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The Gronk Effect, and Tom Brady vs. Andy Dalton

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via Tom Brady, Patriots offense in trouble without Gronkowski? – NFL.com.

Chris Wesseling of NFL.com writes:

According to numbers compiled by NFL.com, Brady posted a 65.7 completion percentage, 23-3 TD:INT ratio and 106.6 passer rating at 7.9 yards per attempt on snaps with Gronkowski on the field. Those numbers plummeted to 58.9 completion percentage, 11:5 TD:INT ratio, 87.1 passer rating and 7.1 yards per attempt on snaps without Gronkowski.

Wesseling also writes in the article that Tom Brady minus Gronkowski was basically Andy Dalton. That struck me as a very interesting idea.

Until we hear that Gronk is healthy, Brady’s weapons are probably even more questionable this year than they were last year. On the other hand, Dalton got upgrades. Dalton will have a new tight end (a red zone efficient position) in Tyler Eifert as well as a new pass catching back in Gio Bernard. The Bengals offense is also now pretty stacked with young pass catchers.

Another interesting exercise is to look at Andy Dalton’s numbers next to the numbers of some other QBs at age 25.

Games Passing
Rk Player Year Age Tm G Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Y/A AY/A Y/G
2 Tom Brady 2002 25 NWE 16 373 601 62.06% 3764 28 14 85.7 6.26 6.15 235.3
3 Aaron Rodgers 2008 25 GNB 16 341 536 63.62% 4038 28 13 93.8 7.53 7.49 252.4
4 Matt Ryan 2010 25 ATL 16 357 571 62.52% 3705 28 9 91.0 6.49 6.76 231.6
6 Andy Dalton 2012 25 CIN 16 329 528 62.31% 3669 27 16 87.4 6.95 6.61 229.3
13 Eli Manning 2006 25 NYG 16 301 522 57.66% 3244 24 18 77.0 6.21 5.58 202.8
14 Philip Rivers 2006 25 SDG 16 284 460 61.74% 3388 22 9 92.0 7.37 7.44 211.8
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/18/2013.

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