revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Dwayne Bowe is Your Larry Fitzgerald Arbitrage, Sincerely RotoViz Dot Com

dwaynebowe

Waiwaiwait. Don’t click back. I’m mostly serious on this Dwayne Bowe fantasy value thing.

Let’s start with the ADP Arbitrage App.

download

Dwayne Bowe is actually younger than Larry Fitzgerald and they had pretty similar 2014 seasons. You might be saying “Yeah, but this is still patently ridiculous and I can’t believe I’ve spent this much time reading this article when I could be watching internet porn.” And I wouldn’t disagree with you completely.

However, the reality is that while there are still Larry Fitzgerald apologists in the wild, long after the Dwayne Bowe apologists were killed off by his poor play, Bowe kind of has an excuse for sucking just like Fitz does. Bowe has played the last two seasons with Alex Smith who hasn’t ever been good for any wide receiver. Here’s Smith’s graph from the AYA App.

download

You can actually see that once you take out Travis Kelce and Vernon Davis (neither of them are wide receivers if you haven’t heard), Smith has been as efficient throwing to Bowe as he has been throwing to any other receiver. Basically, Alex Smith probably wasn’t doing a lot to prop up Bowe’s production. Smith doesn’t really challenge any defense (except for sometimes with his legs) and he does stuff like run out of bounds on 4th down instead of taking a shot down the field. Alex Smith thinks a Toyota Camry is a sexy sports car.

The most likely possibility for the remainder of Bowe’s career is that he’s done but will sign a one year deal with a team which will only succeed in confirming that he’s done.

But I think there are two good reasons to take a flier on him late in a draft. He’s been playing with a QB who hasn’t done him any favors, and is probably going to get his release soon. There are probably only about 10 situations in the league that might be worse for Bowe than where he’s been playing. Actually, there are probably only about five or so because even though Alex Smith is better than a lot of the worst QBs in the league, those other QBs could still produce a WR1 just with volume throwing. So Bowe’s situation almost can’t get worse. Then there’s the issue that he’s cheaper than both Pierre Garcon and Fitzgerald who are coming off similar seasons and are being drafted in front of Bowe. It’s a pretty big leap of faith to say that conditions for a Garcon bounceback are going to magically materialize. In Fitz’s case it now seems like the most likely outcome is that he’ll be back in ARI competing for targets with Michael Floyd and John Brown.

Everyone knows that Dwayne Bowe is done. What this article presupposes is… maybe he’s not?

At WR78 you pretty much can’t go wrong.

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 11

Week 11 was a big one for college football. Minnesota proved themselves to be legitimate contenders against Penn State and the “Game of the Century” lived up to the hype as LSU came out with the win. But it wasn’t just the marquee that put on a show. SMU and

Read More

High Staked: Looking Behind to See Ahead, or Hindsight and 2020

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. It’s entering Week 11, so in four days, two-thirds of the 2,400 FFPC Main Event teams will do what eliminated teams do: look to next year. This year’s ADP was dominated by running backs in the first half of

Read More

14 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 11

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 14 key stats to help you crush your Week 11 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 11 Reported lines are current as of November 14, 2019.1 PIT @ CLE: The

Read More

Week 11 DraftKings Targets: Allow Brees To Apologize

Week 10 was a disastrous one from a cash game perspective, and the Drew Brees and David Montgomery plays lead me to the first week of the season of not sniffing the cash line and the second time in ten weeks of not cashing. These two also wrecked tournament lineups

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.