Hats off to Rick Smith and Bill O’Brien for supplying their new franchise quarterback (free-agent addition Brock Osweiler) with enough weapons for him to succeed as a playmaker. The Texans upgraded their speed and big-play potential on the perimeter with the additions of Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. Each pass catcher displays the burst and acceleration to run past defenders on vertical routes, yet both are also crafty catch-and-run specialists capable of turning short passes into big gains. Tyler Ervin gives the team another explosive weapon out of the backfield and adds some sizzle to the return game. On defense, the Texans picked up a pair of intriguing prospects (K.J. Dillon and D.J. Reader) with the potential to carve out roles as rotational players. GRADE: A+
Bucky Brooks’ take above is probably pretty consistent with our attitude toward the Texans picks. The weird thing is that lots of dynasty owners seem to hate Will Fuller, while our own Shawn Siegele has said that he could be an MFL10 steal. So it’s kind of surprising to see Bucky Brooks laud the Texans’ draft simply because we’re used to having more contrarian takes at RotoViz. We’re not used to being on the same side as film watchers like Brooks, when it comes to divisive players.
But I don’t know how much their offense heavy draft will help the Texans offense if Brock Osweiler isn’t very good. And there are reasons to think he’s not very good. The Denver offense had Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders last year, and yet when Osweiler attempted more than 12 passes they were not even a seven win offense.1
Considering that the out of split numbers in the table above are heavily weighted to Peyton Manning’s pickling corpse playing QB for the Broncos, Osweiler really doesn’t look good by comparison. I’m not saying that Osweiler is bad. I’m just saying that it’s tough to find evidence that he’s good.
Having said all of that, the Texans probably did the right thing by trying to surround their (in all likelihood) mediocre QB with the weapons to actually make the offense good. At least if he fails now it won’t be because they didn’t at least make an attempt to get him weapons. Those attempts might not work out, but at least they tried.
For further reading see Charles Kleinheksel’s article on Osweiler, as well as Justin Winn’s post-draft take on Will Fuller, and my earlier article where I called Tyler Ervin the most exciting running back in the draft. For what it’s worth, I do not consider the Texans to be a good landing spot for Ervin.
- they scored at the rate of a team that wins about 42% of its games (back)