On Friday I wrote an article titled “Winning the Flex; aka, Score Points, What’s Your Plan?” in which I speculated that we might just be able to think about the flex eligible positions as a single position where the goal is just to pick the player that scores the most. My thoughts were largely influenced by Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB strategy and his Flex Wins Championships tag line.
That article presupposed PPR scoring so I thought it would be interesting to do the same exercise with standard scoring.
While WRs were undervalued relatively speaking in PPR formats, RBs still seem to be undervalued relatively speaking in standard leagues.
Here’s the graph which shows each positional ADP spot and whether current ADP has that positional spot undervalued or overvalued. If this makes no sense to you then I recommend reading the PPR piece for context. I should note that I used MFL standard ADP for this exercise.
If you want a table based version of this information you can check out this Google Doc which has both PPR and STD scoring.
You can see that early running backs are still the smart money early picks in standard leagues because their value is still positive when compared to ADP. Or at least that’s the case if scoring averages from the past three seasons are to be believed. I should note that’s a major assumption of this work and scoring is obviously going to fluctuate year to year.
Tight ends seem to be overvalued in standard leagues while early WRs are closer to par, with some turbulence in that number which has WRs bouncing above and below par.
The takeaway I think is that standard is still a format where going RBx4 is a viable strategy because then you can pick up your WRs starting in the fifth round. You’ll be sucking viable RBs out of the pool and comparatively speaking your league-mates will be drafting lower scoring TEs and WRs while you draft those higher scoring RBs. If you see about the RB25 range, that’s where RBs start to dip negative, so getting your roster filled up with them before that happens seems like a good idea.