Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. The RotoViz tools help us escape this groupthink and find unique — yet plus-EV — DFS plays.
Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination of players that will optimize the points in your lineup. If you roster player X, that will affect your decisions throughout the rest of your roster. We will run through these if/then scenarios in this article.
I’m primarily a small-field tournament player and will use this space to discuss specific players and roster constructions that I’m targeting this week.
Scenario 1: If Fading Jonathan Taylor, Then You Are Paying The Rake