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ADP Arbitrage: Tampa Mike Williams

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If Tampa’s Mike Williams continues to be drafted in the 40s among WRs, he’s going to be a bargain this year on par with Michael Crabtree from last year. Below I’ve pasted the tables from the ADP arbitrage app that shows Williams as having been similar to Michael Crabtree, Victor Cruz and Torrey Smith last year. These players are similar age, had similar production on similar numbers of targets, and yet Williams is being drafted 16 WR spots after Torrey Smith, who is the lowest of the other three. Groupon may as well just send out an offer for “50% off wide receivers”.

*recFPOP is an efficiency measure.

Subject Player Positional ADP: 41
NAME SEAS OFF AGE WEIGHT GMS TRGS RECS YDS TDS recFPOP YPT ADP
Mike Williams 2012 TB 25 212 16 7.88 3.94 62.25 0.56 0.11 7.9 41
Comparables Average Positional ADP: 17
NAME SEAS OFF AGE WEIGHT GMS TRGS RECS YDS TDS recFPOP YPT ADP
Michael Crabtree 2012 SF 25 214 16 7.94 5.31 69.06 0.56 0.27 8.7 14
Victor Cruz 2012 NYG 26 204 16 8.94 5.38 68.25 0.62 0.12 7.64 12
Torrey Smith 2012 BAL 23 205 16 6.88 3.06 54.81 0.5 0.22 7.97 25

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