The Waiver Wire Report: Tuesday Edition, Week 5, 2014

julianEdelman

I have just one simple addition to yesterday’s Waiver Wire Report and it relates to Brandon LaFell.

Over the past two weeks LaFell has come close to pulling even with Julian Edelman in total targets. Here’s a screenshot from the Efficiency App.

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You can see that LaFell still trails Edelman in Expected Points (even over this cherry picked two week span), although in Week 4 LaFell actually led the NE pass catchers in that stat. While I don’t know for sure if you can count on that continued usage going forward, and while the NE offense looks like a grease fire right now, I do think LaFell is worth looking at.

Here’s a heatmap from a new app I’m working on that will make it easy to visualize combine and workout results.

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*Freak is Freak Score as explained here.

LaFell isn’t a physical specimen by any stretch, but he’s also the closest thing to a WR1 that the Patriots are putting on the field each week. Aaron Dobson has been a healthy scratch multiple times this year. In order for the Pats to put points on the board they’re going to have to do something differently than what they’re doing now, so that means some kind of change.

LaFell saw 10 targets on Monday night and had eight the week before. So if he could keep up that nine target per week pace he would have value. I think you have to have a pretty boring guy on your roster to drop for LaFell, but I do think he’s worth an add. In FAAB leagues I might bid three to four percent to get him. If NE didn’t have a horrible record when it comes to being reliable for fantasy purposes, I would bid more.