Game Level Similarity Projections: Tight End Week 16

It’s Championship week in 2018, so we have the Game Level Similarity Projection numbers for Tight Ends as we head into this crucial week in fantasy football. These projections are here to help you make the right lineup decisions for the week ahead.

The GLSP offer you a glimpse into how players could produce this week based on previous matchups. Let’s dive in and see what the numbers have in store this week.

PlayerTeamOppLowMedHighAVG
Travis KelceKCSEA11162218
Jared CookOAKDEN101618.716
George KittleSFCHI8.7141814.3
Zach ErtzPHIHOU8.313.315.713.7
Eric EbronINDNYG6.312.31613
Rob GronkowskiNEBUF712.315.312.7
Evan EngramNYGIND6.711.314.712
Ian ThomasCARATL5.710.313.711
Austin HooperATLCAR3.78.31210
Vance McDonaldPITNO4.39.311.39.7
David NjokuCLECIN48139.3
Jimmy GrahamGBNYJ4.38.3119
Gerald EverettLARARI3.77.7129
Blake JarwinDALTB3.37.3129
Kyle RudolphMINDET47.711.38.7
CJ UzomahCINCLE3.37.712.78.7
Chris Herndon IVNYJGB3.36.710.78.7
Trey BurtonCHISF3.36.310.78.3
Cameron BrateTBDAL2.77.7128
Ricky Seals-JonesARILAR36.79.37.7
Demetrius HarrisKCSEA2.368.77.7
Dan ArnoldNOPIT36.310.37.7
Anthony FirkserTENWAS24.38.76.7
Ryan GriffinHOUPHI2596.7
Jordan ThomasHOUPHI24.796.7
Vernon DavisWASTEN2.35.796.3
Dallas GoedertPHIHOU3.35.386.3
Tyler HigbeeLARARI24.77.36.3
Levine ToiloloDETMIN25.78.36
Antonio GatesLACBAL256.35.7
Mark AndrewsBALLAC1.746.35.3
Jesse JamesPITNO1.34.36.75.3
Matt LaCosseDENOAK1.33.76.35
Rhett EllisonNYGIND1.35.375
James O'ShaughnessyJAXMIA1.33.364.7
Nick VannettSEAKC12.73.74
Jordan LeggettNYJGB1.334.74
Benjamin WatsonNOPIT0.7343.3
Charles ClayBUFNE0233
Mo Alie-CoxINDNYG0.7123

I have run out of words over the last few weeks to describe what the TE spot has been like in 2018. On my charitable days, I settle for words like “underwhelming.” It should continue to surprise precisely no one that the best projections are for the players who have delivered all year long. A notable exception is Ian Thomas, who failed to live up to his lofty numbers last week. Thomas did play 100 percent of the snaps against the Saints, who are far from a pushover against TEs, and ran 26 routes.

Thomas and his projections look good again this week, especially against a simply woeful Falcons defense. However, as bad as the Falcons have been, they have not been tormented by TEs. They’ve allowed one TE touchdown in their last eight games. However, if you don’t have a Zach Ertz, a George Kittle or a Travis Kelce, then you are probably just looking for someone who will provide more than zero on your stat sheet. Thomas should do at least that.

Further down the projections, Cameron Brate is an always intriguing option due to his knack for scoring touchdowns. Sadly, if he doesn’t score touchdowns, his volume is a huge concern. He has nine receptions over his last four games, although three of them were scores. The Cowboys have been shown to be vulnerable when teams commit to featuring their TE against them, so maybe Brate could fall into a touchdown for his owners. But it’s a rough week for a position that has done nothing but live down to expectations all season long.