Need a Bigger Boat: 4 ADP Risers, 4 Fallers, and the Buying Opportunity For Each in the Aftermath of the Stefon Diggs Trade

Following the Houston Texans’ sudden acquisition of Stefon Diggs from the Buffalo Bills for a second-round pick in the 2025 draft, fantasy managers were left scrambling to assess the shifting values of the fantasy assets on both sides of the deal. At the time Diggs was acquired, all three of the Texans’ top wideouts — Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, and Tank Dell — were being…...

Could Adonai Mitchell or Troy Franklin Help This Juggernaut Break Fantasy Football in 2024? NFL Offseason Primer, Part 5

The 2024 fantasy football season is officially here! With RotoViz TriFlex leagues and the Never-Too-Early Best Ball Tournament in full swing over at the FFPC, along with the Big Board tournament going live on Underdog, it is a great time to be alive. No matter what type of league we’re competing in, the exercise of researching each NFL team’s salary cap situation, draft capital, and…...

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 2: 2 WRs and 2 TEs Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team

On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...

Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 1: 4 Players Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

Shawn Siegele’s 27 Priority Targets for Summer FFPC Drafts

After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...

Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

Combining the Rankings and ADP Apps to Crush Your Drafts: The Must-Have Picks at 2 Key Positions

As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...

Jaylen Warren is Still Criminally Undervalued: Deciphering the Potential Outcomes for the 2024 Steelers Backfield

In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...

Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit

While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...

Is Week 17 All That Matters? Best Ball Mania 5 Is My Favorite Prize Structure Yet

Underdog’s Best Ball Mania 5 boasts a staggering $15,000,000 prize pool, promising to turn one lucky drafter into a millionaire and 19 others into six-figure winners. Michael Dubner breaks down the prize structure and how it impacts our drafting strategy. Two years ago, I collaborated with friend of RotoViz Peter Overzet on the viral “Week 17 is all that matters” video that became the meme…...

Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

The Times They Are A-Changin’: Will a New Coaching Staff Help Jaxon Smith-Njigba and the Seahawks’ Receivers Fly High in 2024?

POP QUIZ, HOTSHOT: Who was the Seattle Seahawks’ last head coach prior to Pete Carroll getting the job in 2010? THE ANSWER: Jim Mora Jr.? Yes, Mora Jr. had one forgettable (at least to me, apparently) 5-11 season as the head coach of the Seahawks following Mike Holmgren’s 10-year run in the Pacific Northwest. Maybe I’m the one getting old, but I find it hard…...

Is This 2024 Draft Slider About to Follow in Terry McLaurin’s Footsteps?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2024 draft prospects sleeper series with an intriguing wide receiver who goes late in pre-draft best ball contests. Terry McLaurin burst onto the NFL stage as a rookie. During the 2019 season he flashed serious vertical ability, and while he’s never fully emerged as a star — perhaps due to a series of poor quarterbacks pulling the trigger — McLaurin has…...

The Texans Might Need a Bigger Boat: 4 ADP Risers, 4 Fallers, and the Buying Opportunity For Each in the Aftermath of the Stefon Diggs Trade

Following the Houston Texans’ sudden acquisition of Stefon Diggs from the Buffalo Bills for a second-round pick in the 2025 draft, fantasy managers were left scrambling to assess the shifting values of the fantasy assets on both sides of the deal. At the time Diggs was acquired, all three of the Texans’ top wideouts — Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, and Tank Dell — were being…...

Could Adonai Mitchell or Troy Franklin Help This Juggernaut Break Fantasy Football in 2024? NFL Offseason Primer, Part 5

The 2024 fantasy football season is officially here! With RotoViz TriFlex leagues and the Never-Too-Early Best Ball Tournament in full swing over at the FFPC, along with the Big Board tournament going live on Underdog, it is a great time to be alive. No matter what type of league we’re competing in, the exercise of researching each NFL team’s salary cap situation, draft capital, and…...

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 2: 2 WRs and 2 TEs Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team

On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...

Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 1: 4 Players Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

Shawn Siegele’s 27 Priority Targets for Summer FFPC Drafts

After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...

Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

Combining the Rankings and ADP Apps to Crush Your Drafts: The Must-Have Picks at 2 Key Positions

As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...

Jaylen Warren is Still Criminally Undervalued: Deciphering the Potential Outcomes for the 2024 Steelers Backfield

In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...

Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit

While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...

Is Week 17 All That Matters? Best Ball Mania 5 Is My Favorite Prize Structure Yet

Underdog’s Best Ball Mania 5 boasts a staggering $15,000,000 prize pool, promising to turn one lucky drafter into a millionaire and 19 others into six-figure winners. Michael Dubner breaks down the prize structure and how it impacts our drafting strategy. Two years ago, I collaborated with friend of RotoViz Peter Overzet on the viral “Week 17 is all that matters” video that became the meme…...

Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

The Times They Are A-Changin’: Will a New Coaching Staff Help Jaxon Smith-Njigba and the Seahawks’ Receivers Fly High in 2024?

POP QUIZ, HOTSHOT: Who was the Seattle Seahawks’ last head coach prior to Pete Carroll getting the job in 2010? THE ANSWER: Jim Mora Jr.? Yes, Mora Jr. had one forgettable (at least to me, apparently) 5-11 season as the head coach of the Seahawks following Mike Holmgren’s 10-year run in the Pacific Northwest. Maybe I’m the one getting old, but I find it hard…...

Is This 2024 Draft Slider About to Follow in Terry McLaurin’s Footsteps?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2024 draft prospects sleeper series with an intriguing wide receiver who goes late in pre-draft best ball contests. Terry McLaurin burst onto the NFL stage as a rookie. During the 2019 season he flashed serious vertical ability, and while he’s never fully emerged as a star — perhaps due to a series of poor quarterbacks pulling the trigger — McLaurin has…...

The Texans Might Need a Bigger Boat: 4 ADP Risers, 4 Fallers, and the Buying Opportunity For Each in the Aftermath of the Stefon Diggs Trade

Following the Houston Texans’ sudden acquisition of Stefon Diggs from the Buffalo Bills for a second-round pick in the 2025 draft, fantasy managers were left scrambling to assess the shifting values of the fantasy assets on both sides of the deal. At the time Diggs was acquired, all three of the Texans’ top wideouts — Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, and Tank Dell — were being…...

Could Adonai Mitchell or Troy Franklin Help This Juggernaut Break Fantasy Football in 2024? NFL Offseason Primer, Part 5

The 2024 fantasy football season is officially here! With RotoViz TriFlex leagues and the Never-Too-Early Best Ball Tournament in full swing over at the FFPC, along with the Big Board tournament going live on Underdog, it is a great time to be alive. No matter what type of league we’re competing in, the exercise of researching each NFL team’s salary cap situation, draft capital, and…...

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