revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Your Rookie Draft Pick Trade Calculator

tavonaustin

Let me offer a caveat right up front that this is a partially baked version of the Rookie Pick Calculator that I’m working on. I’ve done some initial work on the relative value of rookie picks and that work is reflected in the calculator below. But there’s more work to be done that will make the calculator slightly more comprehensive.

The data that I looked at just quantified the value of each rookie pick in terms of a player’s fantasy points scored relative to the other players at their position in their draft class.

Here’s a graph of the data I compiled where I converted each pick into a smoothed scaled value. Note that the number being shown is actually representative of the median outcome, rather than the mean. Median outcome is a good measure I think because some of the later picks would only have value that is ever realized on the waiver wire. If you describe their value by the mean then it will artificially inflate the value shown.

Rplot87

The work I’ve done so far does a pretty decent job, I think, of being able to equate picks in the same rookie draft to each other. The only problem is that this work doesn’t allow us to be able to describe rookie picks in terms of their value relative to the rest of your roster. If you trade the 2nd overall pick for the 5th and 17th overall picks, the calculator will say that you won the trade. But what if you only really have one roster spot that you feel comfortable clearing out for rookies? Then you would want to stay in the 2nd pick. I think there are ways to get at that trade off, but in order to do it I need to go back and denominate the rookie pick values in terms of end of roster spot fantasy points, rather than just comparing rookies to each other.

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

The Week 3 Ultimate Zero RB Watch List: NFC Edition

Welcome to Week 3 of the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Edition. The Watch List helps you find running back targets for your Zero RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We’ll take a close look at depth charts around the league in order to find the next-man-up

Read More

Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 3

Week 3 wasn’t exactly filled with high profile matchups between ranked teams. For viewing purposes, that’s somewhat disappointing, but for fantasy evaluations, it provides opportunities for high-level production. To mix it up a little bit, my highlight players are all going to come from one team this week. Not only

Read More

Week 3 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look toward Week 3 it is important to observe whether the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name,

Read More

Week 3 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinell provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings and for Week 3 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Week 2 was a very costly fantasy week — Ben Roethlisberger suffered a right elbow injury which required surgery, marking the end to his season and Drew Brees will

Read More

The Week 3 Ultimate Zero RB Watch List: AFC Edition

Welcome to Week 3 of the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: AFC Edition. The Watch List helps you find running back targets for your Zero RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We’ll take a close look at depth charts around the league in order to find the next-man-up

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.