revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Big Mike Williams, Kenny Britt and Allen Robinson Comparables

Allen Robinson

Using the similarity search criteria that I laid out yesterday, I’m going to be doing quick posts for each of the receivers in this year’s draft. I always say that similarity doesn’t equal destiny, so you can take these all with a grain of salt. When I go through comps I’m mostly looking to see if the comparable players changes my view of the subject player at all. I should also say that when I look at comparables, I don’t say “how many of the comps are Hall of Famers?” – that’s a standard that isn’t very helpful. I’ll even see players that some might consider negative while I consider them a positive. For instance, I always think it’s cool when Hakeem Nicks shows up in a player’s comps. Nicks was a great college player and then succeeded in the NFL at a very young age before his career was derailed by injuries. Kenny Britt is another example where I probably have a slightly more positive view. Even if Britt’s dominant games in the NFL can be counted on two hands (or maybe even one hand), he was a beast and I kind of think his career probably would have turned out differently if not for injuries.

Having said that, here are the Allen Robinson comparables with commentary below the table.

DR = Dominator Rating, GMSDOM = number of games where a .35 DR was achieved over a career, MAXAGE = the age that the player played his last college game

NAME SEAS DP (Estimated) MAXAGE WT 40 Tm YPG TDPG GMSDOM DR
ALLEN ROBINSON 2013 60 20.3 220 4.60 119.33 0.50 9 0.38
NAME SEAS DP MAXAGE WT 40 Tm YPG TDPG GMSDOM DR
KENNY BRITT 2008 30 20.3 218 4.49 114.25 0.58 13 0.29
RUEBEN RANDLE 2011 63 20.7 210 4.55 65.50 0.57 10 0.35
DEZMON BRISCOE 2009 191 20.3 207 4.66 121.55 0.82 14 0.41
KOREN ROBINSON 2000 9 20.7 211 4.61 96.45 1.18 5 0.38
KEENAN ALLEN 2012 76 20.5 206 4.71 81.89 0.67 12 0.42
MAURICE STOVALL 2005 90 20.9 217 4.57 95.75 0.92 8 0.25
DEVIN THOMAS 2007 34 21.1 215 4.40 96.92 0.62 6 0.36
MIKE WILLIAMS 2003 10 20.0 229 4.56 101.08 1.23 13 0.40
DEANDRE HOPKINS 2012 27 20.6 214 4.57 108.08 1.38 11 0.46
STEPHEN HILL 2011 43 20.7 215 4.34 70.27 0.45 9 0.35
Average 57 20.6 214 4.55 95.17 0.84 10 0.37
  • I estimated Robinson as the 60th overall pick for purposes of generating the comps. But you can see that the similar player universe is sparse enough that the returned comps include some first rounders. There’s just no way around this if you want to compare a decent number of players.
  • The players with the highest draft position in this table were actually the most disastrous draft picks.
  • Robinson is very young and all of these players also entered the league at a young age.
  • You can see that the average of the comps is a close approximation of Robinson. That’s true for all but the height/weight mix. Robinson is bigger and slightly slower than the comp group.
  • I like Robinson as a prospect, but I would be much more excited about him if he were faster. My guess is that he’ll run again at his pro day and clock a 4.55 or so, just because that’s about average for a receiver and it’s not that far from where he ran in Indy. But the tough thing when drafting him in a rookie draft is that depending on what situation he ends up in, you might be waiting a few years to see how he pans out.

recent and related

In case you missed it

Rapid Reaction: Third Round Opportunity Outlook

  What a crazy ride Day 2 of the draft was. I’m exhausted from excitement. The landing spots attained by the high end skill position players in this class is going to make this draft class a force for years to come. The third round will have a more abbreviated

Read More

2019 Dynasty Rookie Rankings and Tiers: Post-NFL Draft Edition

  Post-NFL Draft 2019 Dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings are here! Which rookies hit the trio of strong profile, early draft position, and great NFL landing spot? The RotoViz team has already adjusted their outlook on which players are the best dynasty investments. I’ve drawn in the tiers based on

Read More

Box Score Scout: 2019 NFL Draft First-Round Player Comparisons

  February to April is ruled by Draft Twitter. Countless hot takes, I’m right/you’re wrong, and no middle ground. As always, there were plenty of surprising draft picks, which certainly affects fantasy football value. While the media oftentimes uses the best case scenario for player comparisons, the RotoViz Box Score

Read More

3 Rookie WRs I’m Targeting in Dynasty Leagues After the NFL Draft

  With the NFL Draft in the books, it’s time to turn our attention to dynasty league rookie drafts. Some wide receivers landed in perfect situations while others fell further than expected. With receivers like Hakeem Butler and Kelvin Harmon slipping to Day 3, rookie draft position is in flux. However, some

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.