revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Wait, Josh Freeman is only Six Months Older Than Ryan Tannehill?


Image via Football Schedule.

Josh Freeman was born in January of 1988, while Ryan Tannehill was born in July of 1988. This was shocking to me when I figured it out. Just for fun, here are their season summaries from PFR which lists both as being 24 years old for the 2012 season:

Ryan Tannehill 2012 Summary

Year Age Tm Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD TD% Int Int% Y/A AY/A Y/G
2012 24 MIA 282 484 58.3 3294 12 2.5 13 2.7 6.8 6.1 205.9
Career 282 484 58.3 3294 12 2.5 13 2.7 6.8 6.1 205.9
Provided by View Original Table
Generated 5/4/2013.

Josh Freeman 2012 Summary

Year Age Tm Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD TD% Int Int% Y/A AY/A Y/G
2012 24 TAM 306 558 54.8 4065 27 4.8 17 3.0 7.3 6.9 254.1
Career 1101 1873 58.8 12963 78 4.2 63 3.4 6.9 6.2 227.4
Provided by View Original Table
Generated 5/4/2013.

Freeman was ahead of Tannehill in the category that correlates most highly with winning football games, which is AYA. It’s true that Freeman was probably throwing to better receivers than Tannehill, and it’s also true that Tannehill was a rookie and probably was facing a steep learning curve regardless of age. But to me the interesting thing is that Josh Freeman had a season at 22 years old that would have been much better than Tannehill’s 2012, and also featured Freeman throwing to no receivers of any note. His best receiver was rookie Mike Williams.

I have two primary thoughts as it relates to this information. First, I think it’s interesting that Miami is likely much more optimistic about their QB situation than TB is, even though their QBs are similar in age and TB’s QB had the better 2012. The other thought that occurs to me is that forecasting the future for QBs isn’t linear at all. If you had forecast forward from Josh Freeman’s 2010 season, when he was just 22 years old, you would have expected him to be a top five QB by this point. I might be willing to give him a little slack for just being 24 years old, but that’s a long ways from being a top five QB. So pretty much be careful how you use the recent past to forecast the future.

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

High Staked: Last Gasp Efforts

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. It’s the last gasps. With two more weeks left in the regular season, this is the time of the FFPC Main Event schedule when my friends and I would be bouncing group text messages off each other on how

Read More

13 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 10

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 13 key stats to help you crush your Week 10 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 10 Reported lines are current as of November 7, 2019.1 LAC @ OAK: Mike

Read More

Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 10

Even as we prepare for college football’s “game of the year,” it’s a great time to look for devy prospects at all levels. The Group of Five received some of the spotlight in Memphis’s win over SMU. Quarterback Stephen Calvert, QB Liberty Playing against UMass will make any competent FBS

Read More

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.