We’ve officially had a quarter of the 2018 NFL season, but this train doesn’t stop here. I’m here once again with quarterback GLSP data for the week ahead. This data is also available in the Weekly Stat Explorer. Who are this week’s big shots? Who are the small fries? Let’s dive in.
Dave is running his models three times, looking back eight weeks, six weeks and then three weeks, before averaging the results. With four full weeks behind us, we are finally able to get a truer projection for players still in their first NFL seasons, as well as those who sat out chunks of the 2017 campaign.
Blake Bortles has alternated between middling and spectacular so far in 2018, with two 20-plus-point outings in his four games.1 The Chiefs, despite their 4-0 start, are positively bleeding fantasy points to QBs, making them a unit to attack. Bortles should be an excellent streaming option in what could turn out to be a shootout.
Like Bortles, Andy Dalton has stepped effortlessly from the middle of the road to the top of the class this season, with two games with more than 24 fantasy points. He has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game this season and seems to be developing a rapport with breakout candidate Tyler Boyd. The Dolphins had only allowed two touchdown passes from QBs before last week, but that doesn’t make Dalton any less appealing in our projections.
After two ordinary games to start the season, Jared Goff has been on something of a tear in the last two weeks. Backed by an 8:1 TD to interception ratio, he has cleared 25 points in each of the last two outings against the Chargers and Vikings defenses. Goff’s low and median projections are not that impressive, but he has one of the highest ceilings of the week. The Seahawks haven’t allowed more than a single touchdown pass in a game since Week 2, but we’ve seen this team drop off on the backend when forced to play without Earl Thomas, regardless of how disgruntled he’s been.
Bottom of the Bill
Rookie quarterbacks this week.
- Middling to poor, to be truly accurate. (back)