revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Josh Gordon Similarity Scores

download (17)

*The plot shows the distribution of fantasy point/game improvement for Josh Gordon similar receivers.

There’s a decent chance that all of the Josh Gordon fans in the fantasy writing community end up overhyping Gordon going into 2013, to the point that we all kill whatever excess value he might have for next year.  That’s probably a good reason to write less about Gordon… but… writing less about Gordon wouldn’t be any fun either and since when is fantasy sports about carrying yourself with a sense of sobriety?

Using the Custom Similarity Score tool posted last week, you can generate similarity scores for Gordon and then look at what the similar players did in the year after they were similar to Gordon.  I’ve done something a little bit different below by just posting the similar players’ Year over Year (YOY) improvement in several stat sheet categories in the year after they were similar to Gordon 2012.

YOY Change in Josh Gordon Comps in the Year Following Being Similar to Gordon 2012

Calvin Johnson 49% 53% 65% 178%
Andre Johnson 16% 20% 17% 52%
Braylon Edwards 32% 19% 8% 27%
Kenny Britt 33% 36% 51% 310%
Reggie Williams -30% -22% 9% 168%
Matt Jones -29% -37% -47% 6%
Derrius Thompson -40% -54% -56% -100%
Dwayne Bowe 34% 23% 3% 42%
Larry Fitzgerald 43% 78% 81% 24%
Pierre Garcon 29% 45% 7% 48%
Keary Colbert -44% -50% -65% -64%
Michael Crabtree 22% 42% 27% -29%
Plaxico Burress 20% 18% 31% 16%
Dez White 21% 3% -5% -20%
Demaryius Thomas 26% 84% 63% 55%
Median +22% +20% +9% +27%


I think those numbers fit with what we could reasonably expect from Gordon as a young receiver (he’ll be 22 next year) who had a highlight filled rookie year.  He’ll probably get more opportunities in the way of targets, he’ll be slightly less efficient with those opportunities in terms of yards/target, but also he has a lot to learn about being a red zone target, so you could expect him to improve his touchdown production.

There’s about a 0% chance that this will be the last time that I post on Josh Gordon before the 2013 season.  Actually, I’m going to try to get under five Josh Gordon posts before opening day.

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

Week 11 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 10 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in

Read More

High Staked: What Went Wrong

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I can officially say things didn’t work out this season like we’d hoped. For the first time since 2014, none of the FFPC high-stakes teams I run with three friends are likely to advance to the league playoffs or

Read More

Nick Chubb Almost Destroys Week 10 and Christian McCaffrey Actually Destroys Everyone Else’s Fantasy Teams: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform

Read More

Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 11

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. Did you survive bye-pocalypse with your playoff hopes intact? Now the waiver wire can start to become a little less cut-throat as some GMs throw in the towel on 2019. Don’t

Read More

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.