Dallas Goedert was drafted 49th overall by the Philadelphia Eagles, becoming the third tight end to be drafted in 2018. The Eagles sent the 52nd and 169th picks to the Indianapolis Colts in return for this pick, allowing them to pick ahead of the suddenly TE needy Dallas Cowboys.
Goedert was the second-ranked TE according to the final iteration of the RotoViz Scouting Index. Hayden Hurst was the only player ranked higher among TEs. While not playing for a top-flight college program in a Power Five conference, Goedert absolutely dominated the competition in his 53 games for the South Dakota Jackrabbits.
Meeting the Prospect
Goedert’s 1,111 yards in 2017 gave him a second-straight 1,000-yard season and accounted for 30.3 percent of the team’s total receiving yards. He also found the end zone seven times in 2017, taking his career tally to 21. This is the fifth-most in school history. Goedert’s 2,988 receiving yards are the fourth most all-time for the Jackrabbits, while only two players have caught more passes than his 198 over the last four years.
The Jackrabbits were creative in how they used the 6-foot-5, 256-pound Goedert. According to Rotoworld, 65 percent of his snaps came inline, with 33 percent split out wide or in the slot. This helped him absolutely dominate the competition.
Goedert was injured at the scouting combine and didn’t fully participate in the drills. He was able to record 23 reps on the bench, though. At his Pro Day, he managed a 35-inch vertical jump and a 6.87 three-cone. Goedert didn’t record a 40-yard dash. But NFL Draft Scout estimated a median of 4.67.
Kevin Cole’s TE regression tree helps us understand the importance of these metrics.
So we have a player who was ridiculously productive (though he did play at a “lower” level of competition), as well as one who checks all the boxes in terms of athleticism. There are rumors that the NFL likes players like this.
GOEDERT’S NEW TEAM
The Eagles, of course, are the reigning Super Bowl champions. They were 7th in total offense in 2017, and 13th in passing yardage. Quarterback Carson Wentz was enjoying an MVP season before going down in Week 14 with an ACL injury. He completed 60.2 percent of his passes for 3296 yards, 33 touchdowns, and just seven interceptions.
The majority of the Eagles pass-catching weapons from 2017 will be back in 2018. The only major exception is Torrey Smith. Smith was traded to the Carolina Panthers. But in his stead, the Eagles signed former Ravens wide receiver Mike Wallace. The team has also resigned Darren Sproles, a more than capable pass catcher out of the backfield.
TE Zach Ertz led the team with 74 receptions, 824 yards, and eight touchdowns. It also marked the third consecutive season with at least 800 receiving yards for Ertz. Only Travis Kelce and Delanie Walker can match that stat among TEs.
The Eagles lost two of Ertz’s fellow TEs this offseason. Brent Celek was released, and trick-play specialist Trey Burton signed with the Bears in free agency. The Eagles are still short a blocking option at the TE spot. But the drafting of Goedert gives them a replacement playmaker for Burton.
2018 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND BEYOND
It would seem that the Eagles do not have an immediate need for a player like Goedert. Especially when one considers what current NFL player some experts have closely comped him to. Both Ben Natan and Lance Zierlein compared Goedert to his new teammate, Ertz. We’ve seen that Ertz has been a consistent playmaker. Given his current contract status, the Eagles are pretty much tied to him until at least the 2020 season. By this reasoning, it is hard to see any fantasy value for Goedert in the immediate future.
Ertz did miss time due to injury in 2017, it should be noted. In his absence, Burton was a useful streaming option for fantasy purposes. Although it’s an admittedly small sample size.
Since Doug Pederson took over as Eagles head coach, they have been among the league leaders in terms of deploying multiple TEs. According to Sharp Football Stats, Only the Colts (30 percent) have lined up in 12 personnel more often than the Eagles in the last two seasons. The Eagles have passed out of 12 personnel 58 percent of the time. This is above the league average of 46 percent. With the plodding Richard Rodgers being the only other TE on the roster, Goedert should see the field a good amount even with Ertz around.
That being said, the TE to own in Philadelphia is still Ertz. Given the Eagles’ use of TEs, Goedert could make sense as a very late-round dart throw in best-ball leagues, but has limited redraft value at this time. But if Ertz misses time, there is a good chance that Goedert could crop up as a top streaming option during the 2018 season.