revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Prior Year Yards per Carry Might Not Be Important

Just a quick post here with a correlation plot that I ran last night and wanted to share.  The plot below shows a number of per game measures for running backs both in what you might call Year 1 and Year 2 (or Year N and Year N+1) and how they correlate year to year.  You can see that the highest year to year correlations are grouped in carries and yards.  Receiving numbers also share some correlation year to year.  The interesting thing is that yards per carry has a pretty low correlation with itself (year to year) and also has a low correlation with the other measures.

Rplot38

Two additional thoughts:

  1. Year 2 TDs have a higher correlation with Year 1 Carries and Yards than with Year 1 Touchdowns.  This is barely true, but true nonetheless.
  2. Same measure year to year correlations in descending order of correlation would go: Carries, Yards, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Rushing Touchdowns, Games Played, Receiving Touchdowns, Yards per Carry.

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

Week 11 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 10 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in

Read More

High Staked: What Went Wrong

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I can officially say things didn’t work out this season like we’d hoped. For the first time since 2014, none of the FFPC high-stakes teams I run with three friends are likely to advance to the league playoffs or

Read More

Nick Chubb Almost Destroys Week 10 and Christian McCaffrey Actually Destroys Everyone Else’s Fantasy Teams: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 10

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform

Read More

Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 11

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. Did you survive bye-pocalypse with your playoff hopes intact? Now the waiver wire can start to become a little less cut-throat as some GMs throw in the towel on 2019. Don’t

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.