There’s only about a week left of the regular season, but there’s still a lot of opportunity to win some money. Make sure you’re paying attention to incoming news as teams are resting players frequently and look for those low salary guys who will need step up in the absence of star players.
Here are your Wednesday picks.
Russell Westbrook: $10600 DK, 10700 FD
In a night full of what I’m assuming will contain a lot of value plays I’m looking for some higher priced guys I can rely on. The Thunder are not likely to change their playoff seeding at this point, but Westbrook is a guy that gives it his all on every single night. He’s averaged 54 DK points over his last four games and has a great matchup against the Blazers who are bottom ten in the league defending point guards.
Westbrook has also personally been at his best against Portland averaging seven more fantasy points over the last two years when facing them.
Tim Frazier: $4600 DK, $5000 FD
Frazier has stepped it up in the absence of basically his whole team, averaging 38 DK points over his last three games. The Pelicans have no one left due to the massive amount of injuries they’ve suffered this year. They also have no one on their active roster over $5300 in salary. Someone has to produce and I think Frazier, who just was moved into the starting lineup, is a good candidate to help with that production.
Another guy I’ll be willing to take a shot with is Reggie Jackson ($5900 DK, $5900 FD). I’m surprised he hasn’t produced more on a nightly basis since Brandon Jennings was traded, but I still believe he has a high ceiling especially as his salary has dropped significantly over the past month. He’s not that terrible as a cash play either. He hasn’t had less than 21 DK points over his last ten games, which isn’t great, but also won’t hurt you significantly.
James Harden: $10800 DK, $10900 FD
Harden is another high priced guy I’m going to look to as a core play. As I write this the Rockets are one game out of the playoffs behind Utah and Dallas so every game is significant.1 Harden has averaged 58 DK points over his last five games and gets a great matchup against the Mavericks, against whom he has had success.
He’ll need to have a great game if the Rockets want to stay in the playoff race.
Victor Oladipo: $7100 DK, $8400 FD
Oladipo has been on a good run averaging 44 DK points over his last three. I’ve been a little hesitant to play him since Nikola Vucevic came back from injury, but Oladipo has kept his production at a high level. Vucevic is coming off the bench right now, which may be attributing to Oladipo’s success, but he is still seeing a significant amount of time on the court with Oladipo. His salary may be too high for me on FD, but on DK I think it’s too big a bargain to pass up.
Another guy I’ll be looking to is Aaron Afflalo ($3500 DK, $4100 FD), who I believe is underpriced for his potential production. I wish he wasn’t coming off the bench, but he still should see significant minutes. For that reason I’ll only have him as a GPP type play tonight.
Jae Crowder: $5800 DK, $6200 FD
Crowder came back earlier this week and looks to be in good shape. He’s averaged 39 DK points over his first two games and gets a nice matchup against the decimated Pelicans. The Celtics are another team that are in a tight race for playoff seeding so even though this game has a large spread I would expect everyone to play and I feel that Crowder’s salary is not up to the level it needs to be yet.
Luke Babbitt: $4700 DK, $5000 FD
Similar to Frazier, Babbitt has also seen increased production due to all the injuries in New Orleans. He’s averaged 39 DK points over his last two games and although this isn’t a great matchup against the Celtics someone has to score. He’s been getting minutes in the thirties and I would expect him to even get some time at power forward in this game as it’s likely they’ll try to go small to match the Celtics undersized lineup.
Another guy I’ll be looking to as a value play is Jordan Hamilton ($4200 DK, $4600 FD). He is coming off the bench so I’ll be curious to see how that affects his production, but his salary is just too low for the way he’s been producing. He’s averaged 31 DK points over his last three games so even though he doesn’t have much NBA experience this year he’s shown he can come in and put up some numbers. I’m going to keep riding these Pelican’s players until their salaries are up where they need to be.
Kevin Love: $7000 DK, $7000 FD
Love has been consistent, averaging 40 DK points over his last seven games and never scoring less than 29. He has a good matchup against the Pacers, against whom he has played.
Watch out for the Cavs resting players tonight, but if Love goes I can see him having a solid game.
Thomas Robinson: $4700 DK, $6000 FD
Thaddeus Young and Brook Lopez have both been ruled out for the remainder of the season leaving a lot of opportunity for big men to produce. Robinson has stepped it up when given the opportunity, averaging 36 DK points over his last four games. On FD his salary is high, but still manageable. On DK I think he’s a must play especially against a Wizards team with a smaller frontcourt.
A player I’ll also be considering is Julius Randle ($5900 DK, $6600 FD). After a poor showing in Utah, Randle has averaged 37 DK points over his last two games. I think Byron Scott will give the young guys a lot of minutes over these last few games of the season and Randle has shown the ability to produce when given the time.
Marcin Gortat: $6100 DK, $6400 FD
Gortat has been solid over his last three games averaging 30 DK points. He has a nice matchup against the Nets, who will be without their starting frontcourt and rank in the bottom ten at defending centers. Gortat has only been able to face the Nets once this year, but put up 41 DK points in that contest. I expect similar results in the game tonight.
Ian Mahimi: $4700 DK, $5200 FD
I’ve been using Mahimi in cash games a lot recently. He doesn’t have a very high ceiling, but has been producing 5x value consistently and his salary hasn’t risen. Myles Turner was moved to the bench recently, which I believe makes Mahimi’s usage a little safer. He has a difficult matchup against the Cavaliers, but at that salary I think he is still a nice value play that will allow you to roster some of the studs at other positions.
The last guy I’ll be looking at is Mason Plumlee ($4400 DK, $5300 FD). I like him a lot more on DK where his salary is significantly lower, but could see playing him on both sites. Plumlee’s ceiling is pretty high for this price. He has put up games of 40+ DK points twice in his last ten. Sometimes Plumlee doesn’t get a huge allotment of minutes due to teams going small, but tonight he faces a Thunder team who always plays a center. If the minutes are there, he shouldn’t have a problem hitting 5x value on DK.
Good Luck Everyone!!
- This one even more so since they are facing the Mavericks. (back)