Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

Film-Based Scouting, the Analytics Wars, and the Value of Highlights: The Ricky Pearsall Conundrum

Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics and “box score scouting.” If the “analytics wars” don’t seem as contentious now, it’s mainly because most people are tired of arguing. But it’s also because those who championed film-based scouting have in many ways come to see the value of the advanced analytical…...

NFL Draft 2024: Rookie Draft Tiers – A Live Day 3 Update

Blair Andrews is updating his rookie rankings live during Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Here he presents his rankings in the form of a four-round tiered rookie draft. Follow along for updates on player movement and value shifts as Day 3 progresses. Round 1 J.J. McCarthy leapfrogs Drake Maye by landing in a much better immediate situation. Throwing to one of the best…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

Is Brock Bowers the Most Undervalued Player in Both Reality and Fantasy?

Sportskeeda’s Tony Pauline recently dropped a sort of bombshell that brings some good news for those who like to approach dynasty rookie drafts in the RotoViz way: In speaking with a few teams, they believe the most underrated player at the top of this draft is Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. While some have mocked Bowers into the middle part of Round 1, no team…...

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament

NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...

Gabe Davis’ Impressive Peripherals Hide Some Concerning Advanced Metrics, But Can He Still Provide the Boost Jacksonville Is Looking For?

The Jaguars were one of the first movers in free agency, signing wide receiver Gabe Davis to a three-year deal worth a maximum of $50 million (with $24 million fully guaranteed). Davis has been one of the premier long-touchdown specialists of the last few years, even as many of his key metrics are routinely underwhelming. Yet after Calvin Ridley signed with the Tennessee Titans, Davis…...

Misunderstood But Dynamic and Multifaceted, Is D’Andre Swift the Perfect Fit in Chicago?

The Chicago Bears wasted little time in free agency signing the most exciting running back to hit the market. That may sound controversial in a free agent class that includes Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Tony Pollard, and Austin Ekeler. But Chicago’s new starting RB, D’Andre Swift, is the youngest of the bunch, and the only one of the group to finish with positive rushing efficiency…....

5 Sleepers Rise As 3 Big Names Disappoint: 2024 Running Back Freak Scores

Freak scores have long been a key metric we use to help predict wide receiver touchdown-scoring potential. Big and fast WRs have several key advantages over their smaller, slower counterparts that tend to lead to an increase in touchdown production at the NFL level, and thus an increase in fantasy upside. In the last couple years, we’ve also been able to apply this concept to…...

Records Are Broken and Multiple Potential Stars Emerge: 2024 Wide Receiver Freak Scores

The 2024 class of wide receivers has been hyped as one of the best in recent memory. The combine gave many of the top names in the class a chance to show that the hype is deserved. Although we didn’t get to see the truly elite prospects compete, the 2024 combine was certainly not without fireworks. But now that the dust has settled, we need…...

The Unbelievable Athleticism of Roman Wilson, and 7 Other Players to Watch at the Combine

Although many of the top prospects in this year’s draft are opting out of participating at the combine, for many under-the-radar draft hopefuls, the annual athletic testing still makes a big difference. Many prospects are in a position to augment their prospect profiles by revealing athleticism that didn’t show up in the box score. Many others will try to confirm that the numbers we rely…...

Did Zero RB Work in 2023? Part 1: A Brief Analysis of Some of the Best Drafts of the Year – The Wrong Read

2023 was a strange season in at least one way. It was the first time that the Win the Flex tool didn’t unapologetically recommend a Zero-RB strategy. As wide receivers got pushed up draft boards and running backs got pushed down, it looked as though value would coalesce around early RBs. In such a season, it may seem that Zero RB is sub-optimal. When it’s…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

Projections and Optimal FFPC Playoff Challenge Lineups: The Wrong Read, Wild Card Weekend

We’re doing something a little different this week. While I will still include the team-level numbers for the Wild Card round, I want to start elsewhere. One of my favorite fantasy contests is the FFPC Playoff Challenge. Much of the strategy for that contest revolves around the game theory aspect — how do you fill your lineup with players who will score points and help…...

Trevor Lawrence Gets a Favorable Matchup to Take Jacksonville to the Playoffs: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Sunday Edition

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Can C.J. Stroud Cap His Rookie of the Year Season with a Playoff Berth? The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Edition

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Underdog Playoff Best Ball Strategy with Sackreligious and Shawn Siegele: The Fantasy Football Report

Blair is joined by Shawn Siegele and Sackreligious to discuss Underdog Playoff Best Ball strategy and participate in an Underdog Gauntlet draft.  Check out the full podcast ⤵️ ► iTunes ➝ https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast… ► Spotify ➝ https://open.spotify.com/show/5meYY7s… ► RSS ➝ https://feeds.megaphone.fm/BLU7477518290 ► Stream ➝ https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BLU7… HOSTS Blair Andrews (@AmItheRealBlair), managing editor for RotoViz Hasan Rahim (@hrr5010), lead writer for RotoViz SPONSORS RotoViz – RotoViz Radio

Patrick Mahomes Looks to Bounce Back Against a Weak Cincinnati Defense: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Part 2

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

Film-Based Scouting, the Analytics Wars, and the Value of Highlights: The Ricky Pearsall Conundrum

Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics and “box score scouting.” If the “analytics wars” don’t seem as contentious now, it’s mainly because most people are tired of arguing. But it’s also because those who championed film-based scouting have in many ways come to see the value of the advanced analytical…...

NFL Draft 2024: Rookie Draft Tiers – A Live Day 3 Update

Blair Andrews is updating his rookie rankings live during Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Here he presents his rankings in the form of a four-round tiered rookie draft. Follow along for updates on player movement and value shifts as Day 3 progresses. Round 1 J.J. McCarthy leapfrogs Drake Maye by landing in a much better immediate situation. Throwing to one of the best…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

Is Brock Bowers the Most Undervalued Player in Both Reality and Fantasy?

Sportskeeda’s Tony Pauline recently dropped a sort of bombshell that brings some good news for those who like to approach dynasty rookie drafts in the RotoViz way: In speaking with a few teams, they believe the most underrated player at the top of this draft is Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. While some have mocked Bowers into the middle part of Round 1, no team…...

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament

NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...

Gabe Davis’ Impressive Peripherals Hide Some Concerning Advanced Metrics, But Can He Still Provide the Boost Jacksonville Is Looking For?

The Jaguars were one of the first movers in free agency, signing wide receiver Gabe Davis to a three-year deal worth a maximum of $50 million (with $24 million fully guaranteed). Davis has been one of the premier long-touchdown specialists of the last few years, even as many of his key metrics are routinely underwhelming. Yet after Calvin Ridley signed with the Tennessee Titans, Davis…...

Misunderstood But Dynamic and Multifaceted, Is D’Andre Swift the Perfect Fit in Chicago?

The Chicago Bears wasted little time in free agency signing the most exciting running back to hit the market. That may sound controversial in a free agent class that includes Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Tony Pollard, and Austin Ekeler. But Chicago’s new starting RB, D’Andre Swift, is the youngest of the bunch, and the only one of the group to finish with positive rushing efficiency…....

5 Sleepers Rise As 3 Big Names Disappoint: 2024 Running Back Freak Scores

Freak scores have long been a key metric we use to help predict wide receiver touchdown-scoring potential. Big and fast WRs have several key advantages over their smaller, slower counterparts that tend to lead to an increase in touchdown production at the NFL level, and thus an increase in fantasy upside. In the last couple years, we’ve also been able to apply this concept to…...

Records Are Broken and Multiple Potential Stars Emerge: 2024 Wide Receiver Freak Scores

The 2024 class of wide receivers has been hyped as one of the best in recent memory. The combine gave many of the top names in the class a chance to show that the hype is deserved. Although we didn’t get to see the truly elite prospects compete, the 2024 combine was certainly not without fireworks. But now that the dust has settled, we need…...

The Unbelievable Athleticism of Roman Wilson, and 7 Other Players to Watch at the Combine

Although many of the top prospects in this year’s draft are opting out of participating at the combine, for many under-the-radar draft hopefuls, the annual athletic testing still makes a big difference. Many prospects are in a position to augment their prospect profiles by revealing athleticism that didn’t show up in the box score. Many others will try to confirm that the numbers we rely…...

Did Zero RB Work in 2023? Part 1: A Brief Analysis of Some of the Best Drafts of the Year – The Wrong Read

2023 was a strange season in at least one way. It was the first time that the Win the Flex tool didn’t unapologetically recommend a Zero-RB strategy. As wide receivers got pushed up draft boards and running backs got pushed down, it looked as though value would coalesce around early RBs. In such a season, it may seem that Zero RB is sub-optimal. When it’s…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

Projections and Optimal FFPC Playoff Challenge Lineups: The Wrong Read, Wild Card Weekend

We’re doing something a little different this week. While I will still include the team-level numbers for the Wild Card round, I want to start elsewhere. One of my favorite fantasy contests is the FFPC Playoff Challenge. Much of the strategy for that contest revolves around the game theory aspect — how do you fill your lineup with players who will score points and help…...

Trevor Lawrence Gets a Favorable Matchup to Take Jacksonville to the Playoffs: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Sunday Edition

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Can C.J. Stroud Cap His Rookie of the Year Season with a Playoff Berth? The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Edition

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Underdog Playoff Best Ball Strategy with Sackreligious and Shawn Siegele: The Fantasy Football Report

Blair is joined by Shawn Siegele and Sackreligious to discuss Underdog Playoff Best Ball strategy and participate in an Underdog Gauntlet draft.  Check out the full podcast ⤵️ ► iTunes ➝ https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast… ► Spotify ➝ https://open.spotify.com/show/5meYY7s… ► RSS ➝ https://feeds.megaphone.fm/BLU7477518290 ► Stream ➝ https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BLU7… HOSTS Blair Andrews (@AmItheRealBlair), managing editor for RotoViz Hasan Rahim (@hrr5010), lead writer for RotoViz SPONSORS RotoViz – RotoViz Radio

Patrick Mahomes Looks to Bounce Back Against a Weak Cincinnati Defense: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Part 2

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

Film-Based Scouting, the Analytics Wars, and the Value of Highlights: The Ricky Pearsall Conundrum

Years ago it was fashionable to argue about whether NFL prospect scouting should rely on film-based evaluation, or on the analytics and “box score scouting.” If the “analytics wars” don’t seem as contentious now, it’s mainly because most people are tired of arguing. But it’s also because those who championed film-based scouting have in many ways come to see the value of the advanced analytical…...

NFL Draft 2024: Rookie Draft Tiers – A Live Day 3 Update

Blair Andrews is updating his rookie rankings live during Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Here he presents his rankings in the form of a four-round tiered rookie draft. Follow along for updates on player movement and value shifts as Day 3 progresses. Round 1 J.J. McCarthy leapfrogs Drake Maye by landing in a much better immediate situation. Throwing to one of the best…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

Is Brock Bowers the Most Undervalued Player in Both Reality and Fantasy?

Sportskeeda’s Tony Pauline recently dropped a sort of bombshell that brings some good news for those who like to approach dynasty rookie drafts in the RotoViz way: In speaking with a few teams, they believe the most underrated player at the top of this draft is Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. While some have mocked Bowers into the middle part of Round 1, no team…...

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament

NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...

Gabe Davis’ Impressive Peripherals Hide Some Concerning Advanced Metrics, But Can He Still Provide the Boost Jacksonville Is Looking For?

The Jaguars were one of the first movers in free agency, signing wide receiver Gabe Davis to a three-year deal worth a maximum of $50 million (with $24 million fully guaranteed). Davis has been one of the premier long-touchdown specialists of the last few years, even as many of his key metrics are routinely underwhelming. Yet after Calvin Ridley signed with the Tennessee Titans, Davis…...

Misunderstood But Dynamic and Multifaceted, Is D’Andre Swift the Perfect Fit in Chicago?

The Chicago Bears wasted little time in free agency signing the most exciting running back to hit the market. That may sound controversial in a free agent class that includes Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Tony Pollard, and Austin Ekeler. But Chicago’s new starting RB, D’Andre Swift, is the youngest of the bunch, and the only one of the group to finish with positive rushing efficiency…....

5 Sleepers Rise As 3 Big Names Disappoint: 2024 Running Back Freak Scores

Freak scores have long been a key metric we use to help predict wide receiver touchdown-scoring potential. Big and fast WRs have several key advantages over their smaller, slower counterparts that tend to lead to an increase in touchdown production at the NFL level, and thus an increase in fantasy upside. In the last couple years, we’ve also been able to apply this concept to…...

Records Are Broken and Multiple Potential Stars Emerge: 2024 Wide Receiver Freak Scores

The 2024 class of wide receivers has been hyped as one of the best in recent memory. The combine gave many of the top names in the class a chance to show that the hype is deserved. Although we didn’t get to see the truly elite prospects compete, the 2024 combine was certainly not without fireworks. But now that the dust has settled, we need…...

The Unbelievable Athleticism of Roman Wilson, and 7 Other Players to Watch at the Combine

Although many of the top prospects in this year’s draft are opting out of participating at the combine, for many under-the-radar draft hopefuls, the annual athletic testing still makes a big difference. Many prospects are in a position to augment their prospect profiles by revealing athleticism that didn’t show up in the box score. Many others will try to confirm that the numbers we rely…...

Did Zero RB Work in 2023? Part 1: A Brief Analysis of Some of the Best Drafts of the Year – The Wrong Read

2023 was a strange season in at least one way. It was the first time that the Win the Flex tool didn’t unapologetically recommend a Zero-RB strategy. As wide receivers got pushed up draft boards and running backs got pushed down, it looked as though value would coalesce around early RBs. In such a season, it may seem that Zero RB is sub-optimal. When it’s…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

Projections and Optimal FFPC Playoff Challenge Lineups: The Wrong Read, Wild Card Weekend

We’re doing something a little different this week. While I will still include the team-level numbers for the Wild Card round, I want to start elsewhere. One of my favorite fantasy contests is the FFPC Playoff Challenge. Much of the strategy for that contest revolves around the game theory aspect — how do you fill your lineup with players who will score points and help…...

Trevor Lawrence Gets a Favorable Matchup to Take Jacksonville to the Playoffs: The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Sunday Edition

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Can C.J. Stroud Cap His Rookie of the Year Season with a Playoff Berth? The Wrong Read, Week 18 – Saturday Edition

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

Underdog Playoff Best Ball Strategy with Sackreligious and Shawn Siegele: The Fantasy Football Report

Blair is joined by Shawn Siegele and Sackreligious to discuss Underdog Playoff Best Ball strategy and participate in an Underdog Gauntlet draft.  Check out the full podcast ⤵️ ► iTunes ➝ https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast… ► Spotify ➝ https://open.spotify.com/show/5meYY7s… ► RSS ➝ https://feeds.megaphone.fm/BLU7477518290 ► Stream ➝ https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BLU7… HOSTS Blair Andrews (@AmItheRealBlair), managing editor for RotoViz Hasan Rahim (@hrr5010), lead writer for RotoViz SPONSORS RotoViz – RotoViz Radio

Patrick Mahomes Looks to Bounce Back Against a Weak Cincinnati Defense: The Wrong Read, Week 17 – Part 2

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools — mainly…...

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