The full-blown injury carnage from week 14 brings role changes for a lot of teams, and it potentially changes expectations for whole offenses. With week 15 being among the most important for year-long fantasy leagues as well, instead of breaking this down by position with a few top games, I’m going to hit each game from a DFS perspective, but also try to give some season-long thoughts as well in hopes of making decisions easier as you chase championships. Let’s get to the games.
I’m going to run down the betting list for the order of games, but want the top game to be at the top of the list.
Houston at Tennessee
Who would have thought in even October we would be asking “who can keep pace with the Titans?” Deshaun Watson ($6,800) is favorably priced in the highest total game of the week and one that the Texans won’t find much success running the ball. The Titans are a difficult team to run on and their offense has put their opponents in catch-up mode, so if playing a back against them, a PPR back is the way to go.
Tampa Bay at Detroit
We know Jameis Winston is dealing with a thumb injury and wasn’t even throwing footballs on Thursday, so there is reason for caution here. With a thumb injury on the throwing hand of a non-playoff team’s quarterback, I would expect him to be held out to prevent in-game re-injury. With that being the case, he is a fade this week and a risky start for season long. His weaponry is safer and Chris Godwin ($7,700) could truly be peppered with targets this week from the slot. He is a great tournament play despite the price up spot. I want nothing to do with the ineptitude of Breshad Perriman — pay down further if you’re going for a Bucs’ punt WR play. Justin Watson ($3,700) is a year-long flex option and should bring volume for nice floor and ceiling at cost. The wild card is Scotty Miller ($3,000). If active, he could/should leapfrog everyone but Godwin and would be a great large-field tournament play. We know the Lions are weak against backs, but this committee is maddening and one to avoid.
On the Lions side, we have a quarterback playing the Bucs and is therefore very much in play. David Blough ($5,300) is an insanely friendly price in this matchup and will have concentrated volume to his top two wide receivers and both are fantastic plays. Kenny Golladay ($7,200) is a true candidate to be the top-scoring player on the slate while Danny Amendola ($4,100) will see volume and has a nice floor at price.
Philadelphia at Washington
The Eagles should have Jordan Howard back for this one, which would further slow down an already slow game. You’re probably without a better option than Carson Wentz for season-long, but he is too pricey for DFS purposes. Greg Ward ($3,000) cannot be avoided at his price for DFS purposes and should lead the team in targets. If he doesn’t, he will land second on the team behind Zach Ertz ($6,000) who brings a real ceiling each week with the current state of the Eagles offense.
Washington’s offense is laughable and is now without Derrius Guice. With their relative inability to score, they will likely be in catch-up mode like last week, when Chris Thompson ($3,900) saw eight targets. With Dwayne Haskins at quarterback, Thompson is the only viable DFS option on Washington’s roster.
Chicago at Green Bay
This game should offer little scoring, the first meeting was a 10-3 outcome and the total on this one is just 41. On the Bears side, the volume and scheming to Allen Robinson ($6,800) puts him in play for tournaments weekly. David Montgomery ($5,500) continues to see rushing volume, and a spike game is possible, but he remains thin for DFS purposes but a 15-plus-touch back will be difficult to steer away from in season long.
On the Packers side, there simply isn’t much to be excited about. The Bears should have run-stuffer Akiem Hicks back on the field and stopping their backs means stopping Green Bay as a whole.
New England at Cincinnati
This is another slow game with a total of just 40.5. On the Patriots side, just Julian Edelman ($7,100) has bankable volume and the rest of the passing game should be avoided — unless you’re considering James White ($5,400) a part of the passing game. In that case there are two pieces in play. Either White or Sony Michel ($5,100) will be a hit. Assuming a Patriot lead in this one, it will be Michel.
On the Bengals side, just Joe Mixon ($6,100) is in play. He has been playing great and seeing volume in every script.
Seattle at Carolina
The Panthers, particularly on defense, are giving the Jaguars a run for their money on which team can quit the hardest. The Panthers haven’t allowed fewer than 24 points in five straight games and are allowing over 31 PPG in that span. They have holes everywhere on the defensive side of the ball, but running backs have done the most damage.