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Is Aaron Hernandez Injury Prone?

aaron_hernandez

I’m usually more in the camp of people who try to acquire so called injury prone players at a discount than I am in the camp of people who swear off injury prone players. I just don’t think that the penalties are applied evenly across the injury prone universe. A healthy season makes most people quickly forget an injury prone reputation (see Reggie Bush), and we basically don’t penalize players that get hurt at the end of the year (Gronkowski) or players that got hurt a lot in college (Adrian Peterson). So even if injury proneness does exist, I think there are some challenges to our human ability to perceive injury proneness that make me unwilling to take a player off of my draft board because he might have an injury history.

As an example of how unevenly we apply the label, consider Aaron Hernandez, who has spent 26 of a possible 54 career games on the injury report. He’s hit the injury report with the following issues: knee, hip, ankle, concussion. Also AHern just had offseason shoulder surgery. Also, he’s being drafted ahead of Ryan Mathews according to MyFantasyLeague. He just spent all but two weeks of the 2012 season on the injury report, of which 11 weeks were either Doubtful, Questionable, or Out.

But yeah, I can totally see why you wouldn’t want to draft Ryan Mathews. I mean Hernandez does play the position that requires you to have a number of options on your roster, and he’s also outscored Mathews over his career… oh wait, nevermind, I mixed up the two players. Mathews plays the position that requires more roster spots on your team and Mathews has outscored Hernandez over their careers which have been of equal length. My bad.

Aaron Hernandez Injury Report History

Name YR Wk STATUS BP DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2010 1 P Probable: knee
Aaron Hernandez 2010 2
Aaron Hernandez 2010 3
Aaron Hernandez 2010 4
Aaron Hernandez 2010 5
Aaron Hernandez 2010 6
Aaron Hernandez 2010 7
Aaron Hernandez 2010 8
Aaron Hernandez 2010 9
Aaron Hernandez 2010 10
Aaron Hernandez 2010 11
Aaron Hernandez 2010 12
Aaron Hernandez 2010 13
Aaron Hernandez 2010 14
Aaron Hernandez 2010 15 Q Questionable: hip DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2010 16 Q Questionable: hip DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2010 17 Q Questionable: hip
Aaron Hernandez 2011 1
Aaron Hernandez 2011 2
Aaron Hernandez 2011 3 O Out: knee DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2011 4 O Out: knee DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2011 5 Q Questionable: knee
Aaron Hernandez 2011 6 Q Questionable: knee
Aaron Hernandez 2011 7
Aaron Hernandez 2011 8 Q Questionable: knee
Aaron Hernandez 2011 9
Aaron Hernandez 2011 10
Aaron Hernandez 2011 11
Aaron Hernandez 2011 12
Aaron Hernandez 2011 13
Aaron Hernandez 2011 14
Aaron Hernandez 2011 15
Aaron Hernandez 2011 16
Aaron Hernandez 2011 17
Aaron Hernandez 2011 18 Q Questionable: concussion
Aaron Hernandez 2011 19
Aaron Hernandez 2012 1
Aaron Hernandez 2012 2 D Doubtful: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 3 O Out: ankle DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2012 4 O Out: ankle DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2012 5 O Out: ankle DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2012 6 Q Questionable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 7 P Probable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 8 P Probable: ankle DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2012 9 Q Questionable: ankle DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2012 10 Q Questionable: ankle DNP
Aaron Hernandez 2012 11 Q Questionable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 12 P Probable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 13 P Probable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 14 Q Questionable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 15 Q Questionable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 16 P Probable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 17 Q Questionable: ankle
Aaron Hernandez 2012 18

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