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The 2018 WR Final 4: (1) Courtland Sutton vs. (5) D.J. Moore

The RotoViz Wide Receiver Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each matchup with the winner moving on to the next round.

2018 WR Final 4

(1) COURTLAND SUTTON VS. (5) D.J. MOORE

Courtland Sutton advanced to the Final 4 by taking out Deontay Burnett in a closely contested opening match before easily dispatching Simmie Cobbs in the Elite 8. Sutton’s difficulties with the No. 16 seed suggest moving into the finals could be a tough task. Will Sutton continue being the top dog?

D.J. Moore has been on fire. He started off the first round with a massacre of Deon Cain and almost pulled off a clean sweep against SEC standout Christian Kirk in the second round. As a RotoViz staff favorite, Moore carries the momentum. Can the 5-seed take out our top seed en route to the final?

John Lapinski – D.J. Moore: Moore is younger, more athletic, and had a higher market share of his team’s passing game than Sutton. Depending on your league, he may also even be cheaper. I still think Sutton has a chance to be good, but Moore just has too much to like.

Scott Smith – D.J. Moore: Moore’s production in less than ideal situations at Maryland is something to marvel at. He is young, has an elite athletic profile with a 91st-percentile SPARQ score, and should be drafted in the first round of the reality draft. Quite frankly, he fits the mold of everything we look for here at RotoViz. Sutton is good and has had a successful college career. The biggest red flag may be the drop-off in production in his final season as he ceded targets to Trey Quinn. Moore moves on to the finals for me.

Matt Wispe – D.J. Moore:  Had Sutton left for the NFL last year, he would have been my top WR in the class, but he was shockingly outperformed by Quinn in 2017. Moore was his team’s offense. Despite the injuries at QB and passing game that barely eclipsed 2,000 yards, Moore still managed over 1,000. Moore moves on.

Jordan Hoover – D.J. Moore: Following his redshirt sophomore season in 2016, Courtland Sutton’s stock was climbing sharply. But as others have mentioned, his final-year production left something to be desired, especially considering the lofty expectations. D.J. Moore literally has it all. He’s young and athletic (64 Freak Score), and with 32 percent of the msYDs for his career to go with over 50 percent in his final season, he enters the NFL with high odds for success. And despite passing Sutton in NFL Draft Scout’s rankings, Sutton is still going three picks ahead of Moore according to DLF rookie ADP data. This isn’t so much a knock on Sutton, but more an acknowledgment of what Moore brings to the table.

Blair Andrews – D.J. Moore: It may not last, but for the moment Moore is the cheapest WR left in the bracket, as if we needed more reasons to prefer him over Sutton.

Ryan Bobbitt – D.J. Moore: If Moore was going as the 1.02 in rookie drafts this would be closer. At present, he’s going after Sutton – “Team Big WR” is still alive and well. Moore sweeps him across the board in dominator rating and breakout age.

Hasan Rahim – D.J. Moore: Moore clears every hurdle when evaluating rookie WRs. He was a dominant producer in his final season, despite catching passes from four separate QBs.

Shawn Siegele – D.J. Moore: This is the Villanova/Kansas matchup at WR,1 and Moore is already in the process of delivering a 22-4 opening run. Sutton’s profile is tricky with the position change/injury redshirt as a freshman and the poor final season, but he’s one of the reasons to take advantage of the irrational exuberance at RB by trading down. This is perhaps the best rookie draft ever to load up on second round picks. (Expect Moore to rise and Sutton to fall after the NFL draft.)

FINAL RESULTS

D.J. Moore continues his domination of this tournament with a clean sweep over Courtland Sutton. Our panel loves the combination of price, athleticism and production. In a down year for WRs, Moore offers the cleanest profile. While Sutton is no slouch, statistical regression, something Moore doesn’t offer, is a bit of a blemish on his record. Moore currently looks like a late first-round pick in the NFL draft, and Sutton should be gone by the end of the second. Combine solid draft slots with their production and athletic profiles, and they both make for enticing options at WR in rookie dynasty drafts.

D.J. Moore moves onto the Final to take on the winner of (2) Calvin Ridley vs. (3) James Washington.

  1. James Washington and Calvin Ridley are less appealing in the other semi.  (back)

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