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Why I’m Waving As the Jordan Wilkins Hype Train Passes By

In early May, you could have grabbed Colts running back Jordan Wilkins with the last pick in your dynasty rookie draft. But then Evan Silva touted Wilkins on the Fantasy Feast podcast, and Wilkins jumped into the late second round of rookie drafts — especially those with sharp owners.

Count. Me. Out. Wilkins is old, turning 24 in July. His mehsurables include a 4.51-second 40-yard dash at 216 pounds. And he totaled 2,073 scrimmage yards in his career at Ole Miss. None of this suggests a productive fantasy career. Tape folks didn’t like him, either, as he placed outside the top 15 RBs in the RotoViz Scouting Index.

From a numbers perspective, the best we can say about Wilkins is his counting totals understate his college production. Ole Miss ran a pass-heavy offense, so Wilkins’s 1,011 rushing yards in 2017 accounted for 69 percent (nice) of the team’s non-QB rushing total. And his 241 receiving yards were good for 69 percent (Nice!) of the Rebels’ RB receiving production. Plus, he was fairly efficient, gaining 6.9 scrimmage yards per touch (OMG, OMG, NICE! NICE! NICE!).

Wilkins’s ascension seems to be all about opportunity. That makes some sense: Marlon Mack underwhelmed as a rookie in 2017. But he’s still a superior prospect to Wilkins. And fellow rookie Nyheim Hines limits Wilkins’s PPR upside even if Wilkins earns the job as lead runner. Unless Wilkins falls to the late third round of a rookie draft, I’m staying away.

For some RBs you might actually want to draft, check out our “Rookie Faceoff” series, including the battle between Ronald Jones and Royce Freeman.

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