Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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From a Historical Perspective: Is Brock Bowers Already the TE1 in Both Dynasty and Redraft?

Blair Andrews examines Brock Bowers’ historic start to his rookie season. Listen as Blair, Hasan Rahim, and Kevin Szafraniec discuss Bowers’ fantasy impact in Week 2 on the RotoViz Fantasy Football Report.  Through two games, Brock Bowers leads all tight ends in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. Since 2000, only four other tight ends have garnered more than 12 targets in their first two…...

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Is This the Week Garrett Wilson Proves He’s an Elite WR? The Wrong Read, Week 2

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Tyreek Hill Is Not Slowing Down: The Wrong Read, Week 1 Thursday Night Football Preview

Welcome to the Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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From a Historical Perspective: How Worried Should We Be About Marvin Harrison’s Debut?

Marvin Harrison Jr. was the first wide receiver selected in the 2024 draft, going to the Arizona Cardinals with the fourth pick. That’s the earliest a WR has been taken since 2015, when Amari Cooper was the Raiders’ fourth overall pick. No receiver had been taken earlier since 2007 (Calvin Johnson). Given the draft capital spent on him, it would be reasonable to expect him…...

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How to Exploit This Unique (and Fun) FFPC Loophole: Responding to the Pre-Lock Games

Blair Andrews breaks down Chiefs/Ravens and Eagles/Packers and explains what it all means for FFPC high stakes drafts on Saturday. One of the most exploitable wrinkles in FFPC drafts — both the Main Event and the FantasyPros Championship — is that you can draft and set your lineup after the season officially begins. Drafts for both contests are still ongoing, and will continue all day…...

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On Drafting with Other People: The Triumphs and Tribulations of Co-Constructing a Team in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship

All my kids are into Lego. As such, we sometimes watch a show called Lego Masters. The premise is something like MasterChef, but instead of food, the medium is Lego bricks. I don’t necessarily recommend it, even if you’re into Lego, but my kids enjoy it. Contestants compete as teams of two, and while most of the teams are made up of pairs of enthusiasts…...

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Elevate Your Home League (And High Stakes) Draft Acumen With Blair Andrews’ 4 Contrarian Principles for Fantasy Football Domination

Blair Andrews discusses four contrarian fantasy football principles that will help you elevate your approach to home leagues.  If you’re a new RotoViz reader just starting to get into some of the more advanced topics we cover, you might be looking for the perfect point of entry. This article is for you. If you’re coming to RotoViz because your goal is still to dominate your…...

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These 2 Underused Running Back Metrics Are the Keys to Both Reality and Fantasy Wins: 1 Must-Draft Breakout RB and 4 More to Monitor Closely

Blair Andrews searches through the advanced RB metrics to help you locate the breakout smash play of the 2024 season. In previous installments of the RB breakout pieces we’ve looked both at how age and experience impact RB breakouts, and also at which metrics best predict future breakouts for non-rookies. One question we haven’t investigated is why these breakouts tend to happen. Luckily we can…...

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Draft Breakdown: How to Evaluate Your Team’s Chances in an FFPC FantasyPros Championship League

Blair Andrews’ FFPC redraft strategy session breaks down all the dos and don’ts to help your high-stakes team win $1 million. If you want to win a million dollars playing fantasy football, there aren’t many more accessible ways to do it than the FFPC FantasyPros Championship. This contest features the same top prize as its sister contest, the FFPC Main Event, and has an ever…...

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Become a Shark in Your Home League: These High-Stakes Favorites Are the 12 Best Current Values in ESPN Drafts

Blair Andrews compares ESPN average draft positions against those in FFPC Main Event and FantasyPros Championship drafts to find the best current values in ESPN leagues. Even with the huge prize pools available in the many high-stakes contests — including one that represents your most cost-effective chance to become a millionaire playing fantasy football — still there’s nothing like the feeling of winning your home…...

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These Undervalued Metrics Are the Secret to Unlocking RB Breakouts – 4 Must-Draft RBs for 2024

Blair Andrews helps you conceptualize the types of RB performances at the NFL level that lead to huge breakouts and big-time win rates. Last time we uncovered a group of running backs that have historically returned a 40% breakout rate. But knowing that a certain group of players break out at a higher rate than others doesn’t necessarily tell us who is most likely to…...

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This Simple Hack Has Delivered a 40% RB Breakout Rate and Could Be Your Path to Finding the Next Fantasy Superstar: 4 Cheap Running Backs Poised to Explode

Blair Andrews helps you locate a simple hack that has delivered a 40% RB breakout rate. Want to find four RBs about to explode? Read on. As we hit fantasy football crunch time, the RotoViz team is helping you find the most precious of fantasy commodities: the league-smashing running back. Shawn Siegele has started the world-famous Zero RB Candidates Countdown. Michael Dubner has one-upped him with…...

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How to Turn a $350 FFPC Draft into a $1 Million Payday with 6 Elite WRs and 6 Explosive RB Lottery Tickets

Blair Andrews breaks down a recent FFPC FantasyPros Championship draft, revealing how to navigate WR cliffs and overeager TE drafters to build a roster with explosive upside. Last week I highlighted some of the best values in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship format. That contest features the same top payout as the Main Event, but costs only $350 to enter. The lower buy-in likely leads to…...

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High-Stakes Arbitrage Opportunities: The 10 Best Value Picks in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship

While the FFPC Main Event gets most of the attention during redraft season — and rightly so, as the biggest high-stakes fantasy contest around — we shouldn’t forget about FFPC’s sister tournament that features just as big a grand prize and an even bigger prize pool. The FantasyPros Championship features a $350 buy-in and a $1 million top prize. It also offers a slightly flatter…...

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The Open Score Superstars Set to Turn Fantasy Football on Its Head: 5 Wide Receivers About to Join the Elite Ranks

In my last article I highlighted one of ESPN Analytics Receiver Tracking Metrics: YAC Score. Deebo Samuel has been among the best in the league at YAC Score since his rookie season. And at least one Year 2 breakout candidate looks like he might be on a similar trajectory. But YAC Score isn’t the only metric ESPN tracks. In fact, one could say it’s not…...

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Deebo Samuel Is an After-the-Catch Unicorn, but This Year 2 Breakout Candidate’s Rookie Season Was Eerily Similar

The player tracking and advanced charting era gives us a multitude of metrics that measure how well receivers get open, how good they are at turning opportunities into receptions, and how good they are at turning those receptions into yards and touchdowns. I enjoy getting into the nitty-gritty of the advanced metrics and teasing out which methods for measuring those various skills are most exploitable…....

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7 Undervalued Wide Receivers You Should Draft Right Now, and 14 More to Add to Your Watchlist

Blair Andrews’ Wide Receiver Breakout Series culminates in a close look at the players most likely to provide an outsized return in 2024. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks diving deep into the dynamics of WR breakouts and secondary breakouts. Be sure to check out those articles if you missed any: These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s…...

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Misconceptions About Wide Receiver Age Curves Create Opportunity: 3 Redraft and 3 Dynasty Targets

Blair Andrews continues his Breakout WR Series with a look at what we tend to get right – and more importantly, get wrong – about wide receiver aging curves. The Breakout WR Series These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s Easy to Get the Age Part Wrong: How to Exploit Misconceptions About Age and Fantasy Scoring The Best Thing…...

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There’s Breaking Out, and Then There’s Breaking Out: The Immense Value of Secondary Breakouts and the Possibilities for 2024

Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs.  That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...

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An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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From a Historical Perspective: Is Brock Bowers Already the TE1 in Both Dynasty and Redraft?

Blair Andrews examines Brock Bowers’ historic start to his rookie season. Listen as Blair, Hasan Rahim, and Kevin Szafraniec discuss Bowers’ fantasy impact in Week 2 on the RotoViz Fantasy Football Report.  Through two games, Brock Bowers leads all tight ends in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. Since 2000, only four other tight ends have garnered more than 12 targets in their first two…...

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Is This the Week Garrett Wilson Proves He’s an Elite WR? The Wrong Read, Week 2

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Tyreek Hill Is Not Slowing Down: The Wrong Read, Week 1 Thursday Night Football Preview

Welcome to the Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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From a Historical Perspective: How Worried Should We Be About Marvin Harrison’s Debut?

Marvin Harrison Jr. was the first wide receiver selected in the 2024 draft, going to the Arizona Cardinals with the fourth pick. That’s the earliest a WR has been taken since 2015, when Amari Cooper was the Raiders’ fourth overall pick. No receiver had been taken earlier since 2007 (Calvin Johnson). Given the draft capital spent on him, it would be reasonable to expect him…...

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How to Exploit This Unique (and Fun) FFPC Loophole: Responding to the Pre-Lock Games

Blair Andrews breaks down Chiefs/Ravens and Eagles/Packers and explains what it all means for FFPC high stakes drafts on Saturday. One of the most exploitable wrinkles in FFPC drafts — both the Main Event and the FantasyPros Championship — is that you can draft and set your lineup after the season officially begins. Drafts for both contests are still ongoing, and will continue all day…...

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On Drafting with Other People: The Triumphs and Tribulations of Co-Constructing a Team in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship

All my kids are into Lego. As such, we sometimes watch a show called Lego Masters. The premise is something like MasterChef, but instead of food, the medium is Lego bricks. I don’t necessarily recommend it, even if you’re into Lego, but my kids enjoy it. Contestants compete as teams of two, and while most of the teams are made up of pairs of enthusiasts…...

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Elevate Your Home League (And High Stakes) Draft Acumen With Blair Andrews’ 4 Contrarian Principles for Fantasy Football Domination

Blair Andrews discusses four contrarian fantasy football principles that will help you elevate your approach to home leagues.  If you’re a new RotoViz reader just starting to get into some of the more advanced topics we cover, you might be looking for the perfect point of entry. This article is for you. If you’re coming to RotoViz because your goal is still to dominate your…...

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These 2 Underused Running Back Metrics Are the Keys to Both Reality and Fantasy Wins: 1 Must-Draft Breakout RB and 4 More to Monitor Closely

Blair Andrews searches through the advanced RB metrics to help you locate the breakout smash play of the 2024 season. In previous installments of the RB breakout pieces we’ve looked both at how age and experience impact RB breakouts, and also at which metrics best predict future breakouts for non-rookies. One question we haven’t investigated is why these breakouts tend to happen. Luckily we can…...

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Draft Breakdown: How to Evaluate Your Team’s Chances in an FFPC FantasyPros Championship League

Blair Andrews’ FFPC redraft strategy session breaks down all the dos and don’ts to help your high-stakes team win $1 million. If you want to win a million dollars playing fantasy football, there aren’t many more accessible ways to do it than the FFPC FantasyPros Championship. This contest features the same top prize as its sister contest, the FFPC Main Event, and has an ever…...

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Become a Shark in Your Home League: These High-Stakes Favorites Are the 12 Best Current Values in ESPN Drafts

Blair Andrews compares ESPN average draft positions against those in FFPC Main Event and FantasyPros Championship drafts to find the best current values in ESPN leagues. Even with the huge prize pools available in the many high-stakes contests — including one that represents your most cost-effective chance to become a millionaire playing fantasy football — still there’s nothing like the feeling of winning your home…...

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These Undervalued Metrics Are the Secret to Unlocking RB Breakouts – 4 Must-Draft RBs for 2024

Blair Andrews helps you conceptualize the types of RB performances at the NFL level that lead to huge breakouts and big-time win rates. Last time we uncovered a group of running backs that have historically returned a 40% breakout rate. But knowing that a certain group of players break out at a higher rate than others doesn’t necessarily tell us who is most likely to…...

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This Simple Hack Has Delivered a 40% RB Breakout Rate and Could Be Your Path to Finding the Next Fantasy Superstar: 4 Cheap Running Backs Poised to Explode

Blair Andrews helps you locate a simple hack that has delivered a 40% RB breakout rate. Want to find four RBs about to explode? Read on. As we hit fantasy football crunch time, the RotoViz team is helping you find the most precious of fantasy commodities: the league-smashing running back. Shawn Siegele has started the world-famous Zero RB Candidates Countdown. Michael Dubner has one-upped him with…...

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How to Turn a $350 FFPC Draft into a $1 Million Payday with 6 Elite WRs and 6 Explosive RB Lottery Tickets

Blair Andrews breaks down a recent FFPC FantasyPros Championship draft, revealing how to navigate WR cliffs and overeager TE drafters to build a roster with explosive upside. Last week I highlighted some of the best values in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship format. That contest features the same top payout as the Main Event, but costs only $350 to enter. The lower buy-in likely leads to…...

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High-Stakes Arbitrage Opportunities: The 10 Best Value Picks in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship

While the FFPC Main Event gets most of the attention during redraft season — and rightly so, as the biggest high-stakes fantasy contest around — we shouldn’t forget about FFPC’s sister tournament that features just as big a grand prize and an even bigger prize pool. The FantasyPros Championship features a $350 buy-in and a $1 million top prize. It also offers a slightly flatter…...

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The Open Score Superstars Set to Turn Fantasy Football on Its Head: 5 Wide Receivers About to Join the Elite Ranks

In my last article I highlighted one of ESPN Analytics Receiver Tracking Metrics: YAC Score. Deebo Samuel has been among the best in the league at YAC Score since his rookie season. And at least one Year 2 breakout candidate looks like he might be on a similar trajectory. But YAC Score isn’t the only metric ESPN tracks. In fact, one could say it’s not…...

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Deebo Samuel Is an After-the-Catch Unicorn, but This Year 2 Breakout Candidate’s Rookie Season Was Eerily Similar

The player tracking and advanced charting era gives us a multitude of metrics that measure how well receivers get open, how good they are at turning opportunities into receptions, and how good they are at turning those receptions into yards and touchdowns. I enjoy getting into the nitty-gritty of the advanced metrics and teasing out which methods for measuring those various skills are most exploitable…....

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7 Undervalued Wide Receivers You Should Draft Right Now, and 14 More to Add to Your Watchlist

Blair Andrews’ Wide Receiver Breakout Series culminates in a close look at the players most likely to provide an outsized return in 2024. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks diving deep into the dynamics of WR breakouts and secondary breakouts. Be sure to check out those articles if you missed any: These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s…...

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Misconceptions About Wide Receiver Age Curves Create Opportunity: 3 Redraft and 3 Dynasty Targets

Blair Andrews continues his Breakout WR Series with a look at what we tend to get right – and more importantly, get wrong – about wide receiver aging curves. The Breakout WR Series These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s Easy to Get the Age Part Wrong: How to Exploit Misconceptions About Age and Fantasy Scoring The Best Thing…...

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There’s Breaking Out, and Then There’s Breaking Out: The Immense Value of Secondary Breakouts and the Possibilities for 2024

Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs.  That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...

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An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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From a Historical Perspective: Is Brock Bowers Already the TE1 in Both Dynasty and Redraft?

Blair Andrews examines Brock Bowers’ historic start to his rookie season. Listen as Blair, Hasan Rahim, and Kevin Szafraniec discuss Bowers’ fantasy impact in Week 2 on the RotoViz Fantasy Football Report.  Through two games, Brock Bowers leads all tight ends in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. Since 2000, only four other tight ends have garnered more than 12 targets in their first two…...

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Is This the Week Garrett Wilson Proves He’s an Elite WR? The Wrong Read, Week 2

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Tyreek Hill Is Not Slowing Down: The Wrong Read, Week 1 Thursday Night Football Preview

Welcome to the Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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From a Historical Perspective: How Worried Should We Be About Marvin Harrison’s Debut?

Marvin Harrison Jr. was the first wide receiver selected in the 2024 draft, going to the Arizona Cardinals with the fourth pick. That’s the earliest a WR has been taken since 2015, when Amari Cooper was the Raiders’ fourth overall pick. No receiver had been taken earlier since 2007 (Calvin Johnson). Given the draft capital spent on him, it would be reasonable to expect him…...

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How to Exploit This Unique (and Fun) FFPC Loophole: Responding to the Pre-Lock Games

Blair Andrews breaks down Chiefs/Ravens and Eagles/Packers and explains what it all means for FFPC high stakes drafts on Saturday. One of the most exploitable wrinkles in FFPC drafts — both the Main Event and the FantasyPros Championship — is that you can draft and set your lineup after the season officially begins. Drafts for both contests are still ongoing, and will continue all day…...

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On Drafting with Other People: The Triumphs and Tribulations of Co-Constructing a Team in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship

All my kids are into Lego. As such, we sometimes watch a show called Lego Masters. The premise is something like MasterChef, but instead of food, the medium is Lego bricks. I don’t necessarily recommend it, even if you’re into Lego, but my kids enjoy it. Contestants compete as teams of two, and while most of the teams are made up of pairs of enthusiasts…...

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Elevate Your Home League (And High Stakes) Draft Acumen With Blair Andrews’ 4 Contrarian Principles for Fantasy Football Domination

Blair Andrews discusses four contrarian fantasy football principles that will help you elevate your approach to home leagues.  If you’re a new RotoViz reader just starting to get into some of the more advanced topics we cover, you might be looking for the perfect point of entry. This article is for you. If you’re coming to RotoViz because your goal is still to dominate your…...

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These 2 Underused Running Back Metrics Are the Keys to Both Reality and Fantasy Wins: 1 Must-Draft Breakout RB and 4 More to Monitor Closely

Blair Andrews searches through the advanced RB metrics to help you locate the breakout smash play of the 2024 season. In previous installments of the RB breakout pieces we’ve looked both at how age and experience impact RB breakouts, and also at which metrics best predict future breakouts for non-rookies. One question we haven’t investigated is why these breakouts tend to happen. Luckily we can…...

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Draft Breakdown: How to Evaluate Your Team’s Chances in an FFPC FantasyPros Championship League

Blair Andrews’ FFPC redraft strategy session breaks down all the dos and don’ts to help your high-stakes team win $1 million. If you want to win a million dollars playing fantasy football, there aren’t many more accessible ways to do it than the FFPC FantasyPros Championship. This contest features the same top prize as its sister contest, the FFPC Main Event, and has an ever…...

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Become a Shark in Your Home League: These High-Stakes Favorites Are the 12 Best Current Values in ESPN Drafts

Blair Andrews compares ESPN average draft positions against those in FFPC Main Event and FantasyPros Championship drafts to find the best current values in ESPN leagues. Even with the huge prize pools available in the many high-stakes contests — including one that represents your most cost-effective chance to become a millionaire playing fantasy football — still there’s nothing like the feeling of winning your home…...

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These Undervalued Metrics Are the Secret to Unlocking RB Breakouts – 4 Must-Draft RBs for 2024

Blair Andrews helps you conceptualize the types of RB performances at the NFL level that lead to huge breakouts and big-time win rates. Last time we uncovered a group of running backs that have historically returned a 40% breakout rate. But knowing that a certain group of players break out at a higher rate than others doesn’t necessarily tell us who is most likely to…...

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This Simple Hack Has Delivered a 40% RB Breakout Rate and Could Be Your Path to Finding the Next Fantasy Superstar: 4 Cheap Running Backs Poised to Explode

Blair Andrews helps you locate a simple hack that has delivered a 40% RB breakout rate. Want to find four RBs about to explode? Read on. As we hit fantasy football crunch time, the RotoViz team is helping you find the most precious of fantasy commodities: the league-smashing running back. Shawn Siegele has started the world-famous Zero RB Candidates Countdown. Michael Dubner has one-upped him with…...

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How to Turn a $350 FFPC Draft into a $1 Million Payday with 6 Elite WRs and 6 Explosive RB Lottery Tickets

Blair Andrews breaks down a recent FFPC FantasyPros Championship draft, revealing how to navigate WR cliffs and overeager TE drafters to build a roster with explosive upside. Last week I highlighted some of the best values in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship format. That contest features the same top payout as the Main Event, but costs only $350 to enter. The lower buy-in likely leads to…...

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High-Stakes Arbitrage Opportunities: The 10 Best Value Picks in the FFPC FantasyPros Championship

While the FFPC Main Event gets most of the attention during redraft season — and rightly so, as the biggest high-stakes fantasy contest around — we shouldn’t forget about FFPC’s sister tournament that features just as big a grand prize and an even bigger prize pool. The FantasyPros Championship features a $350 buy-in and a $1 million top prize. It also offers a slightly flatter…...

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The Open Score Superstars Set to Turn Fantasy Football on Its Head: 5 Wide Receivers About to Join the Elite Ranks

In my last article I highlighted one of ESPN Analytics Receiver Tracking Metrics: YAC Score. Deebo Samuel has been among the best in the league at YAC Score since his rookie season. And at least one Year 2 breakout candidate looks like he might be on a similar trajectory. But YAC Score isn’t the only metric ESPN tracks. In fact, one could say it’s not…...

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Deebo Samuel Is an After-the-Catch Unicorn, but This Year 2 Breakout Candidate’s Rookie Season Was Eerily Similar

The player tracking and advanced charting era gives us a multitude of metrics that measure how well receivers get open, how good they are at turning opportunities into receptions, and how good they are at turning those receptions into yards and touchdowns. I enjoy getting into the nitty-gritty of the advanced metrics and teasing out which methods for measuring those various skills are most exploitable…....

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7 Undervalued Wide Receivers You Should Draft Right Now, and 14 More to Add to Your Watchlist

Blair Andrews’ Wide Receiver Breakout Series culminates in a close look at the players most likely to provide an outsized return in 2024. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks diving deep into the dynamics of WR breakouts and secondary breakouts. Be sure to check out those articles if you missed any: These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s…...

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Misconceptions About Wide Receiver Age Curves Create Opportunity: 3 Redraft and 3 Dynasty Targets

Blair Andrews continues his Breakout WR Series with a look at what we tend to get right – and more importantly, get wrong – about wide receiver aging curves. The Breakout WR Series These Second-Year WRs Are Going to Crush Expectations and Win Fantasy Titles It’s Easy to Get the Age Part Wrong: How to Exploit Misconceptions About Age and Fantasy Scoring The Best Thing…...

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There’s Breaking Out, and Then There’s Breaking Out: The Immense Value of Secondary Breakouts and the Possibilities for 2024

Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs.  That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...

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