Last year I wrote that Kerwynn Williams was a potential Gio Bernard arbitrage opportunity for a real NFL team. If you wait long enough, almost any hot take can come close to being true. The Cards surprised people on Sunday by putting Williams ahead of Stepfan Taylor and Marion Grice. Williams is the best receiver among the group, which probably makes him the most natural replacement for Andre Ellington (who was another subject of a Gio Bernard arbitrage article).
I like Williams but his schedule is also pretty bad and the Cards seem to be backing into the playoffs at this point. There’s not a lot to like about their offense.
Do you remember where you were when Jonathan Stewart won fantasy titles for people in 2009? Me either. But I do remember it happened.
The Panthers get Tampa Bay next week, which is a good matchup. If Stewart is still on your waiver wire he’s worth an add for the playoffs for sure. He’s also maybe the safest of the waiver wire options to the extent that you know you’re probably getting one startable matchup out of him.
Reece is more of a PPR league add in that he could potentially be a playoff band-aid for a team that wouldn’t mind taking a ceiling of 10-15 points from their RB2 spot. If Reece’s target volume persists – he’s essentially tied for the target lead with the team’s WRs over the past few weeks – then Reece can be a startable RB in PPR leagues. But the presence of Latavius Murray also means that Reece isn’t going to be the truly featured back. The nice thing about the receptions that Reece has been getting is that those tend to either be matchup proof, or counter-matchup.
CJ Anderson was a little hobbled in DEN’s Week 14 win over BUF, so there’s some speculation that he could be hurt enough that Juwan Thompson would carry the load in Week 15. That’s all speculation at this point, so there are not guarantees if you pick up Thompson. I’m personally trying to decide whether to pick up Thompson or Lorenzo Taliaferro this week. I think the opportunity is similar for each player. Justin Forsett was questionable going into Week 14 and then gave up some carries to Taliaferro. Each backfield is likely to make a fantasy starter out of whichever RB gets the load.
Note that it’s really tough to rank the RBs this week because they all provide something different. Thompson and Taliaferro are your high upside fliers. Jonathan Stewart is probably the guaranteed touch guy, Reece is the band-aid, and then Kerwynn Williams is the wild card.
Brandon Marshall apparently has some broken ribs and a collapsed lung so Wilson probably makes sense as an add. CHI faces NO in Week 15 so it could be a decent matchup for Wilson, who Jon Moore has written about. Even though Wilson has been underwhelming in his targets thus far I don’t think you can read anything into that. The sample is so small that I’m not worried. But because the Bears aren’t likely to funnel all of Brandon Marshall’s targets to Wilson I think he’s not a truly slam dunk add either. In fact I have a bunch of guys on my bench that I would have to think about whether I should drop them for Wilson. I might start Nate Washington this week, so I don’t think I’d drop him for Wilson.
See the CJ Anderson section. LT is mainly a speculative add based on the potential that Justin Forsett could be banged up. LT also appears to be ahead of Bernard Pierce once again.
Wait, what? Oh yeah, Locker is going to start against the NYJ defense in Week 15. I’ve already looked at adding Locker in a league where I have Cam Newton and I think I’m going to roll with Newton again in Week 15. But I did at least look at it. Locker is a really inconsistent QB so you could easily get a five point effort from him although he’s also had some really big fantasy weeks based on his ability to run.
Do you really need me to tell you?
Actually the Browns have a somewhat difficult matchup this week so you’re almost better off hoping that they start Hoyer again, that he shits the bed, and that mid-game the Browns switch to Manziel. Then they get CAR in Week 16. That’s really the game where you want to start JFF.