Best Ball Leaderboard: He Was On Top But Now Wentz Away

The Best Ball Leaderboard provides a look at player production and how it translates into points, starts, and wins for your best ball team.

Our journey started in late February with the opening of MFL10s and now has two weeks left to decide where all the hard work, studying, drafting, and hopes and dreams take us as we see the finish line from here. For owners of today’s cover boy, however, the road to the final result got much harder with the exceedingly sad news that Carson Wentz tore his ACL and is lost for the season. Even among his greatest supporters, no one could have predicted he would be atop our leaderboard and leading the Eagles to the best record in football. If ever there was someone we should pour one out for upon injury, it is Carson Wentz.

Quarterback

PlayerPPGWK 1 -13Week 14Total PointsBB ScoreWin Rate
Carson Wentz21.744549700.12
Russell Wilson23.142446660.19
Alex Smith2035136510.12
Dak Prescott19.231536510.12
Tom Brady19.135136510.08
Philip Rivers16.931334490.11
Cam Newton18.532234490.12
Matthew Stafford16.830232460.11
Ben Roethlisberger17.427532460.11
Kirk Cousins17.831031440.1
Jared Goff16.929130430.07
Drew Brees16.927229410.07
Josh McCown15.829029410.05
Case Keenum16.42632941#N/A
Blake Bortles15.323326370.08
Andy Dalton13.726026370.08
Deshaun Watson24.12525360.07
Tyrod Taylor14.22323330.07
Marcus Mariota1422022310.07
Derek Carr14.421122310.06
Deshone Kizer1217320290.06
Matt Ryan13.920020290.07
Jacoby Brissett12.920020290
Trevor Siemian12.616117240.07
Eli Manning12.316117240.06
Aaron Rodgers181616230.03
Jameis Winston13.914216230.06
Carson Palmer14.61515210.07
Jay Cutler12.511415210.07
Joe Flacco11.212214200.06
CJ Beathard12.61212170
Brett Hundley127411160
Mitch Trubisky9.97310140.03
Ryan Fitzpatrick12.399130.2
Brian Hoyer86690.06
Sam Bradford13.55570.06
Blaine Gabbert13.85057#N/A
Tom Savage6.340460.07
Matt Moore12.94460.03
Kevin Hogan8.4334#N/A
Brock Osweiler8.63340
Drew Stanton10.1334#N/A
Jimmy Garoppolo10.212340.04
TJ Yates18.103340
Mike Glennon8.42230.05
EJ Manuel7.1223#N/A

  • With Wentz injured, it opens up the top spot for Russell Wilson, who continues to be on 19 percent of winning MFL teams. To give some context to how high this number is for the QB position, during his big year in 2015 Cam Newton was on 13.5 percent of winning teams.
  • Dak Prescott has been moving up the board despite some up and down play since Ezekiel Elliott started his suspension and is now in fourth place. Another interesting thing to note about how flat the QB position tends to be: Prescott is on 12 percent of winning teams but so is Wentz, Alex Smith, and Cam Newton, with Philip Rivers, Ben Roethlisberger, and Matthew Stafford all bunched at 11 percent. This points out why judging MFL10 value by win percentage is obviously faulty, but it also shows that if you waited to the 10th round to draft QB, you could select very solid performers who are near the top our leaderboard. With Tom Brady down at eight percent and Drew Brees at seven percent, it points out how risky it can be taking early QB.

Running Back

PlayerPPGWK 1 -13Week 14Total PointsBB ScoreWin Rate
Todd Gurley22.275782730.22
Le'Veon Bell22.672880710.23
Alvin Kamara19.570070630.22
Mark Ingram1758462550.19
Kareem Hunt17.454660540.16
LeSean McCoy16.455661540.07
Melvin Gordon16.856561540.07
Carlos Hyde14.653558520.11
Leonard Fournette17.949655490.11
Lamar Miller13.650151460.1
Christian McCaffrey14.250151460.08
Ezekiel Elliott21.34848430.08
Jordan Howard13.141748430.06
Tevin Coleman11.344044390.1
Duke Johnson12.640444390.12
Chris Thompson10.443043380.16
Devonta Freeman12.636541370.03
Marshawn Lynch10.836440360.07
Frank Gore10.235540360.09
DeMarco Murray11.539039350.06
Alex Collins11.133639350.09
Javorius Allen11.432537330.13
Jerick McKinnon11.335136320.13
Rex Burkhead13.431435310.12
Isaiah Crowell9.729534300.06
Theo Riddick10.426632290.1
James White10.130232290.09
Joe Mixon10.63333290.05
Dion Lewis9.131233290.08
Tarik Cohen9.728331280.09
CJ Anderson9.629231280.07
Jamaal Williams9.224731280.12
Matt Forte11.430030270.1
Derrick Henry8.227330270.07
Orleans Darkwa8.930030270.05
Jay Ajayi9.328230270.03
Jonathan Stewart8.521829260.08
Latavius Murray8.228028250.08
Kenyan Drake8.322628250.07
Ameer Abdullah9.62727240.06
Ty Montgomery11.52626230.07
LeGarrette Blount7.526026230.06
Bilal Powell926026230.11
Austin Ekeler8.524024210
Samaje Perine7.623124210.06
Doug Martin8.418321190.07
Marlon Mack7.620020180.06
Giovani Bernard816420180.09
Adrian Peterson7.91919170.08
Corey Clement6.718119170
Aaron Jones8.119019170.07
Dalvin Cook16.41818160.06
Chris Ivory718018160.07
Jalen Richard5.918018160.09
Rod Smith6.710818160
Andre Ellington8.717017150.07
Mike Gillislee7.21616140.07
Deandre Washington6.516016140.08
Matt Breida5.816016140.1
Charcandrick West6.511314130.09
Peyton Barber5.413215130
Devontae Booker715015130.07
TJ Yeldon8.114014130.08
D'Onta Foreman6.31313120.07
Alfred Morris5.810313120.06
Wayne Gallman79413120.08
Chris Carson9.91111100.08
Rob Kelley6.21111100.06
Elijah McGuire4.811011100.09
Shane Vereen5.71001090.08
Terrance West5.6101090.08
Damien Williams5.9101090.01
Kerwynn Williams3.753870.03
Jacquizz Rodgers3.580870.06
Mike Davis9.86287#N/A
Wendell Smallwood6.47760.06
Charles Sims5.570760.07
Travaris Cadet4.770760.14
Malcolm Brown3.860650.13
Corey Grant2.760650
David Johnson13.15540.03
Mike Tolbert4.640440.03
Darren Sproles6.14440.09
Jamaal Charles5.250540.06
Eddie Lacy3.55540.06
Benjamin Cunningham3.35054#N/A
Thomas Rawls3.640440.05
Cameron Artis-Payne1.650540
Tion Green6.35054#N/A
Danny Woodhead6.930330.07
Robert Turbin4.33330.06
CJ Prosise3.43330.06
Fozzy Whittaker1.73033#N/A
Chris Johnson5.23330.08
Zach Zenner1.230330.06
Jalston Fowler0.8222#N/A
Tre Madden1.2222#N/A
CJ Ham1.62022#N/A
Kenjon Barner1.820220.5
Tommy Bohanon1.51011#N/A
Branden Oliver3.21110.07
Elijhaa Penny1.31011#N/A
Roosevelt Nix0.90111#N/A
Jamize Olawale2.81011#N/A
  • Teammates Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram are next in third and fourth place. Kamara holds an eight-point lead despite leaving early last week with a concussion. I don’t think anyone could have reasonably predicted how the Saints would transition to a run-based approach this year, but Ingram and Kamara offered solid floors and tantalizing upside at their draft positions.
  • Despite the perception he has had a down year, Tevin Coleman is 14th on our leaderboard and finds himself on 10 percent of winning teams. Considering Devonta Freeman has played in all but two games, it shows the type of floor/upside combination that is the hallmark of a great Zero RB selection. Had Freeman missed more games, Coleman could easily be a league winner, and he hasn’t hurt teams at all despite Freeman’s presence.

 

Wide Receiver

PlayerPPGWK 1 -13Week 14Total PointsBB ScoreWin Rate
DeAndre Hopkins21.2871097690.19
Antonio Brown23.6831093660.25
Keenan Allen17.569675540.1
Michael Thomas1667976540.07
Jarvis Landry1668876540.1
Adam Thielen16.765873520.17
AJ Green15.770272510.06
Tyreek Hill15.666470500.13
Davante Adams15.8601070500.1
Marvin Jones14.463366470.14
Larry Fitzgerald16.164165460.19
Julio Jones16.160565460.08
Alshon Jeffery13.859665460.07
Golden Tate14.553861440.15
Brandin Cooks1461162440.1
Devin Funchess14.355661440.13
Doug Baldwin14.152759420.13
Nelson Agholor12.555257410.12
Dez Bryant12.951758410.08
Michael Crabtree14.552456400.13
Demaryius Thomas12.948856400.11
Robby Anderson13.956056400.15
Cooper Kupp1245954390.11
Mike Evans12.955055390.04
Mohamed Sanu12.446753380.12
Jermaine Kearse11.650050360.08
Marqise Lee11.448351360.12
Kenny Stills12.351051360.14
Paul Richardson10.941748340.1
Stefon Diggs13.543346330.11
Ted Ginn10.346046330.11
Robert Woods144646330.13
DeSean Jackson10.442345320.1
Sammy Watkins10.140444310.06
Kelvin Benjamin10.537542300.08
Juju Smith-Schuster11.44242300.06
Chris Hogan12.240040290.1
Mike Wallace9.338341290.1
Marquise Goodwin10.634539280.13
TY Hilton11.338038270.05
Jordy Nelson9.837037260.03
Rishard Matthews11.537037260.1
Danny Amendola10.131435250.07
Travis Benjamin7.932133240.09
Sterling Shepard11.634034240.09
Jamison Crowder10.333033240.08
Tyler Lockett8.325833240.09
Will Fuller1434034240.1
Amari Cooper10.232032230.04
Randall Cobb9.630131220.07
Jeremy Maclin931031220.08
Tyrell Williams8.120929210.08
Ryan Grant8.130030210
Josh Doctson7.429029210.06
Devante Parker9.128129210.07
Pierre Garcon11.32626190.1
Emmanuel Sanders9.226026190.08
Cordarrelle Patterson6.327027190.08
Albert Wilson9.121425180.07
Brandon LaFell8.321425180.09
Deonte Thompson725025180.13
Jaron Brown6.725025180.08
Odell Beckham Jr18.52525180.04
JJ Nelson724024170.09
Allen Hurns10.32424170.08
Kendall Wright8.116622160.09
Keelan Cole6.115823160.17
Corey Coleman9.815621150.06
Terrance Williams7.320020140.09
Torrey Smith7.114519140.08
Martavis Bryant7.920020140.06
Adam Humphries6.720020140.02
John Brown7.41818130.06
Cole Beasley6.916218130.08
Zay Jones618018130.06
Johnny Holton4.51801813#N/A
Kenny Golladay8.117017120.06
Donte Moncrief71717120.06
Bruce Ellington7.31717120.06
JD McKissic8.91701712#N/A
Bennie Fowler6.11601611#N/A
Roger Lewis5.414216110.5
Taylor Gabriel6.116016110.07
Eric Decker6.713215110.07
Brandon Coleman6.116016110.05
Trent Taylor615015110
Dontrelle Inman5.115015110.05
Dede Westbrook12.48715110.07
Chris Moore6.88614100.07
Terrelle Pryor7.1121290.04
TJ Jones5.51201290
Brice Butler4.7121290
De'Anthony Thomas3.4130139#N/A
Josh Gordon14.2671390.05
Taywan Taylor4.11101180.05
Ricardo Louis4.81001070.09
Kenny Britt6101070.06
Chester Rogers6.51001070.06
Seth Roberts5.680860.1
Andre Holmes3.980860.05
Josh Bellamy4.972960
Brandon Marshall6.78860.06
Tavon Austin3.190960.06
Mack Hollins3.290960.03
Alex Erickson3.18086#N/A
Braxton Miller4.68860.06
Cody Latimer59096#N/A
Rashard Higgins3.980860
Jeremy Kerley6.69960.06
Tavarres King5.6886#N/A
Corey Davis6.170750.04
Chris Godwin4.343750.05
Russell Shepard4.360640.13
Jordan Matthews5.75540.06
Tommylee Lewis3.615640
Aldrick Robinson3.860640.09
Phillip Dorsett2.45540.05
Brandon Tate2.250540
Justin Hardy4.250540
Josh Reynolds2.450540.06
Curtis Samuel3.75540.06
Geronimo Allison3.860640.05
Tre McBride3.2664#N/A
Leonte Carroo1.550540.07
Jakeem Grant1.905540
Josh Malone3.16064#N/A
Maurice Harris5.4554#N/A
Chris Conley7.14430.06
Jarius Wright3.84043#N/A
Demarcus Robinson2.840430.08
Vince Mayle0.74043#N/A
Marvin Hall4.74043#N/A
Laquon Treadwell3.230320.05
Michael Campanaro2.930320.06
Darrius Heyward-Bey0.73032#N/A
Kasen Williams2.93320.02
Mike Williams3.430320.04
Eli Rogers3.410110.07
Brian Quick220210.12
Tyler Boyd3.420210.05
Kamar Aiken2.510110.08
Ifeanyi Momah0.8111#N/A
Damiere Byrd2.401110.17
Tanner McEvoy1.120210
Kendrick Bourne3.210110
Jared Abbrederis1.91110
Louis Murphy5.52021#N/A
Byron Marshall3.21011#N/A
  • DeAndre Hopkins leads our board ahead of Antonio Brown, but Brown leads all players with a 25 percent win percentage to Hopkins’ 19. It’s becoming apparent as we study these positions, especially in high draft choices, that win percentage seems to be tied to a few different factors, including player performance, injuries or poor performance by players drafted nearby, and how the draft board availability of the best choices work in tandem to produce optimum success rates. Brown, who was drafted either fourth or fifth, not only had injuries to Odell Beckham near him but slotted perfectly with Todd Gurley’s second-round ADP of 20. Compare this to a player like A.J. Green who is in seventh place. While not having the season that Brown has, you wouldn’t expect him to be on only six percent of winning teams either. But when you look at the Round 2 players who fit with Green, you find guys like Jay Ajayi, T.Y. Hilton, DeMarco Murray, and Amari Cooper, four of the biggest busts of the draft season. It points to how imperfect ADP is and how an advantage might be gained by drafting players in combinations that are unusual for early round ADP.
  • One of the key strategies we wanted to follow at WR was to draft high variance WRs after the 10th round. These home run hitters would give you a few top end weeks. Robby Anderson, Kenny Stills, and Paul Richardson all fit this mold and have paid off their owners with 15-14-10 percent win rates despite none of them sitting top 20 on our leaderboard.1
  • That doesn’t mean value can’t be found late in players with a safer floor. Each year starting WRs like Mohamed Sanu and Devin Funchess get drafted very late. Sanu had an ADP of 180 and Funchess 192. The ability to get a starting WR on good offenses that late is something to look for next offseason.

 

Tight End

PlayerPPGWK 1 -13Week 14Total PointsBB ScoreWin Rate
Travis Kelce1641344630.12
Rob Gronkowski16.53838540.11
Zach Ertz14.93636510.13
Evan Engram11.834236510.1
Jimmy Graham11.936036510.12
Kyle Rudolph11.227431440.12
Delanie Walker11.627229410.11
Jason Witten9.624327390.12
Cameron Brate9.527027390.12
Hunter Henry10.720424340.07
Austin Hooper8.122123330.08
Vernon Davis8.720323330.08
Jared Cook9.317522310.1
Jack Doyle11.220222310.1
Tyler Kroft7.522022310
OJ Howard7.615318260.05
David Njoku6.717017240.06
Eric Ebron7.515217240.07
Benjamin Watson7.517017240.08
Charles Clay8.516016230.1
Marcedes Lewis616016230
Julius Thomas7.716016230.08
Austin Seferian-Jenkins8.416016230.08
Jesse James7.711314200.08
Trey Burton5.78513190.05
Ed Dickson5.81301319#N/A
Coby Fleener6.91212170.08
Jermaine Gresham5.911112170.09
Seth DeValve5.511011160.05
Adam Shaheen3.67411160.07
Ricky Seals-Jones7.81101116#N/A
Jordan Reed11.61010140.05
Darren Fells4.89110140
Garrett Celek4.65510140
Zach Miller899130.07
George Kittle5.9909130.09
Martellus Bennett6.599130.06
AJ Derby5.899130.11
Tyler Higbee4.2909130.07
Stephen Anderson6.2909130
Gerald Everett4.5808110.06
Dion Sims3.451690.05
Nick O'Leary4.460690
Ryan Griffin5.86690
Luke Willson4.260690
CJ Fiedorowicz5.35570.07
Virgil Green3.250570.17
Antonio Gates3.950570.07
Rhett Ellison3.523570
Jonnu Smith3.450570.1
Demetrius Harris2.73146#N/A
Eric Tomlinson2.64046#N/A
Lance Kendricks2.940460.04
Nick Vannett2.840460
Vance McDonald4.122460.06
Nick Boyle3.330340.12
Brent Celek2.312340
Dwayne Allen1.630340.06
Logan Thomas2.230340
Levine Toilolo2.73034#N/A
Michael Hoomanawanui1.93034#N/A
Josh Hill2.130340
Luke Stocker1.8334#N/A
Anthony Fasano2.73034#N/A
Jeff Heuerman2.12023#N/A
Troy Niklas2.120230
Phillip Supernaw1.42023#N/A
Clive Walford1.520230.08
James Hanna1.62023#N/A
David Morgan1.4223#N/A
Trey Edmunds1.22023#N/A
Jeremy Sprinkle1.52023#N/A
Austin Traylor3.92023#N/A
Will Tye3.91110.03
Tyler Eifert4.31110.04
Ross Travis11011#N/A
Xavier Grimble1.410110.11
Jerell Adams110110
Blake Bell0.90111#N/A
  • Travis Kelce has opened a nine-point lead over Rob Gronkowski, which should ensure that Kelce is our year-end winner.2 We are seeing a very flat curve at the position as Kelce is on 12 percent of winning teams, a far lower percentage than any other skill positions, and more evidence that winning percentage includes other factors.
  • Evan Engram leads the position with a 13 percent win rate and is fourth on our board. While the Giants season has been a huge train wreck, they have found a tool for the new coaching staff to build around.
  • Jordan Reed owners have suffered through a particularly rough time with both injury and poor performance. His ADP this offseason is going to be one of the more interesting stories to follow. It’s safe to be concerned that we might not see 2015 Reed again.

Defense

PlayerPPGWK 1 -13Week 14Total PointsBB ScoreWin Rate
Jacksonville Jaguars13.841243610.14
Baltimore Ravens12.240040570.15
Detroit Lions9.232537530.12
New Orleans Saints8.833336510.15
Los Angeles Chargers10.432335500.12
Los Angeles Rams10.433134490.12
Seattle Seahawks8.234034490.07
Philadelphia Eagles9.630232460.1
Carolina Panthers8.125530430.08
Buffalo Bills6.529130430.08
Pittsburgh Steelers7.529029410.08
Green Bay Packers6.827229410.08
Chicago Bears8.225429410.1
New England Patriots7.128028400.07
Arizona Cardinals6.223427390.07
Tennessee Titans6.223427390.09
Houston Texans6.526127390.06
Dallas Cowboys6.823326370.08
Washington Redskins6.322325360.08
Cincinnati Bengals625025360.09
Kansas City Chiefs6.422325360.07
Minnesota Vikings624125360.06
Denver Broncos6.419524340.05
Tampa Bay Buccaneers6.723124340.11
New York Jets4.823023330.06
Miami Dolphins6.221223330.09
Atlanta Falcons6.221122310.07
Indianapolis Colts5.218321300.09
San Francisco 49ers4.118220290.07
Cleveland Browns4.518018260.07
New York Giants5.218018260.07
Oakland Raiders3.914216230.07
  • The Jaguars have a four-point lead over the Ravens and look to finish on top. However, both were 18th-round defenses, the key takeaway once again at the most volatile position year to year.
  • The Chargers have raced up the leaderboard during the second half of the campaign. They are currently in fifth place and are another example of how waiting on defense can pay off.

  1. Anderson and Richardson often even went undrafted.  (back)
  2. Barring Week 15 injury.  (back)