revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

On David Wilson’s Fumbling Problems


I own David Wilson in a few leagues so no one is hoping more than me that he turns things around on the fumble front. We knew about Wilson’s fumble risk when we drafted him so we have a Hyman Roth level of responsibility here (“this is the player we’ve chosen”). Wilson’s fumble risk is probably specific to him as a player, but it might also be general for the kind of player that Wilson is.

I looked on Pro-football-reference and CJ Spiller fumbled 5 times in his first season. That’s 5 times on 74 carries. It’s a lot. Over Jamaal Charles’ first 250 carries as a pro he fumbled once every 40 carries. That’s also a good amount although not as much as Spiller. Right now David Wilson’s fumble rate is higher than Charles and not as high as Spiller (over Wilson’s carries as a pro).

I don’t know if Wilson will be able to fix his fumbling but I do know that both Spiller and Charles only played when their teams had no other choice. That was at least the case early in their careers. Up until last week it looked like the Giants were in “no other choice” land. But Da’Rel Scott is also a fast player and looked serviceable, while Brandon Jacobs also presents competition (although it may be worth noting that in Jacobs’ breakout year in 2007 he fumbled once every 40 carries).

The shitty thing for me is that in the leagues that I have Wilson I also lost Vereen this week, so my deep team got thin really fast. But hopefully you have some other decent options to play until we can sort out whether David Wilson is going to go to the bench only to be heard from next pre-season.

recent and related

In case you missed it

Dynasty Hit Rates: 2016 Draft Class

  If you’re just reading this series for the first time, this is an investigation of the actual hit rates of previous Dynasty rookie classes. Starting with 2010, there’s been some very productive classes and some more scattered with hits. The 2016 class is one of the latter. That doesn’t

Read More

Rapid Reaction: First Round Opportunity Outlook

  As far as first rounds go from a fantasy perspective, no need to sugar coat it, this was a snoozer for the first half of it. We knew going in the back third of the round was where we were most likely to see some fantasy football related fireworks,

Read More

RotoViz NFL Draft Live Reactions — Day 2

  The RotoViz Slack chat is the place to be when it comes to in-depth, instant, and astute analysis of developing NFL news and events. For years, it’s been the first place I turned when I wanted intelligent, measured reactions anytime anything goes down. And while that’s great if you’re

Read More

Rapid Reaction: Second Round Opportunity Outlook

  Glad to be back again to sift through the opportunity each player drafted tonight will likely see. We will have a lot more fantasy breakdowns Friday than Saturday, so diving right on in. The first round breakdown is available here. Deebo Samuel 36th overall, San Francisco 49ers Here’s how

Read More

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.