Now that we have entered the optimal month to draft in the DRAFT Best Ball Championship, I’m looking for every edge RotoViz can create to improve our chances of taking down the $1 Million first-place prize.
RotoViz has published a variety of articles detailing how to approach best ball drafts for 2019. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Workshop is the most comprehensive best ball article series you will find on the internet.
The DRAFT Roster Construction Explorer has provided us with valuable insight, including evidence that RotoViz’s favorite draft strategy will help someone win the $1 Million prize.
While we’ve already found the onesie position strategy you can use in every DRAFT Best Ball Championship entry, there are still other reasonable approaches to take with the onesies. Shawn Siegele found that we should target stud TES, and Ryan Collinsworth’s Passing Revolution article series suggests the same. So, I wanted to see what would happen if we took this to the extreme by drafting just a single elite TE.
Tight End Win Rates
As a refresher, we’ll first take a look at DRAFT win rates based on the number of roster spots dedicated to tight ends.1
We see that 2-TE and 3-TE roster constructions are by far the most popular and the most successful roster constructions. All other roster constructions seem to provide a win rate below expectation.
But, we also know that Early Tight End has provided a structural advantage in recent years.
Early Tight End Win Rates
Now, let’s filter the dataset to look at teams that drafted an early tight end in Rounds 1-4.