RotoViz Dynasty League: Rookie Draft Round 7

 

As I mentioned in the introduction for Round 5, the RDL has as least 770 players rostered at all times. It’s vitally important not to waste even late round picks. The expected value of late rounders may be fairly low, but that doesn’t mean you can’t select players with a combination of youth, athleticism, and production. In fact, Round 7 saw the selection of a whole host of young and extremely athletic IDPs.

Fleaflicker RDL – Round 7

 

No. 73 Henry Anderson, DE, Colts, 6-6, 294

Anderson managed a 7.2 three-cone at 294 pounds and landed in a decent situation for 3-4 DE value as the 93rd overall pick to Indianapolis. James Todd’s AFC South IDP Opportunity Report found that over 1000 DE snaps have departed the Colts in the offseason. According to College Football Focus charters, Anderson ranked No. 3 in Run Stop Percentage and No. 2 in Pass Rush Productivity against Power 5 opponents.

No. 74 Trey Flowers, DE, Patriots, 21.4, 6-2, 266

Flowers hits the analytics trifecta with youth, athleticism (73rd percentile SPARQ), and production. He ranked No. 2 in Pass Rush Productivity and No. 4 in Run Stop Percentage for edge players, both numbers coming in well ahead of the big names.

No. 75 Jordan Hicks, LB, Eagles, 6-1, 236

Another player who fits the Eagles elite athlete template (83rd percentile SPARQ), the third-round linebacker enters a crowded depth chart and will hope for the eventual departure of Mychal Kendricks and retirement of DeMeco Ryans.

No. 76 Mario Edwards Jr., DE, Raiders, 20.7, 6-3, 279

Edwards disappointed in pre-draft testing, but has age and draft pedigree on his side as he tries to make an impact for the Raiders. Oakland lost 614 snaps according to the AFC West IDP Opportunity Report, so the potential exists for this pick to pay immediate dividends.

No. 77 DeAndre Carter, WR, Ravens, 21.7, 5-9, 185

Greg Conejo found that RotoViz could have ranked Carter as high as the No. 20 receiver based on his combination of age and production. It’s probably a red flag that he went undrafted, but the success rates in Rounds 4-7 are so low that anything in that range wouldn’t have given him much boost. It’s also worth noting that the freakishly athletic Carter was snatched up by one of the NFL’s most sophisticated franchises, and one that also has glaring holes at receiver. (Steve Smith recently compared him to Randall Cobb, which is wildly optimistic but still nice to hear.)

No. 78 Gus Johnson, RB, Bengals, 21.4, 5-10, 215

Johnson was plucked by Jon Moore who recently explained why the Stephen F. Austin product is one of 2015’s most overlooked runners. The 215-pound back was above the trend line for elite runners during his age 19 season and sustained that production.

No. 79 Thomas Rawls, RB, Seahawks, 21.4, 5-9, 215

Rawls finds himself on the Next Arian Foster Watch List, and at this point it wouldn’t be surprising if the heir apparent in Seattle was an unheralded player. Nothing about the way the Seahawks have treated the Marshawn Lynch Experience suggests they have any confidence in Christine Michael or Robert Turbin.

No. 80 Malcom Brown, DT, Patriots, 20.9, 6-2, 319

Longhorn alum Ramon Ramirez had this to say about his pick. “Homer, homer, homer, homer. But I needed a DT.” Brown may be a mediocre athlete, but the No. 32 overall pick is very well liked by scouts. With Vince Wilfork departing and taking 935 snaps, Brown is likely to compete with Sealver Siliga, a relative no-name who nevertheless compiled big stats in limited 2014 opportunities. Dominique Easley may also play a role on the New England interior.

No.  81 Titus Davis, WR, Chargers, 22.0, 6-1, 196

Davis owns three seasons at or above the WR1 trend line, which led Jon Moore to call him the most underrated receiver in the class. Although he fell out of the draft, Davis was signed by the San Diego Chargers, a squad with very little behind Keenan Allen.

2015 Tier 5 WR trajectory

No. 82 Arik Armstead, DE, 49ers, 21.1, 6-7, 292

Armstead looks like a great value here even if the 49ers reached to select him No. 17 overall. The former Duck is more pure size than athleticism or production, but he was also one of the younger players in the draft, a factor that makes the Calais Campbell comps more palatable.

No. 83 Blake Bell, TE, 49ers, 23.4, 6-6, 252

Although Bell posted easily the best Agility Score of any 2015 tight end, age and overall athleticism red flags make his professional tight end transition a long shot.

No. 84 Danielle Hunter, DE, Vikings, 20.2, 6-5, 252

Another analytics-based pick by the Vikings at No. 88 overall, Hunter is very young and extremely athletic (4.57 forty and 6.95 three-cone at 252 pounds). He was also the second best run stopping edge player in college football last year. The Vikings lost Corey Wootton‘s 205 situational snaps and 32-year-old Brian Robison received some of PFF’s worst grades at defensive end in 2014.

Want help finding research on every single rosterable rookie? Take a look at what’s happened so far.

RotoViz Dynasty Rookie Draft: Round 1
RotoViz Dynasty Rookie Draft: Round 2
RotoViz Dynasty Rookie Draft: Round 3
RotoViz Dynasty Rookie Draft: Round 4
RotoViz Dynasty Rookie Draft: Round 5

Need to find a cheap player to add punch to the bottom of your dynasty roster? Try the Top 10 Sleepers for 2015.