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Game Level Similarity Projections : Quarterback Week 10

I have returned with the latest GLSP numbers, courtesy of our numbers guru Dave Caban, for the quarterbacks ahead of Week 10’s slate of games. These numbers offer an insight into how we see all the QBs performing in the week to come, lending you a helping hand in any critical start-sit calls you have to make.

Usually, I will offer my thoughts on three QBs whose projections make them ideal streaming candidates (if available in your league), as well as three for whom bad times may be lying in wait. But this week, the numbers are so heavily in favor of the big guns that I’m only able to identify one possible streaming option. And even he isn’t just sitting out on there on every waiver wire.

PlayerTeamOppLowMedHighAVG
Ryan FitzpatrickTBWAS15.826.135.325.4
Cam NewtonCARPIT17.122.432.924.3
Philip RiversLACOAK17.622.42924.1
Carson WentzPHIDAL17.524.130.423.3
Ben RoethlisbergerPITCAR16.422.330.122.9
Russell WilsonSEALAR15.922.930.522.5
Andrew LuckINDJAX13.522.829.322.1
Drew BreesNOCIN15.323.131.321.6
Patrick MahomesKCARI14.123.929.121.5
Matt RyanATLCLE15.121.328.520.1
Aaron RodgersGBMIA14.518.625.319
Jared GoffLARSEA13.117.92318.9
Mitch TrubiskyCHIDET14.52125.818.8
Dak PrescottDALPHI12.618.926.418.8
Baker MayfieldCLEATL12.419.925.618.1
Tom BradyNETEN12.417.824.517.9
Andy DaltonCINNO10.116.923.416.4
Matthew StaffordDETCHI8.615.121.615.4
Derek CarrOAKLAC6.516.422.515.3
Eli ManningNYGSF8.914.819.915.1
Alex SmithWASTB813.521.514
Marcus MariotaTENNE6.913.417.913.1
Blake BortlesJAXIND611.920.513
Josh RosenARIKC3.89.815.110.6
Brock OsweilerMIAGB4.69.815.510.3
Sam DarnoldNYJBUF57.511.88.8

The Lone Sentinel

Player Team Opp Low Med High AVG
Ryan Fitzpatrick TB WAS 15.8 26.1 35.3 25.4

The beat continues to go on for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who hasn’t finished lower than QB6 in any game in which he has played the majority of snaps. He’s not widely available, owned in over 69 percent of ESPN leagues. But on a week where the best GLSP numbers seem to be owned by the best QBs in the game, Fitz could be your best hope for a game changer as a streaming option. He has three games with four passing touchdowns this season. Fitzpatrick’s median and high projections are the highest of all QBs, and if you are not able to call upon any of the other high rollers, Fitz is the go-to guy this week.

They Cannot Help You

Player Team Opp Low Med High AVG
Sam Darnold NYJ BUF 5 7.5 11.8 8.8

Sam Darnold is on pace for the most multiple interception games by a rookie in recent memory, although the Jets offense is a crime with many suspects. The Bills have only allowed more than a single touchdown pass in one of their last seven games. As we’ve seen, the best way to score points against the Bills is to rely on their own offense to do it for you.

Player Team Opp Low Med High AVG
Brock Osweiler MIA GB 4.6 9.8 15.5 10.3

After a scintillating start to his Miami career (by his low standards), the true Brock Osweiler is beginning to emerge. After an 8.6 yards per attempt mark in his first start, this figure has dropped in each of the last three games. It bottomed out at 5.8 against the Jets. It has been two games since he last threw a touchdown pass. If you need to start Osweiler, you better be loaded elsewhere on your roster.

Player Team Opp Low Med High AVG
Josh Rosen ARI KC 3.8 9.8 15.1 10.6

Josh Rosen had his best game as a pro last time out against the 49ers, but it was still nothing to get excited about. He has a single game with a completion percentage north of 57.5 percent, and his yards per attempt sneaked above 6.8 for the only time during that game. The Chiefs have hardened their hearts and steeled their souls towards QBs of late, making Rosen a clear stay away in all but the deepest of leagues.

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