As we enter the Great Eight of our tournament, it’s important to point out that these are not necessarily our top eight players. There were some tough match-ups in the first round. One saw Jordan Matthews, a very highly touted WR by the Rotoviz staff, lose to Davante Adams. The great thing about this exercise is the insight you can get into how some of the writers here make decisions into choosing between two players. With that being said lets take a look at the first round and how things unfolded.
(3) Marqise Lee vs. (11) Donte Moncrief
As we look at this match-up and how both players got here, we see that Moncrief pulled the biggest upset seed wise. The Rotoviz staff is much more comfortable with his profile than we were with Benjamin’s older age and lack of production. Marqise Lee came into his final college season being praised as the possible best WR prospect for 2014. While injuries may have derailed that, it wasn’t enough for Bruce Ellington to take him down.
If Moncrief would have repeated his 2012 numbers he’d be my #1 WR in the entire class. Lee also fell off his senior year, but he never had the body type or physical talent to trump Moncrief. I highly doubt Lee ever becomes a #1 receiver in this league because he’s too small, but Moncrief has a chance to become a team’s top target. The gap in ADP is only an added bonus for Donte. This one’s a landslide.
WHISKEY TANGO FOXTROT
I would take Moncrief over Lee straight up so when we factor in ADP this decision is really easy. Moncrief is 6’3ʺ, 227, and Marqise Lee is 6’0ʺ, 192. One is built like Dez Bryant and the other is 20 pounds lighter than Pierre Garcon. Combine that with the fact that Moncrief is nearly two full years younger than Lee and it gets even easier. Moncrief’s advanced production at a young age makes him one of my favorites in this draft. Lee looks like another USC wide receiver who will be over-drafted and underwhelming.
For some reason, every time I read Marqise Lee’s name, I confuse with him Marquess Wilson in my head. As a Bears fan, I’m kinda excited to see what Wilson can do this year. Releasing Bennett saved the Bears some needed cap room, sure, but it stands to reason they wouldn’t have let Bennett walk unless they were at least somewhat confident in the prospects of Wilson this coming year. As a Bears fan, this kinda makes me excited…and that brief moment in my head before I realize Marquise Lee and Marquess Wilson are different people is a very happy moment for me.
It’s pretty fitting that these two meet, considering how each reached their statistical apex in 2012 then declined this past season. Both were injured physically and by quarterback play, but Moncrief wasn’t outplayed at times by a sophomore like Lee was in the case of Nelson Agholor. Lee was a prospect comparable to Torry Holt after 2012, but he’s probably now more like Donnie Avery after his 2013. Give me the cheaper option that is nearly two full years younger while also having the physical profile to break through his ceiling.
Lee’s 2013 was horrible, he’s small and slow, and he’s old and overrated. But at least he’s following in the footsteps of Robert Woods, Dwayne Jarrett, and Big Mike Williams, right? If he’s lucky, he’ll turn into USC Steve Smith. And what about Moncrief? He’s big, fast, and young. (I feel like that’s probably the name of some unreleased AC/DC b-side.) He wasn’t super productive in 2013 — but he wasn’t awful. Lee was awful. Give me Moncrief.
I’ll take Moncrief even though I think the odds are decent that we look back at this draft class and think of Moncrief as the guy that RotoViz was the most irrationally high on. He does have the physical tools but it’s fair to wonder why, if he is such a physical monster, he didn’t dominate more than he did. But I still like him. Marquise Lee is the WR version of a Ford Fusion.
Both players dominated 2012. Both players regressed in 2013. Both players lack of dominance last year has been blamed on possible injuries. Both players are not the same. One comes at a much cheaper price with a much higher ceiling and more physically gifted athletic profile. I think I will go that route. Give me Moncrief.
Just like the Dayton Flyers, our 11 seed is advancing again. Moncrief’s athletic profile pushes him past Lee in this round. The fact that Moncrief can be had at a cheaper price is also an added bonus. The RotoViz play here is to let someone overpay for Lee and his USC hype while you wait and steal the better player at a cheaper price. Moncrief advances.
What draft picks would you use on Moncrief and Lee? Let us know in the comments section below. You can also click on the related posts below to catch up on any older articles or do more research.