Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

How Does the Draft Change Our Outlook on the 2026 Running Back Class? Post-Draft RB Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for the WR scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the…...

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How Much Does Draft Position Matter for the 2026 Wide Receiver Class? Post-Draft WR Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for updated RB scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for…...

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The Surprising Stars of the 2026 Wide Receiver Class: Pre-Draft WR Prospect Lab Scores

The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...

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Is the 2026 Running Back Class Really as Bad as Everyone Says? Pre-Draft Prospect Lab Scores

The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site. It’s not the most powerful or precise predictive engine — it uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics — but the simplicity ends up being a benefit. It knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers…....

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Jonah Coleman, Emmett Johnson, and the Hidden Value of Collegiate Production: 2026 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack a lot of good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these…...

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Carnell Tate and a Worrying Trend in Prospect Ages: The 2026 Phenom Index for Rookie Wide Receivers

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...

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Win Probabilities, Value Picks, and Potential Upsets for Your 2026 March Madness Bracket

The madness of NFL free agency has just about given way to the madness of the college basketball playoff. Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value and potential upset picks for your 2026 March Madness bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introductions to the 2024 and 2025 articles. Below I’ll present our best estimates…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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Projections, Strategies, and Lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Playoff Edition

The week between the regular season and the playoffs is one of my favorite weeks of the year. It’s the week of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest that is deceptive in its simplicity. There is basically only one rule: you can roster only one player from each NFL playoff team in filling out your 12-person lineup. There’s no salary…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 17

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 16

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 15

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 14

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Part 2

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Edition

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 12

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 11

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 10

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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How Does the Draft Change Our Outlook on the 2026 Running Back Class? Post-Draft RB Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for the WR scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the…...

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How Much Does Draft Position Matter for the 2026 Wide Receiver Class? Post-Draft WR Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for updated RB scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for…...

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The Surprising Stars of the 2026 Wide Receiver Class: Pre-Draft WR Prospect Lab Scores

The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...

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Is the 2026 Running Back Class Really as Bad as Everyone Says? Pre-Draft Prospect Lab Scores

The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site. It’s not the most powerful or precise predictive engine — it uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics — but the simplicity ends up being a benefit. It knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers…....

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Jonah Coleman, Emmett Johnson, and the Hidden Value of Collegiate Production: 2026 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack a lot of good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these…...

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Carnell Tate and a Worrying Trend in Prospect Ages: The 2026 Phenom Index for Rookie Wide Receivers

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...

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Win Probabilities, Value Picks, and Potential Upsets for Your 2026 March Madness Bracket

The madness of NFL free agency has just about given way to the madness of the college basketball playoff. Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value and potential upset picks for your 2026 March Madness bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introductions to the 2024 and 2025 articles. Below I’ll present our best estimates…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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Projections, Strategies, and Lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Playoff Edition

The week between the regular season and the playoffs is one of my favorite weeks of the year. It’s the week of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest that is deceptive in its simplicity. There is basically only one rule: you can roster only one player from each NFL playoff team in filling out your 12-person lineup. There’s no salary…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 17

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 16

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 15

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 14

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Part 2

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Edition

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 12

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 11

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 10

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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How Does the Draft Change Our Outlook on the 2026 Running Back Class? Post-Draft RB Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for the WR scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the…...

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How Much Does Draft Position Matter for the 2026 Wide Receiver Class? Post-Draft WR Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for updated RB scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for…...

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The Surprising Stars of the 2026 Wide Receiver Class: Pre-Draft WR Prospect Lab Scores

The Wide Receiver Prospect Lab has been one of the most reliable tools for evaluating rookie receivers for years. Like its RB counterpart, it uses a linear model to predict early-career fantasy performance based on key college metrics. The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity — by focusing on a few critical variables, the model avoids both overfitting and overreliance on a single…...

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Is the 2026 Running Back Class Really as Bad as Everyone Says? Pre-Draft Prospect Lab Scores

The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site. It’s not the most powerful or precise predictive engine — it uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics — but the simplicity ends up being a benefit. It knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers…....

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Jonah Coleman, Emmett Johnson, and the Hidden Value of Collegiate Production: 2026 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack a lot of good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these…...

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Carnell Tate and a Worrying Trend in Prospect Ages: The 2026 Phenom Index for Rookie Wide Receivers

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...

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Win Probabilities, Value Picks, and Potential Upsets for Your 2026 March Madness Bracket

The madness of NFL free agency has just about given way to the madness of the college basketball playoff. Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value and potential upset picks for your 2026 March Madness bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introductions to the 2024 and 2025 articles. Below I’ll present our best estimates…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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Projections, Strategies, and Lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Playoff Edition

The week between the regular season and the playoffs is one of my favorite weeks of the year. It’s the week of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest that is deceptive in its simplicity. There is basically only one rule: you can roster only one player from each NFL playoff team in filling out your 12-person lineup. There’s no salary…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 17

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 16

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 15

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 14

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Part 2

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Edition

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 12

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 11

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 10

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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