Like many others, when I first started playing DFS I would just take shots at tournaments and hope to hit it big overnight, but that’s not a winning strategy in this game. This series will help you go from being a “Joe” to a pro.
This article is simple. I run down my entire cash game thought process for the week. I won’t list plays for the sake of listing them. If I know early in the week who I am starting at QB, he’s the only guy I’ll mention.
Throughout the season I’ll post my bankroll so you can view my weekly progress. This year, my starting bankroll will be $1,000 on DraftKings and $1,000 on FanDuel. I do this as a way to show how your bankroll can go through some valleys and peaks throughout the season. Experienced players aren’t winning 100 percent of the time — they face losing weeks like everyone else. The important thing is to be profitable at the end of Week 17. It’s a marathon, not a sprint.
Week 2 Recap
Week 2 was disappointing because it should’ve been so much better. I got cold feet on all my Quincy Enunwa shares so I made a late pivot on DraftKings up to Demaryius Thomas. Thomas ended up getting 11 targets but only ended up with five receptions. Along with that, the move up at receiver also forced me to move down from the Bears defense to the Jets. Those minor moves proved costly as every head to head loss on DK was by less than fifteen points.
Things went better on FanDuel and I was able to keep my head above water. We took home roughly six percent so that just about evens us out for the first two weeks of the season. Now that we have more information hopefully the wins start to ramp up, specifically in tournaments where a profit can really elevate a week.
Week 3 Plays
- Cam Newton
Newton checks in as this week’s biggest value ($6,000 DK). The GLSP app doesn’t give him the highest floor. However it does give him the seventh highest median and ceiling projection. The Bengals defense has allowed the fifth most air yards in the league and they’ve played against the Colts and the Ravens. Not exactly the most prolific passing attacks. Tack on Cam’s nine rushing attempts per game and he’s easy money this week.
- Alvin Kamara
- Todd Gurley
- Kareem Hunt (GPP)
- Jordan Howard
- Lamar Miller
- Giovani Bernard
- Latavius Murray (if Dalvin Cook sits)
- Corey Clement (FanDuel core play)
I’m still in the process of putting together my lineups but I am intrigued by the idea of getting both Kamara and Gurley into my cash game lineups. I probably won’t end up doing it but it is possible this week. Lamar Miller is a value at $5K on DraftKings against a Giants defense allowing the fourth highest yards per carry. He’s had at least fifteen touches in each game this season and the Texans should be able to move the ball at will. Very quietly Miller has been a workhorse and has only five fewer carries than league leader James Conner.
- Michael Thomas
- Julio Jones (DraftKings cash play)
- Keenan Allen
- TY Hilton
- Golden Tate
- Allen Robinson
- Emmanuel Sanders
- Will Fuller (GPP)
- Devin Funchess
- Donte Moncrief (GPP)
Thomas is on a record breaking pace, and there’s no reason to doubt that continues against the Falcons.
Robinson checks in just above Thomas in WOPR (weighted opportunity rating) and should be moved around enough to avoid Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson. In his first two games playing with Mitch Trubisky, Robinson has 181 more air yards than any other Bears receiver and the fifth highest aDOT (11.2) of players that have received at least 20 targets.
Moncrief is an excellent tournament play this week, especially if Leonard Fournette doesn’t go. Moncrief leads the Jaguars in both target market share and air yards market share and gets a Titans defense that has allowed a league high 57 percent of fantasy points to the wide receiver position.
- Eric Ebron
- Austin Hooper
Jack Doyle has the fourth most targets and receptions for the tight end position, while Eric Ebron has the most touchdowns. With Doyle being ruled out due to injury, Ebron becomes a huge value at $3,400. Hooper has become the only somewhat reliable option in the Falcons passing game aside from Julio Jones. The overall volume still isn’t anything to get excited about but he has three red-zone targets, and this week’s matchup has shootout potential.