Without Russell Westbrook and James Harden on tonight’s six-game slate, there is more of an opportunity to take a deeper look at values at the guard position. As always you can check out the Game Splits App to do your own analysis and listen to our On The Daily podcast for more daily fantasy basketball advice.
Daily Fantasy Basketball Advice for 11/8/16
Kyrie Irving vs ATL – $7,300 on FD, $7,400 on DK
So far this season, more of the offensive burden has been put on Irving’s shoulders. He’s bumped up his shot attempts to 19.5 and has launched nearly two more 3-pointers a game. That baseline helps give Irving a great floor with a matchup that isn’t very daunting. Coming off his worst game of the season, Irving could provide 6x value.
J.J. Barea @ LAL – $5,700 on FD, $6,000 on DK
The Mavericks have been a complete mess on the offensive end, and that looks to continue with Dirk Nowitzki and Deron Williams out. Barea has been used to soak up some of the scoring opportunity as he’s played over 14 minutes more per game than his career norm.
Barea has seen his price climb on DK by $1,200 over the last couple of games, but that shouldn’t be enough to scare you since Williams has been ruled out.
Also considered – Langston Galloway $3,700 on FD, $3,400 on DK
Tim Hardaway Jr. @CLE – $3,600 on FD, $3,700 on DK
Kyle Korver is missing the game after his wife gave birth to his son on Sunday. That opens up plenty of minutes for Hardaway, who has shown in select games that he can get hot from deep and put up some high scoring games.
Hardaway hasn’t had very many opportunities to play over 25 minutes in Atlanta, but when he does he is able to provide value. Going up against the best offense in the NBA, the Hawks may lean on Hardaway, the better offensive option, over Thabo Sefolosha. Mike Budenholzer seems to have a bit more trust in Hardaway this season as his minutes and usage rates have climbed from last year, making him a reliable cash option.
Wesley Matthews @ LAL – $4,600 on FD, $5,000 on DK
Rolling with two Maverick players seems like the surest way to fail, but hear me out. Matthews is currently taking nine 3-pointers a game, which is on pace to be the second most ever in a season. The problem is that he’s only hitting 24.1 percent of them. That is likely to regress toward the mean as his career rate is 38.4 percent. His minutes and shot attempts are both sitting at career-highs and that looks like it’ll continue against the Lakers with Nowitzki sitting out. Harrison Barnes, Matthews, and Barea are the weapons that Rick Carlisle has chosen to go with while Nowitzki has sat out so there is no reason to think that will change.
Rudy Gay vs NO – $7,400 on FD, $6,800 on DK
Gay is much more appealing on DraftKings where he’s priced closer to the second tier of SFs. This season Gay has given the type of consistency we rarely see from SFs as he’s produced at least 32 DK points in six of his first seven games. He faces the New Orleans Pelicans who will be on a back-to-back and play at a top-10 pace. They also are short on forwards, and with DeMarcus Cousins forced to deal with Anthony Davis the Kings may lean on Gay.
James Ennis vs DEN – $4,400 on FD, $4,700 on DK
It was reported by the Memphis Commercial Appeal that Ennis was going to move back to a bench role on Sunday, but he ended up logging 35 minutes anyway. With the news that Tony Allen is questionable for tonight’s game it looks like Ennis has a secure spot in the rotation. He’s played 30 minutes or more in four of the first seven games of the season.
A lot of that high end production was with the Pelicans last season, but he still provides a strong floor and should easily return value at his price.
Julius Randle vs DAL – $6,300 on FD, $6,700 on DK
Randle has only been able to cross the 30-minute mark in two games, but in both he absolutely crushed his value, posting over 40 DK points. Larry Nance Jr. is missing tonight’s game due to a concussion so it’s likely that Randle will take on some of his minutes. The Lakers’ pass-happy offense has helped boost Randle’s assist numbers to 2.6, which gives him an extra category to bump up his point total. More importantly he’s been able to push his field goal percentage to over 60 percent, and that efficiency should help him against a Mavericks team that may be forced to play without Nowitzki.
Terrence Jones @ SAC – $4,700 on FD, $5,200 on DK
Jones is strictly a FanDuel play after his price rose by $1,700 after his last game. He’s been given a larger role in the offense over the past couple of games, and has seen a boost in his minutes.
Karl-Anthony Towns @ BKN – $8,700 on FD, $8,500 on DK
Towns wasn’t getting a tremendous amount of usage to begin the season, but he’s posted back-to-back 30-point games and put up over 19 shot attempts in both. He now gets to go up against a Nets team that struggles to defend the rim and has the fourth-highest pace. His salary is still at a fair value for the output he is sure to post, and this is a perfect spot for him to be a pillar of your cash lineup.
Dwight Howard @ CLE – $8,200 on FD , $7,800 0n DK
Howard has been a huge factor on the boards, posting a 24.3 rebounding percentage, the highest of his career. That has helped put him in constant double-double territory and given him at least 41 DK points in five of his first six games. Now Howard gets to battle against a Cavs team that has historically been below average at defending the rim and doesn’t have a traditional post defender. He is one of the safest plays on the board.