Welcome to another Tuesday slate. We have a small one tonight with only four games. There’s one big injury that will cause ownership percentages to lean towards one team. In these situations it’s important to understand who the beneficiaries will be. As always I’ll try to point you in the right direction.
RotoViz is providing a ton of NBA DFS content this year. Tune in for the On The Daily podcasts throughout the week for more in-depth analysis on a game-by-game basis.
DAILY FANTASY BASKETBALL PLAYS OF THE DAY
Goran Dragic: $6700 DK, $6500 FD
Dragic has started to see a lot of playing time recently, averaging 37 minutes over his last four games.1 His price had risen significantly over this span, but has now come down after a poor performance against Utah, which isn’t surprising. Dion Waiters is still expected to miss a couple more games so his playing time should still be pretty secure. Toronto has been playing well defensively, but NBA DFS is all about opportunity and Dragic should have plenty of it.
Shabazz Napier: $5400 DK, 4800 FD
Napier is an obvious play in this game with Damian Lillard sidelined. He’s paid off in similar situations throughout the year, and both DFS sites have not increased his salary enough at this point. He’ll be highly owned, so there’s always merit to fading a player like that, but it’s difficult to see a situation where he doesn’t pay off.
Also Considered – Russell Westbrook: $11500 DK, $11800 FD
C.J. McCollum: $7500 DK, $7500 FD
Damian Lillard has already been ruled out for tonight’s game, leaving McCollum to once again take control of this team on offense. McCollum usage rate goes way up with Lillard off the floor, and he’s produced very well in similar situations this year. Luckily his price is still down since salaries were released before Lillard was ruled out. The Thunder play very well against the position, but with McCollum’s projected usage in this game, I’m not concerned.
Wayne Ellington: $4700 DK, $4400 FD
Similar to Dragic, Ellington has played a lot of minutes recently with Waiters sidelined. He’s played at least 31 minutes in each of his last four games, and I would expect him to a play similar amount against the Raptors. At his low price he’s one of the safer cash plays on the slate, but he’s still shown the ability to hit up 7x on this salary in the recent past.
Also Considered – DeMar DeRozan: $8300 DK, $9300 FD
Paul George: $7800 DK, $8300 FD
Oklahoma City has finally started to get into a groove over their last 10 games after a poor start to the season. George has been a big part of the turn around and has started to show a little more consistency in his fantasy production as well. He’s put up at least 37 DK points in seven straight games, and although his salary has increased since the start of that streak, it’s still at a reasonable spot.
Harrison Barnes: $7000 DK, $6800 FD
The Mavericks are in a nice pace-up spot against the Magic, who are sixth in pace. Dallas actually has the highest implied total on the slate despite being a bottom-10 team in scoring. Barnes has been a consistent fantasy producer over his last several games, putting up 32 DK points in four straight games.
Also Considered – Josh Richardson: $6200 DK, $5600 FD
Serge Ibaka: $5600 DK, $5900 FD
Ibaka has hit 5x value in three straight games, and his salary has barely increased. This isn’t the greatest spot for any of the Raptors as Miami is one of the slower-paced teams in the league, however on a small slate there aren’t always perfect options. I mainly like Ibaka due to his price point, but he has been very efficient over his last couple of games, which is definitely a good sign.
Zach Randolph: $6300 DK, $5500 FD
Randolph is strictly a GPP play for me at this point. I like the matchup a lot, but his minutes just haven’t been there recently. He missed the Kings last game due to an oral surgery so he should be rested for this game, and hopefully that means a few more minutes. I think he’ll be very low owned, especially on DK, but he’s very efficient in his minutes and against this fast-paced Lakers team he could put up numbers in a hurry.
Also Considered – Carmelo Anthony: $6300 DK, $6300 FD
Willie Cauley-Stein: $6600 DK, $7500 FD
Cauley-Stein has the best matchup on the slate against the Lakers, who are first in pace and in the bottom 10 against centers. He had a crazy defensive game recording seven steals against Denver on Saturday and putting up 39 DK points in the process. His price is much more appealing on DK, and it does concern me that in both of the last two games he’s played under 26 minutes. However if he does get the playing time, I’m confident he can pay off.
Jusuf Nurkic: $6900 DK, $7500 FD
Most DFS players will probably flock to Napier and McCollum with Lillard sidelined, but Nurkic’s usage also increases with Lillard off the floor. He’s been playing pretty well lately, hitting 5x value in four out of his last six games, and he put up 38 DK points in his last game without Lillard. The Thunder are not the greatest matchup, but similar to the other Blazers, the uptick in usage is hard to pass on.
Also Considered – Bismack Biyombo: $5800 DK, $5600 FD
That’s it for tonight’s slate. If you have any questions about these plays or any others, don’t hesitate to hit me up on twitter @thisisntdrew.
- The Knicks game went into overtime, however he still had played 35 minutes in regulation (back)