Jordan Reed never should have made it to the 36th pick of the RotoViz dyntasy league rookie draft, but I’m sure glad he did. Coming out of Florida, Reed drew many (on field) comparisons to Aaron Hernandez. The two TEs are 6’2’’, within nine pounds of each other, and ran similar 40 yard dash times coming out of college. Both players are classified as joker TEs who may not be the massive, hulking, players that provide QBs huge targets, but are movable pieces who are shifty with the ball in their hands. Reed came to Florida as a QB, switched to a WR, then to a RB, and eventually found his niche his junior year as a TE.
Reed’s targets increased every season at Florida just as Hernandez’s did. Where A. Hern separates himself a little is in the yards per target category. While Reed had a respectable 9.02 yards per target, Hernandez averaged a whole yard more than Reed. Reed was very consistent from his sophomore season to his junior year in red zone TD rate while Hernandez’s RZTDR declined every season at Florida. Market share yards are where Reed and Hernandez are most similar, while market share touchdowns are shaded a little in Reed’s favor.
The Redskins resigned Fred Davis to a one-year deal during the offseason and it seems like there is a decent chance he’ll be playing football somewhere other than D.C. in 2014. If Davis doesn’t return to Washington next season Jordan Reed could be vaulted into a very appealing role in an offense that is full of formations and play calls that fit his game nicely. Logan Paulsen took the majority of snaps as the Redskins TE late in the 2012 season after Davis went down in week seven with a torn Achilles tendon. Paulsen is no threat to Reed’s chances of starting in 2014 because he is primarily a blocking TE. The Redskins targeted TEs only 86 times in 2012, which was tied for the 5th lowest in the league, but the low number of targets can be attributed to the fact that Davis went down early in the season and Washington was forced to use a blocking end as the primary pass catching TE and shied away from throwing to the TE position. Before week seven where he was injured, Davis was on pace to have 82 balls thrown his way, which would have been 21 more than the hyped Dennis Pitta saw during the 2012 regular season.
Reed likely won’t see consistent fantasy production in 2013, but could be in a position to post TE1 numbers in 2014 if Davis doesn’t return to the nation’s capital. As a versatile piece in a creative offense, with a young talented QB, and an unproven receiving group, Reed has a chance to outperform every TE being drafted ahead of him in dynasty rookie drafts.